905 Tupuna Dr · Tool, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in Tool, Texas on 0.69 acres nestled in a forest, this home offers a rare opportunity to create something truly your own! The home is currently framed for a 2 bedroom layout, giving you a head start while leaving the interior unfinished and ready for your vision. The kitchen is a blank slate with no cabinetry in place, allowing complete customization to fit your design and functionality goals. Whether you’re looking to build a private retreat, investment property, or weekend getaway near Cedar Creek Lake, this property delivers flexibility and potential in a peaceful, wooded environment.
Key facts
- Investment property
- 0.69 acres
- Private retreat
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $963 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 2.4% in Tool — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#651 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Malakoff ISD (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #187 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Malakoff El (math 58% / reading 54%, grade C+, #574 of 4,322 statewide, top 14%, 457 students, 75% FRL); Malakoff Middle (math 48% / reading 54%, grade C, #326 of 1,662 statewide, top 20%, 323 students, 72% FRL); Malakoff H S (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #591 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 378 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 542 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.25%
- DSCR
- 3.32
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $179,500
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -50.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 Midway Rd | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,386 (+11%) | 0mo | $47,000 | $34 | 65 |
| 1313 Aloha Rd | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (+2%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $215 | 61 |
| 708 Kontiki Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-2%) | 22mo | $269,000 | $218 | 58 |
| 1525 Oak Shore Dr | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,204 (-4%) | 23mo | $599,000 | $498 | 46 |
| 219 Midway Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+10%) | 11mo | $259,900 | $188 | 43 |
| 1805 Scenic Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,298 (+4%) | 13mo | $425,000 | $327 | 40 |
| 207 Tanglewood Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+12%) | 18mo | $314,500 | $224 | 36 |
| 1801 Scenic Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-9%) | 14mo | $129,999 | $114 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $48,606
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 55.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.50×
- Total profit
- $121,566
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $291,500 ($220/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 56 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -35.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75143
- Home prices YoY
- -11.4%
- Active inventory
- 542
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$5
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $963
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,008 | -5% $986 | +0% $963 | +5% $941 | +10% $918 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $807 | -5% $885 | +0% $963 | +5% $1,041 | +10% $1,119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,003 | -0.5pp $983 | base $963 | +0.5pp $943 | +1.0pp $922 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1813 Oak Shore Dr Tool, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,975 | $2.18 | 93d | 1 | 0.68mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Directions provided to the property
- Financial info
- Listing terms: CashLoan type: Treat As ClearNo second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community
- Mandatory association with Paradise Bay POAAnnual association fee $60 covering management feesHOA management phone available
Exterior
- Parking
- Open parking (no covered, carport, or garage spaces listed)
- Utilities
- City sewerMUD waterProperty in a Municipal Utility District
- Home design
- Single family residenceResidential propertyOne storyPreowned (built in 2020)Subdivision: RUSSELL SUR
- Construction
- Metal sidingMetal roofPillar/post/pier foundationBuilt in 2020
- Exterior features
- Property has many treesWill not subdivide
Interior
- Kitchen
- No appliances included
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring
- Wood flooring
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Interior features
- One-level layoutLiving area approximately 800One living area and one dining areaOther interior features
- Laundry & utility
- No laundry appliances listed
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $79,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $79,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $79,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-05price $79,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $89,500 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $89,500 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $89,500 Active 116 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $89,500 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $89,500 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $89,500 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $89,500 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $89,500 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $89,500 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $89,500 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $89,500 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $89,500 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-17pricedays on market $89,500 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $92,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $92,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $92,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $92,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $92,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $92,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $92,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $92,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $92,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $92,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $92,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $92,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $92,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $92,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $92,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $92,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $92,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $92,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $92,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $92,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $92,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $92,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $92,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $92,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $92,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $92,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $92,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $92,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $92,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $92,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $92,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $92,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $92,000 Active 53 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,738 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,738
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,896
- − Management
- −$1,896
- − HOA
- −$60
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $10,991
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,638
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,920/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, repainting, and repairing the exterior siding and fencing. These updates will significantly improve the home's value and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible damage and potential leaks.
- Major exterior siding — The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting or replacement.
- Major fencing — The fencing is rusted and in poor condition.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale repairing the roof — A repaired roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and reduce the risk of water damage. ↑
- Resale repainting the exterior siding — A fresh coat of paint will improve the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Both repairing the fencing — A repaired and painted fence will improve the home's curb appeal and provide better security. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Malakoff ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828780
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,970
- Composite
- 42.54/100
- National rank
- #3200
- State rank
- #187 of 826 in TX
Livability — Tool
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #651
- US rank
- #12292
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tool, TX
- County
- Kaufman · 80,471 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,676
- Household income
- $68,996
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,471 people
- By 2030
- 80,608 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 80,087 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 78,208 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 72,423 · -10.0%
- By 2100
- 61,012 · -24.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Henderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.99%
- Current HPI
- 332.57
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $92,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $100,000 NTREIS
- 2011-01-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-10-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,738 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…