320 W Coal St · Shenandoah, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFUL WOODEN STAIRCASE. RELAXING REAR COVERED PATIO. 2 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR, (NO HEAT). ROOF APP 4 YEARS OLD. APPLIANCES INCLUDED
Key facts
- Private bedrooms
- Dining area
- Kitchen layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 12.5% in Shenandoah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#720 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shenandoah Valley El Sch (math 21% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,116 of 1,518 statewide, top 74%, 667 students, 100% FRL); Shenandoah Valley Jshs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #365 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 539 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 66% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $70k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.35%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $198,378
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 N Gilbert St | 0.09mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,678 (-13%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $54 | 59 |
| 250 Ohio Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,900 (-1%) | 21mo | $176,000 | $93 | 57 |
| 162 Swatara Rd | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,859 (-4%) | 4mo | $191,000 | $103 | 57 |
| 39 S Schuylkill Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,765 (-8%) | 12mo | $159,000 | $90 | 54 |
| 284 Indiana Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,812 (-6%) | 23mo | $170,000 | $94 | 50 |
| 109 Chestnut St | 0.22mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 2,208 (+15%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $54 | 48 |
| 60 Schuylkill Ave | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,827 (-5%) | 20mo | $258,000 | $141 | 41 |
| 480 Texas Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,852 (-4%) | 24mo | $230,000 | $124 | 41 |
| 382 Ohio Ave | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (-14%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $127 | 38 |
| 598 California Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,692 (-12%) | 20mo | $190,000 | $112 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $54,560
- Equity at exit
- $34,805
- IRR
- 46.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.66×
- Total profit
- $130,279
- Equity at exit
- $56,426
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17976
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $905/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $674
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $714 | -5% $694 | +0% $674 | +5% $655 | +10% $635 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $560 | -5% $617 | +0% $674 | +5% $732 | +10% $789 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $710 | -0.5pp $692 | base $674 | +0.5pp $656 | +1.0pp $638 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 E Oak St Shenandoah, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2220 | $1,450 | $0.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-04-09$69,900 Active
-
2002-03-20soldstatus $18,500 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
BEAUTIFUL WOODEN STAIRCASE. RELAXING REAR COVERED PATIO. 2 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR, (NO HEAT). ROOF APP 4 YEARS OLD. APPLIANCES INCLUDED
-
2002-03-13soldstatus $18,500
-
2002-02-27historical 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
BEAUTIFUL WOODEN STAIRCASE. RELAXING REAR COVERED PATIO. 2 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR, (NO HEAT). ROOF APP 4 YEARS OLD. APPLIANCES INCLUDED
-
2002-01-30$18,500 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
BEAUTIFUL WOODEN STAIRCASE. RELAXING REAR COVERED PATIO. 2 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR, (NO HEAT). ROOF APP 4 YEARS OLD. APPLIANCES INCLUDED
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $905 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,005 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$100/yr (+$8/mo · 11.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$905
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,392
- − Management
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $7,413
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,779
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shenandoah Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221490
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,968
- Composite
- 23.58/100
- National rank
- #7851
- State rank
- #454 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shenandoah
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #720
- US rank
- #7134
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shenandoah, PA
- City population
- 5,988
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,988
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 30% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.84%
- Current HPI
- 308.8036
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+277.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-03-20 Sold (MLS) $18,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
- 2002-02-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-01-30 Listed $18,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $905 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…