CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
109 Eby Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$46,400

109 Eby Ln · Lower Swatara, PA 17057
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1993 $59/sqft · 22% below area Est $60k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *

Key facts

  • New appliances
  • Conveniently located
  • Built 1993

Tags

NEW APPLIANCESNEW VINYL PLANK FLOORINGCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $46,400 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$59,616) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $46k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $46k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Middletown Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #368 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $321 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $46k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $42,224 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.88%
Cap rate
25.46%
Cash-on-cash
68.47%
DSCR
4.05
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$59,616
List price
$46,400
Delta
-22.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.6%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$33,639
Equity at exit
$6,918
10-year hold
IRR
63.8%
Equity multiple
6.96×
Total profit
$77,370
Equity at exit
$4,012

Cash invested: $12,992 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17057

Home prices YoY
-23.9%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,334 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$243
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $599/yr
Insurance
$19
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $480
Max offer price $46,400
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $701 -5% $688 +0% $675 +5% $662 +10% $649
Rent -10% $569 -5% $622 +0% $675 +5% $728 +10% $780
Rate -1.0pp $698 -0.5pp $687 base $675 +0.5pp $663 +1.0pp $651

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,600
Closing costs
$1,392
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
415 Aspen St Unit 1 Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 864 $1,495 $1.73 15d 1 0.17mi
105 Woodland Ave Middletown, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 996 $1,714 $1.72 15d 9 0.62mi
43 E Main St Apt 4 Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 45d 1 0.83mi
1900 Pineford Dr Middletown, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1020 $1,408 $1.38 14d 1 0.84mi
213 W Main St Unit A Middletown, PA 1.0 1.0 820 $985 $1.20 24d 1 1.05mi
213 S Union St Apt 1 Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 780 $1,400 $1.79 15d 1 1.32mi
144 Wilson St Middletown, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,495 $1.33 24d 1 1.32mi
219 S Union St Unit 2nd Floor Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 45d 1 1.33mi
219 S Union St Fl REAR Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 15d 1 1.33mi
1 Ann St Middletown, PA 1.0 1.0 700 $975 $1.39 15d 1 1.34mi
167 Ann St Unit 4 Middletown, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 15d 1 1.35mi
233 Ann St Unit 233 Upper Middletown, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,175 $1.47 24d 1 1.37mi
418 Wilson St Unit W10 Middletown, PA 1.0 1.0 675 $825 $1.22 15d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $46,400 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $46,400 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $46,400 Active 88 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $46,400 Active 87 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $46,400 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $46,400 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $46,400 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $46,400 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $46,400 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $46,400 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $46,400 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $46,400 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $46,400 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $46,400 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $46,400 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    remarks 605-char remark
  17. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $46,400 Active 70 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    price $48,900 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *

  19. 2026-04-22
    price $49,400 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *

  20. 2026-04-07
    price $49,900 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *

  21. 2026-03-21
    listed $54,900 Active 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *

  22. 2026-03-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Welcome to 109 Eby Lane! Renovated in 2025, this 1993 singlewide is move in ready. With 2 beds and 1 bath, this home gives you an affordable opportunity to own instead of rent. The kitchen has new appliances and the rooms have new vinyl plank flooring. This home is conveniently located a short drive to the Harrisburg Airport or Turnpike for commuting. $503 monthly lot rent includes trash. Sewer is a flat fee of $66.76 per month and water is billed monthly per usage. Small indoor pets under 25 lbs are permitted with an extra monthly fee. * * Seller financing available with acceptable terms. * *

  23. 2026-02-12
    listed $54,900 Active
  24. 2026-01-27
    historical
  25. 2025-12-02
    price $64,500
  26. 2025-11-13
    price $65,000
  27. 2025-11-07
    price $67,500
  28. 2025-10-29
    listed $69,999 Active
  29. 2025-10-26
    historical
  30. 1996-12-18
    soldstatus $15,800
  31. 1995-06-01
    soldstatus $15,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$599 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$666 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$67/yr (+$6/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,008
− Mortgage interest
−$2,599
− Property taxes
−$599
− Insurance
−$1,030
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,281
− Management
−$1,281
− Depreciation
−$1,350
Taxable income
$7,870
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,889
After-tax cash flow
$6,209/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middletown Area SD
NCES district ID
4215240
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$53,128
Composite
33.08/100
National rank
#5567
State rank
#368 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lower Swatara

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
23,560
Household income
$73,407
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
748.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.17%
Current HPI
265.6077
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+209.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $48,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $49,400 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-02 Price Changed $64,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $67,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $69,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-26 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 1996-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $15,800 Public Records
  • 1995-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $599 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…