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1-3 Grove St Duplex
B Composite 70.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,500

1-3 Grove St · Ogdensburg, NY 13669
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1860 4,510 sqft lot Est $63k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

2 family home being offered at a great price with lots of great updates. instant income. (Unit 1)- 2 BR, 1 Bath @ $500/month (Unit 2) 1BR, 1Bath @ $450/month.

Key facts

  • Cement driveway
  • Fenced backyard
  • 4,510 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYMONTHLY RENTAL INCOMELAWN CARE AND SNOW REMOVALFENCED BACKYARDVIEWS OF THE OSWEGATCHIE RIVERCEMENT DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $760 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $380/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 5.3% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, crime F.
  • Ogdensburg City School District (town): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($481 loan paydown + $742 appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $70k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.39%
Cap rate
19.42%
Cash-on-cash
46.88%
DSCR
3.09
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$63,480
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1-3 Grove 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,380 (0%) 18mo $63,222 $46 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$50,014
Equity at exit
$23,970
10-year hold
IRR
51.2%
Equity multiple
7.14×
Total profit
$119,510
Equity at exit
$32,042

Cash invested: $19,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13669

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,661 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$364
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,903/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$760

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $69,500
Occupancy floor 49%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $844
1× unit 1 1 $817
Total (2 units) $1,661

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,375
Closing costs
$2,085
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-25
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-21
    listed $69,500 Active
  3. 2016-11-01
    soldstatus $23,000
  4. 2016-10-31
    soldstatus $23,000 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    2 family home being offered at a great price with lots of great updates. instant income. (Unit 1)- 2 BR, 1 Bath @ $500/month (Unit 2) 1BR, 1Bath @ $450/month.

  5. 2016-10-31
    soldstatus $23,000 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    2 family home being offered at a great price with lots of great updates. instant income. (Unit 1)- 2 BR, 1 Bath @ $500/month (Unit 2) 1BR, 1Bath @ $450/month.

  6. 2016-03-27
    listed $30,000 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    2 family home being offered at a great price with lots of great updates. instant income. (Unit 1)- 2 BR, 1 Bath @ $500/month (Unit 2) 1BR, 1Bath @ $450/month.

  7. 2016-03-02
    listed $30,000 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    2 family home being offered at a great price with lots of great updates. instant income. (Unit 1)- 2 BR, 1 Bath @ $500/month (Unit 2) 1BR, 1Bath @ $450/month.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,903 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,903 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,932
− Mortgage interest
−$3,893
− Property taxes
−$1,903
− Insurance
−$348
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,595
− Management
−$1,595
− Depreciation
−$2,022
Taxable income
$8,578
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,059
After-tax cash flow
$7,064/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ogdensburg City School District
NCES district ID
3621660
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$38,253
Composite
33.33/100
National rank
#5497
State rank
#531 of 590 in NY

Livability — Ogdensburg

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11365

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ogdensburg, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,615

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Polish 6% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · German/W. Germanic 9% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.07%
Current HPI
264.0261
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+131.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Pending SLCMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $69,500 SLCMLS
  • 2016-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 2016-10-31 Sold (MLS) $23,000 SLCMLS
  • 2016-10-31 Sold (MLS) $23,000 CNYIS
  • 2016-03-27 Listed $30,000 CNYIS
  • 2016-03-02 Listed $30,000 SLCMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,903 · +18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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