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320 W Coal St
B+ Composite 75.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$69,900

320 W Coal St · Shenandoah, PA 17976
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,926 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1900 871 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFUL WOODEN STAIRCASE. RELAXING REAR COVERED PATIO. 2 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR, (NO HEAT). ROOF APP 4 YEARS OLD. APPLIANCES INCLUDED

Key facts

  • Private bedrooms
  • Dining area
  • Kitchen layout

Tags

THREE STORY ROW HOMECOMFORTABLE LIVING ROOMDINING AREAKITCHEN LAYOUTGENEROUSLY SIZED FULL BATHPRIVATE BEDROOMS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 12.5% in Shenandoah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#720 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Shenandoah Valley El Sch (math 21% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,116 of 1,518 statewide, top 74%, 667 students, 100% FRL); Shenandoah Valley Jshs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #365 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 539 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 66% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $70k implies a 278% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
17.87%
Cash-on-cash
41.35%
DSCR
2.84
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$198,378
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28 N Gilbert St 0.09mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,678 (-13%) 12mo $90,000 $54 59
250 Ohio Ave 0.35mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,900 (-1%) 21mo $176,000 $93 57
162 Swatara Rd 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,859 (-4%) 4mo $191,000 $103 57
39 S Schuylkill Ave 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,765 (-8%) 12mo $159,000 $90 54
284 Indiana Ave 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,812 (-6%) 23mo $170,000 $94 50
109 Chestnut St 0.22mi 2/1.5 (-1) 2,208 (+15%) 13mo $120,000 $54 48
60 Schuylkill Ave 0.45mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,827 (-5%) 20mo $258,000 $141 41
480 Texas Ave 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,852 (-4%) 24mo $230,000 $124 41
382 Ohio Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (-14%) 10mo $210,000 $127 38
598 California Ave 0.65mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,692 (-12%) 20mo $190,000 $112 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.0%
Equity multiple
3.79×
Total profit
$54,560
Equity at exit
$34,805
10-year hold
IRR
46.9%
Equity multiple
7.66×
Total profit
$130,279
Equity at exit
$56,426

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17976

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $905/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$674

Break-even live

Break-even rent $596
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $714 -5% $694 +0% $674 +5% $655 +10% $635
Rent -10% $560 -5% $617 +0% $674 +5% $732 +10% $789
Rate -1.0pp $710 -0.5pp $692 base $674 +0.5pp $656 +1.0pp $638

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 E Oak St Shenandoah, PA 4.0 1.5 2220 $1,450 $0.65 45d 1 0.34mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    listed $69,900 Active
  3. 2002-03-20
    soldstatus $18,500 131-char remark
    Show marketing remark (131 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL WOODEN STAIRCASE. RELAXING REAR COVERED PATIO. 2 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR, (NO HEAT). ROOF APP 4 YEARS OLD. APPLIANCES INCLUDED

  4. 2002-03-13
    soldstatus $18,500
  5. 2002-02-27
    historical 131-char remark
    Show marketing remark (131 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL WOODEN STAIRCASE. RELAXING REAR COVERED PATIO. 2 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR, (NO HEAT). ROOF APP 4 YEARS OLD. APPLIANCES INCLUDED

  6. 2002-01-30
    listed $18,500 131-char remark
    Show marketing remark (131 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL WOODEN STAIRCASE. RELAXING REAR COVERED PATIO. 2 ROOMS ON 3RD FLOOR, (NO HEAT). ROOF APP 4 YEARS OLD. APPLIANCES INCLUDED

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$905 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,005 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$100/yr (+$8/mo · 11.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,400
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$905
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,392
− Management
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$7,413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,779
After-tax cash flow
$6,314/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shenandoah Valley SD
NCES district ID
4221490
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$31,968
Composite
23.58/100
National rank
#7851
State rank
#454 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shenandoah

Score
71/100
State rank
#720
US rank
#7134

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shenandoah, PA
City population
5,988
Population (ZIP)
5,988

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 12% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 11%
Common ancestry
Romanian 20% Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 30% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.84%
Current HPI
308.8036
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+277.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-03-20 Sold (MLS) $18,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
  • 2002-02-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-01-30 Listed $18,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $905 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…