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10769 Ichetucknee Way
C- Composite 52.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$262,740

10769 Ichetucknee Way · New Port Richey, FL 34655
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,394 sqft · Townhouse · 44 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition Garage $188/sqft · 22% below area Est $337k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This new two-story townhome is host to an inviting open-concept layout on the first floor, combining the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. Two bedrooms make up the second level, including a lavish owner's suite with a full bathroom and walk-in closet. A single-car garage offers ample storage and parking space at the back of the home.

Key facts

  • Single-car garage
  • Full bathroom
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTKITCHEN LIVING DINING AREASOWNER'S SUITEFULL BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETSINGLE-CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $263k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($3/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $230k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.2% in New Port Richey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#67 in FL, #1,139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D, employment F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Longleaf Elementary School (math 69% / reading 73%, grade A-, #320 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 639 students, 40% FRL); Seven Springs Middle School (math 73% / reading 65%, grade A, #68 of 571 statewide, top 12%, 1,628 students, 36% FRL); James W. Mitchell High School (math 60% / reading 63%, grade B-, #100 of 667 statewide, top 15%, 2,155 students, 32% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 67% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pasco average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 805 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $229,869 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
0.00%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$337,340
List price
$262,740
Delta
-22.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3738 Lonzalo 0.07mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,510 (+8%) 2mo $350,740 $232 76
10815 Ichetucknee Way 0.04mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,510 (+8%) 6mo $331,540 $220 74
10837 Ichetucknee 0.07mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,510 (+8%) 6mo $343,900 $228 73
3436 Lonzalo Way 0.38mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,530 (+10%) 1mo $345,000 $225 60
10629 Marsha Dr 0.32mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,530 (+10%) 9mo $355,000 $232 57
10647 Marsha Dr 0.32mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,530 (+10%) 21mo $343,000 $224 47
3448 Lonzalo Way 0.36mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,530 (+10%) 19mo $347,000 $227 46
3801 Herlong St 0.64mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,240 (-11%) 3mo $315,000 $254 44
3429 Durrance St 0.41mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,530 (+10%) 18mo $335,000 $219 44
3806 Herlong St 0.62mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,280 (-8%) 22mo $305,000 $238 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-49,262
Equity at exit
$39,175
10-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-68,771
Equity at exit
$22,717

Cash invested: $73,567 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
37 active · 2 under contract
Months of supply
44.4 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$281,990 ($197/sqft)
Median days on market
13 d
This list price
16% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+22.8% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34655

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
805
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,299 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,378
Tax est. 1.5%
$328 /mo · $3,941/yr
Insurance
$109
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$0

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,298
Max offer price $262,740
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $182 -5% $91 +0% $0 +5% $-91 +10% $-181
Rent -10% $-181 -5% $-91 +0% $0 +5% $91 +10% $182
Rate -1.0pp $133 -0.5pp $67 base $0 +0.5pp $-68 +1.0pp $-137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,685
Closing costs
$7,882
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10764 Ichetucknee Way New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.5 1510 $2,500 $1.66 73d 1 0.01mi
10812 Ichetucknee Way New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.5 1510 $2,550 $1.69 94d 1 0.03mi
10812 Ichetucknee Way New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.5 1510 $2,550 $1.69 10d 1 0.03mi
3774 Lonzalo Way New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.5 1463 $2,100 $1.44 3d 1 0.04mi
10822 Ichetucknee Way New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.5 1400 $2,500 $1.79 108d 1 0.04mi
10653 Marsha Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,600 $1.70 63d 1 0.30mi
10715 Marsha Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.5 1617 $2,800 $1.73 24d 1 0.31mi
10715 Marsha Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.5 1617 $2,800 $1.73 27d 1 0.31mi
3104 Town Ave Trinity, FL 1.0 1.0 882 $1,100 $1.25 3d 1 0.71mi
3104 Town Ave Trinity, FL 1.0 1.0 882 $1,100 $1.25 120d 1 0.71mi
11200 Callisia Dr Odessa, FL 2.0 2.0 1689 $2,900 $1.72 120d 1 0.74mi
3944 Watson Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.0 1614 $2,600 $1.61 106d 1 0.84mi
3554 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1148 $1,750 $1.52 10d 1 1.01mi
3832 Teeside Dr Unit 4 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 956 $1,495 $1.56 106d 1 1.01mi
3832 Teeside Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1034 $1,495 $1.45 100d 1 1.01mi
3819 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 956 $1,400 $1.46 7d 1 1.04mi
3516 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1288 $1,800 $1.40 43d 1 1.04mi
3712 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 923 $1,395 $1.51 10d 1 1.18mi
3668 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 923 $2,100 $2.28 32d 1 1.18mi
9635 Greenskeeper Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1148 $1,900 $1.66 120d 1 1.19mi
3683 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 923 $1,575 $1.71 44d 1 1.23mi
9400 Alta Sol Way New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1177 $1,749 $1.49 78d 1 1.45mi
4217 Prado Ln New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1161 $1,800 $1.55 10d 1 1.46mi
9303 Golf View Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1004 $2,500 $2.49 32d 1 1.47mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
List price: 279340

