🏷️ Likely Rental
109 Eby Ln · Lower Swatara, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$46,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *
Key facts
- New appliances
- Conveniently located
- Built 1993
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $46k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Middletown Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #368 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $321 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $46k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.47%
- DSCR
- 4.05
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $59,616
- List price
- $46,400
- Delta
- -22.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $33,639
- Equity at exit
- $6,918
- IRR
- 63.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.96×
- Total profit
- $77,370
- Equity at exit
- $4,012
Cash invested: $12,992 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17057
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$243
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $599/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $675
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $701 | -5% $688 | +0% $675 | +5% $662 | +10% $649 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $569 | -5% $622 | +0% $675 | +5% $728 | +10% $780 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $698 | -0.5pp $687 | base $675 | +0.5pp $663 | +1.0pp $651 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,600
- Closing costs
- $1,392
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 Aspen St Unit 1 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,495 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 105 Woodland Ave Middletown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $1,714 | $1.72 | 15d | 9 | 0.62mi |
| 43 E Main St Apt 4 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1900 Pineford Dr Middletown, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1020 | $1,408 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 213 W Main St Unit A Middletown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $985 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 213 S Union St Apt 1 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,400 | $1.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 144 Wilson St Middletown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,495 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 219 S Union St Unit 2nd Floor Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 219 S Union St Fl REAR Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1 Ann St Middletown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $975 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 167 Ann St Unit 4 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 233 Ann St Unit 233 Upper Middletown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,175 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 418 Wilson St Unit W10 Middletown, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $825 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-21days on market $46,400 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $46,400 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $46,400 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $46,400 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $46,400 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $46,400 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $46,400 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $46,400 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $46,400 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $46,400 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $46,400 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $46,400 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $46,400 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $46,400 Active 72 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $46,400 Active 71 DOM
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2026-05-31remarks 605-char remark
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2026-05-31pricedays on market $46,400 Active 70 DOM
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2026-05-07price $48,900 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *
-
2026-04-22price $49,400 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *
-
2026-04-07price $49,900 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *
-
2026-03-21$54,900 Active 602-char remark
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *
-
2026-03-21historical
Show marketing remark (602 chars)
Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *
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2026-02-12$54,900 Active
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2026-01-27historical
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2025-12-02price $64,500
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2025-11-13price $65,000
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2025-11-07price $67,500
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2025-10-29$69,999 Active
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2025-10-26historical
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1996-12-18soldstatus $15,800
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1995-06-01soldstatus $15,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $599 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $666 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$67/yr (+$6/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,599
- − Property taxes
- −$599
- − Insurance
- −$1,030
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$1,350
- Taxable income
- $7,870
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,889
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,209/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215240
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,128
- Composite
- 33.08/100
- National rank
- #5567
- State rank
- #368 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lower Swatara
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,560
- Household income
- $73,407
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 748.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.17%
- Current HPI
- 265.6077
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+209.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $48,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $49,400 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-21 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $64,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $67,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-29 Listed $69,999 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-26 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $15,800 Public Records
- 1995-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $599 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…