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5040 Jackson St #48
B+ Composite 77.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

5040 Jackson St #48 · North Highlands, CA 95660
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1973 $56/sqft · 26% below area Est $88k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming & Affordable 55+ Mobile Home in Lamplighter Sacramento! Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity to own a well-built, structurally sound manufactured home in the friendly and welcoming Lamplighter Sacramento Mobile Home Park! With a spacious and smart floor plan, newer dual-pane windows, and a roof that's just two years old, this home offers both comfort and peace of mind. A little updating and a fresh coat of paint will transform this gem into your dream sanctuary, while the like-new engineered wood floors provide a solid foundation to build upon. Enjoy the generous outdoor space, perfect for gardening, relaxing, or entertaining. Plus, ample outdoor storage allows for ea

Key facts

  • Full kitchen
  • Roof two years old
  • Parking

Tags

NEWER DUAL-PANE WINDOWSROOF TWO YEARS OLDENGINEERED WOOD FLOORSGENEROUS OUTDOOR SPACEAMPLE OUTDOOR STORAGEFULL KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 4.1% in North Highlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#523 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Twin Rivers Unified (suburban): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #970 of 1,400 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.87%
Cap rate
26.42%
Cash-on-cash
71.89%
DSCR
4.20
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$87,585
List price
$65,000
Delta
-25.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5040 Jackson St #149 0.07mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 12mo $88,000 $71 73
4814 Independence Ln 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,080 (-6%) 4mo $65,000 $60 68
5040 Jackson St #23 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,213 (+5%) 12mo $119,500 $99 67
5040 Jackson St #101 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,070 (-7%) 14mo $75,000 $70 66
4125 Potomac Ln #129 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (+4%) 8mo $58,000 $48 66
4130 Annapolis Ln #159 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,225 (+6%) 9mo $107,500 $88 64
5040 Jackson St #126 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,056 (-8%) 18mo $78,000 $74 63
5040 Jackson St #79 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 17mo $75,500 $60 62
4125 Vicksburg Ln #187 0.24mi 2/1.0 1,045 (-9%) 13mo $60,000 $57 58
4139 Minute Man Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,283 (+11%) 11mo $92,000 $72 56
5020 Valley Frg 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 988 (-14%) 2mo $89,900 $91 53
4133 Potomac Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,298 (+13%) 10mo $100,000 $77 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.69% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
74.4%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$64,078
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
78.9%
Equity multiple
10.21×
Total profit
$167,638
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95660

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,865 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$15 /mo · $181/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$1,090

Break-even live

Break-even rent $485
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5123 Shell St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 912 $1,950 $2.14 1d 1 0.29mi
4020 Tricia Way Unit 4688001002 North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,495 $1.50 43d 1 0.34mi
4008 Tricia Way North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 12d 1 0.35mi
3800 Madison Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 524 $1,500 $2.86 1d 7 0.38mi
5416 Jackson St North Highlands, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 720 $1,750 $2.43 1d 30 0.41mi
5061 Shell St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,000 $2.67 1d 1 0.42mi
3731 Scallop Ct North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 924 $2,150 $2.33 43d 1 0.42mi
5520 Harrison St North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 735 $1,478 $2.01 7d 1 0.48mi
5516 Palmdale Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1115 $2,250 $2.02 20d 1 0.52mi
4930 Polk St North Highlands, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 938 $1,795 $1.91 1d 3 0.57mi
4605 Cyclamen Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,695 $1.95 1d 1 0.69mi
4215 Palm Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,660 $2.14 1d 3 0.69mi
3609 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,795 $1.99 1d 2 0.72mi
5625 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 875 $2,150 $2.46 1d 1 0.74mi
5001 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1106 $2,400 $2.17 1d 1 0.75mi
4358 Greenholme Dr #9 Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 844 $1,695 $2.01 3d 1 0.76mi
4561 Ashcroft Ave Unit 52 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 1d 1 0.76mi
4552 Ashcroft Ave Unit 36D Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 1d 1 0.76mi
4561 Ashcroft Ave Apt 49 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 888 $1,499 $1.69 1d 1 0.76mi
3652 McClellan Dr North Highlands, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,650 $2.20 1d 1 0.77mi
5048 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,588 $1.59 43d 1 0.78mi
3517 Myrtle Ave North Highlands, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 3d 1 0.81mi
5011 Bremner Way #2 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 1d 1 0.83mi
5011 Bremner Way #3 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 23d 1 0.83mi
4909 Date Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $1,750 $2.37 43d 1 0.83mi
5614 Hillsdale Blvd Unit A Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.5 933 $1,450 $1.55 22d 1 0.84mi
4728 Amber Ln Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 730 $1,900 $2.60 19d 1 0.84mi
5800 Hamilton St Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 823 $1,770 $2.15 1d 4 0.86mi
5008 Bremner Way #3 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,650 $1.94 1d 1 0.87mi
5733 San Vincente Way North Highlands, CA 3.0 1.0 925 $2,195 $2.37 2d 1 0.91mi
4549 Greenholme Dr #2 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 840 $2,000 $2.38 3d 1 0.93mi
5674 Hillsdale Blvd Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.5 933 $1,600 $1.71 1d 1 0.94mi
5600 Walerga Rd #4 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 924 $1,700 $1.84 1d 1 0.97mi
5415 College Oak Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $1,725 $2.03 1d 3 0.99mi
4815 Mary Kate Dr Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 43d 1 1.02mi
4716 Tulane Ct Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1303 $2,450 $1.88 23d 1 1.02mi
5443 College Oak Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 821 $1,850 $2.25 43d 3 1.02mi
4661 Orange Grove Ave Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,495 $2.14 23d 2 1.03mi
4821 Mary Kate Dr Unit 4823 Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,675 $1.60 1d 1 1.03mi
5525 Missie Way Unit 8346003001/85 Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,985 $1.99 1d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $65,000 Pending 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $65,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,500 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,500 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,500 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,500 Active 56 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$181 · $15/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$494 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$313/yr (+$26/mo · 173.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,379
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$181
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,790
− Management
−$1,790
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$12,761
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,063
After-tax cash flow
$10,021/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin Rivers Unified
NCES district ID
0601332
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,481
Composite
30.67/100
National rank
#11437
State rank
#970 of 1400 in CA

Livability — North Highlands

Score
61/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#17613

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Highlands, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
56,900
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,451
Household income
$68,235
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
1300.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 9% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 5% Scotch-Irish 2% Scandinavian 2%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 9% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -273.83%
Current HPI
438.1022
Rent YoY
▲ 5.69%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $181 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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