Exterior

Parking
1 garage space (1 total parking space)
Home design
Single-family home, spec inventoryActive listing
Exterior features
Living area: 1394

Interior

Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
Interior features
Spec new construction (Cypress plan)

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-07-16
    days on market $262,740 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-07-15
    days on market $262,740 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-07-14
    price $262,740 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-07-13
    days on market $262,640 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-07-13
    days on market $262,640 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-07-11
    days on market $262,640 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-07-10
    days on market $262,640 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-07-09
    pricedays on market $262,640 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-07-07
    days on market $280,640 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-07-06
    days on market $280,640 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-07-06
    days on market $280,640 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-07-05
    days on market $280,640 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-07-03
    days on market $280,640 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-07-03
    days on market $280,640 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-07-01
    days on market $280,640 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-06-30
    days on market $280,640 Active 28 DOM
  17. 2026-06-29
    days on market $280,640 Active 27 DOM
  18. 2026-06-28
    days on market $280,640 Active 26 DOM
  19. 2026-06-27
    days on market $280,640 Active 25 DOM
  20. 2026-06-26
    days on market $280,640 Active 24 DOM
  21. 2026-06-24
    pricedays on market $280,640 Active 22 DOM
  22. 2026-06-18
    days on market $279,440 Active 16 DOM
  23. 2026-06-17
    days on market $279,440 Active 15 DOM
  24. 2026-06-16
    days on market $279,440 Active 14 DOM
  25. 2026-06-15
    days on market $279,440 Active 13 DOM
  26. 2026-06-13
    days on market $279,440 Active 11 DOM
  27. 2026-06-09
    days on market $279,440 Active 7 DOM
  28. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,440 Active 6 DOM
  29. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $279,440 Active 5 DOM
  30. 2026-06-04
    days on market $279,340 Active 2 DOM
  31. 2026-06-02
    remarks 362-char remark
  32. 2026-06-02
    listed $279,340 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,584
− Mortgage interest
−$14,718
− Property taxes
−$3,941
− Insurance
−$1,314
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,207
− Management
−$2,207
− Depreciation
−$7,643
Taxable loss
−$4,445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,067
After-tax cash flow
$1,070/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready townhome features a modern open-concept layout and well-maintained interiors, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the living areas — Replacing carpet with hardwood or tile can increase the home's value and appeal to a wider range of buyers/tenants.
C Composite school gradezoned avg 67/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Longleaf Elementary School A- FL #320/2,144 Nat'l #3,228/41,679 Middle Seven Springs Middle School A FL #68/571 Nat'l #913/14,009 High James W. Mitchell High School B- FL #100/667 Nat'l #3,404/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 82/100

Livability — New Port Richey

Score
82/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#1139

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pasco County · 570,045 people
City population
137,708
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
49,964
Household income
$85,470
Rent vs Own
23.5% rent · 76.5% own
Severe rent burden
21% of renters

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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