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998 Campbell Rd 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 42.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0

$165,000

998 Campbell Rd · Meansville, GA 30256
3 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1980 9.00 ac lot $71/sqft · 57% below area ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking For That Piece Of Property That Can Transform From A Diamond In The Rough? Can You Visualize And See What Something Could Be? Than This Property Is For You! Land Is Gorgeous On This Property. Open Pasture In Front And Wooded In The Back. Open 42' x 60' Workshop, Detached Carport, An Attached Workshop/Toy House To The Main House. Property On Market For Less Than Recent Appraisal. Bank Owned Property As-Is, Where-Is, No Disclosures.

Key facts

  • Private homesite
  • Mini farm
  • Investment property

Tags

9 SCENIC ACRESSTREAMOPEN AND WOODED LANDPRIVATE HOMESITEMINI FARMINVESTMENT PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 9-acre lot; Lot is listed as cleared, grassed and partially wooded
  • HOA & community: No HOA; No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Parking pad; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Fixer condition; Outbuilding on the property
  • Construction: Built in 1980; Wood siding and other construction materials; Composition roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Open, private lot; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features; One-level living; Crawl space basement; No fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (14.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (23.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#561 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Pike County (rural): math 32% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #64 of 174 in GA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 43% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,969 (23.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.31%
Cash-on-cash
-3.51%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$382,811
List price
$165,000
Delta
-56.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1046 Rose Hill Rd 0.67mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,125 (-8%) 13mo $424,900 $200 37
298 Campbell Rd 0.68mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,464 (+6%) 23mo $384,010 $156 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$81,272
Equity at exit
$148,645
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
6.33×
Total profit
$246,124
Equity at exit
$320,559

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30256

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,260 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,355/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$-135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,431
Max offer price $141,134
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-42 -5% $-88 +0% $-135 +5% $-182 +10% $-229
Rent -10% $-235 -5% $-185 +0% $-135 +5% $-85 +10% $-36
Rate -1.0pp $-52 -0.5pp $-93 base $-135 +0.5pp $-178 +1.0pp $-221

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2025-03-26
    historical
  16. 2025-01-03
    status Back On Market
  17. 2024-12-26
    status Under Contract
  18. 2024-12-10
    listed $170,000 New
  19. 2024-12-10
    listed $165,000 New 699-char remark
  20. 2024-07-25
    soldstatus $125,000
  21. 2016-03-29
    price $81,000
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking For That Piece Of Property That Can Transform From A Diamond In The Rough? Can You Visualize And See What Something Could Be? Than This Property Is For You! Land Is Gorgeous On This Property. Open Pasture In Front And Wooded In The Back. Open 42' x 60' Workshop, Detached Carport, An Attached Workshop/Toy House To The Main House. Property On Market For Less Than Recent Appraisal. Bank Owned Property As-Is, Where-Is, No Disclosures.

  22. 2016-03-14
    soldstatus $81,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking For That Piece Of Property That Can Transform From A Diamond In The Rough? Can You Visualize And See What Something Could Be? Than This Property Is For You! Land Is Gorgeous On This Property. Open Pasture In Front And Wooded In The Back. Open 42' x 60' Workshop, Detached Carport, An Attached Workshop/Toy House To The Main House. Property On Market For Less Than Recent Appraisal. Bank Owned Property As-Is, Where-Is, No Disclosures.

  23. 2016-01-13
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking For That Piece Of Property That Can Transform From A Diamond In The Rough? Can You Visualize And See What Something Could Be? Than This Property Is For You! Land Is Gorgeous On This Property. Open Pasture In Front And Wooded In The Back. Open 42' x 60' Workshop, Detached Carport, An Attached Workshop/Toy House To The Main House. Property On Market For Less Than Recent Appraisal. Bank Owned Property As-Is, Where-Is, No Disclosures.

  24. 2016-01-13
    price $85,000
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking For That Piece Of Property That Can Transform From A Diamond In The Rough? Can You Visualize And See What Something Could Be? Than This Property Is For You! Land Is Gorgeous On This Property. Open Pasture In Front And Wooded In The Back. Open 42' x 60' Workshop, Detached Carport, An Attached Workshop/Toy House To The Main House. Property On Market For Less Than Recent Appraisal. Bank Owned Property As-Is, Where-Is, No Disclosures.

  25. 2015-07-23
    listed $85,000 New
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Looking For That Piece Of Property That Can Transform From A Diamond In The Rough? Can You Visualize And See What Something Could Be? Than This Property Is For You! Land Is Gorgeous On This Property. Open Pasture In Front And Wooded In The Back. Open 42' x 60' Workshop, Detached Carport, An Attached Workshop/Toy House To The Main House. Property On Market For Less Than Recent Appraisal. Bank Owned Property As-Is, Where-Is, No Disclosures.

  26. 2014-12-29
    historical
  27. 2014-12-04
    listed $145,000 New
  28. 2014-11-01
    historical
  29. 2014-10-30
    status Back On Market
  30. 2014-05-15
    status Under Contract
  31. 2014-03-12
    listed $169,000 New
  32. 2012-02-02
    historical
  33. 2011-11-17
    price $175,000 Reduced
  34. 2011-10-20
    price $189,900 Reduced
  35. 2011-10-13
    status Back On Market
  36. 2011-10-12
    historical
  37. 2011-09-15
    price $199,000 Reduced
  38. 2011-08-25
    price $215,000 Reduced
  39. 2011-06-10
    listed $225,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,355 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,355 · $196/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 43% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,116
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,355
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,209
− Management
−$1,209
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$4,525
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,086
After-tax cash flow
$-535/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pike County
NCES district ID
1304170
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$53,484
Composite
29.84/100
National rank
#6414
State rank
#64 of 174 in GA

Livability — Meansville

Score
53/100
State rank
#561
US rank
#24648

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,007

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,433 people
By 2030
18,537 · +0.6%
By 2040
18,371 · -0.3%
By 2050
17,676 · -4.1%
By 2075
15,564 · -15.6%
By 2100
12,317 · -33.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.4) · D 13.1% · R 86.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.8pp toward R · 2008: -60.6pp · 2024: -73.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.4 2020: R+71.1 2016: R+69.6 2012: R+65.5 2008: R+60.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.02%
Current HPI
254.6289
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.4% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2025-03-26 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2024-12-26 Pending GAMLS
  • 2024-12-10 Listed $170,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-12-10 Listed $165,000 GAMLS
  • 2024-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2016-03-29 Price Changed $81,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-03-14 Sold (MLS) $81,000 GAMLS
  • 2016-01-13 Pending GAMLS
  • 2016-01-13 Price Changed $85,000 GAMLS
  • 2015-07-23 Listed $85,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-12-29 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2014-12-04 Listed $145,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-11-01 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2014-10-30 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2014-05-15 Pending GAMLS
  • 2014-03-12 Listed $169,000 GAMLS
  • 2012-02-02 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2011-11-17 Price Changed $175,000 GAMLS
  • 2011-10-20 Price Changed $189,900 GAMLS
  • 2011-10-13 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2011-10-12 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2011-09-15 Price Changed $199,000 GAMLS
  • 2011-08-25 Price Changed $215,000 GAMLS
  • 2011-06-10 Listed $225,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,355 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…