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47 Saint Henry Dr
C+ Composite 61.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

47 Saint Henry Dr · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1960 6,098 sqft lot $92/sqft · 9% above area Est $73k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Freshly updated 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with a 1 car attached garage located just minutes from Downtown St. Louis! This move-in ready property features fresh paint throughout, new carpet and new flooring, some updated light fixtures, and an updated bathroom. The refreshed kitchen includes freshly painted cabinets and new countertops for a clean, modern feel. Major updates include a new roof in 2024. Enjoy the large partially fenced flat yard with plenty of space for outdoor activities, entertaining, or pets. Excellent opportunity for homeowners or investors alike! Property has strong rental potential with estimated rents of approximately $1,200-$1,400 per month. Conveniently located near

Key facts

  • Updated bathroom
  • Refreshed kitchen
  • New roof

Tags

UPDATED BATHROOMREFRESHED KITCHENNEW ROOFPARTIALLY FENCED YARDSTRONG RENTAL POTENTIALCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 864 (assessor)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with space for 1 car
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built year and foundation information from assessor
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No built-in appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $614 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wirth/Parks Middle School (617 students, 0% FRL); Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,476/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
15.51%
Cash-on-cash
32.92%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,098
List price
$79,900
Delta
9.31%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Saint Columba Dr 0.20mi 3/— 888 (+3%) 2mo $35,000 $39 84
1071 St Margaret Dr 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (0%) 0mo $6,150 $7 82
6 Saint Columba Dr 0.20mi 3/1.0 888 (+3%) 0mo $105,000 $118 82
4 Saint Lambert Dr 0.28mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 3mo $105,000 $122 80
713 Saint Norbert Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $65,000 $75 65
3 Saint Columba Dr 0.22mi 3/1.0 957 (+11%) 5mo $105,000 $110 63
8 Saint Gregory Dr 0.21mi 4/1.0 (+1) 957 (+11%) 1mo $110,000 $115 62
607 Saint Monica Dr 0.70mi 3/1.5 888 (+3%) 2mo $35,000 $39 59
601 Saint Monica Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 888 (+3%) 2mo $105,000 $118 58
700 Saint Martin Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 888 (+3%) 2mo $105,000 $118 57
712 Saint Monica Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 888 (+3%) 2mo $82,500 $93 57
718 Saint Martin Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 912 (+6%) 3mo $105,000 $115 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.1%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$26,169
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
35.6%
Equity multiple
4.27×
Total profit
$73,217
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,476 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$614

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $669 -5% $641 +0% $614 +5% $586 +10% $559
Rent -10% $497 -5% $556 +0% $614 +5% $672 +10% $730
Rate -1.0pp $654 -0.5pp $634 base $614 +0.5pp $593 +1.0pp $572

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1115 Saint Marcella Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 16d 1 0.08mi
1130 Water St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 25d 1 0.22mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 24d 1 0.65mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 45d 1 0.70mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 5d 1 0.75mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 5d 1 0.88mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 0d 1 0.92mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 25d 1 0.92mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 45d 1 0.92mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 0d 1 0.94mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 25d 1 0.94mi
101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL 2.0 1.0 770 $900 $1.17 45d 1 0.94mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 45d 1 0.98mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 24d 1 1.01mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 45d 1 1.03mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 45d 1 1.11mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 45d 1 1.16mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 5d 1 1.42mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on market $79,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $79,900 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    listed $79,900 Active 1024-char remark
  17. 2025-05-20
    listed $87,500 Active
  18. 2025-05-19
    historical
  19. 2025-03-26
    listed $87,500 Active
  20. 2024-03-13
    soldstatus $65,000
  21. 2017-08-18
    price $32,900
  22. 2005-12-27
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,711
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,417
− Management
−$1,417
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$6,479
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,555
After-tax cash flow
$5,811/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-10 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-20 Listed $87,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-19 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $87,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2017-08-18 Price Changed $32,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-21.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $90 · -94.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…