1650 E Polk St · Paris, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This clean 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or make it your own, this home is ready for its next chapter.Don't miss out on this prime investment! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a showing. Seller is not accepting blind offers.
Key facts
- New walls
- Brand new roof
- New paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property offered for sale (standard listing); Directions available: From Clarksville St, turn right onto 12th St SE, left onto E Polk St; house on the right
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No covered or carport spaces; On-street parking
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1998; Not attached to another unit; Subdivision: Gibbons-Braden Add
- Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.143 acre); Public-record lot size
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom on main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: One-level layout; Five total rooms; One living area; Dining room
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $704 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 3.6% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 275 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.50%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1061 19th St SE | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,096 (-2%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $55 | 81 |
| 939 SE 12th St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-3%) | 3mo | $49,900 | $46 | 81 |
| 613 SE 9th | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (0%) | 4mo | $88,480 | $79 | 68 |
| 1603 Neathery | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (+11%) | 13mo | $103,000 | $83 | 57 |
| 1337 E Houston St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,090 (-3%) | 3mo | $179,500 | $165 | 57 |
| 217 19th St SE | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,010 (-10%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $153 | 52 |
| 825 Cedar St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 984 (-12%) | 6mo | $52,500 | $53 | 51 |
| 2430 Culbertson St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+9%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $110 | 47 |
| 225 16th St SE | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 974 (-13%) | 14mo | $119,000 | $122 | 44 |
| 420 8th St SW | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $29 | 39 |
| 630 9th St SE | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-15%) | 9mo | $39,900 | $42 | 38 |
| 365 24th St SE | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,278 (+14%) | 8mo | $74,900 | $59 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $31,048
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 38.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $84,704
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75460
- Active inventory
- 275
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,552 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $493/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $704
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $752 | -5% $728 | +0% $704 | +5% $680 | +10% $656 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $581 | -5% $643 | +0% $704 | +5% $765 | +10% $827 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $747 | -0.5pp $726 | base $704 | +0.5pp $682 | +1.0pp $660 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2121 Cedar St Paris, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 649 E Price St Paris, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 370 29th St NE Paris, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1220 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3215 Clarksville St Paris, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,395 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-26$85,000 Active
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2026-02-23historical
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2026-02-04price $51,000
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2026-01-12price $52,000
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2025-12-29price $54,000
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2025-12-05price $55,000
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2025-11-14price $58,000
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2025-10-21price $59,000
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2025-09-12price $60,000
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2025-08-29$65,000 Active
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2025-06-16soldstatus Closed 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This clean 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or make it your own, this home is ready for its next chapter.Don't miss out on this prime investment! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a showing. Seller is not accepting blind offers.
-
2025-06-16soldstatus
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This clean 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or make it your own, this home is ready for its next chapter.Don't miss out on this prime investment! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a showing. Seller is not accepting blind offers.
-
2025-05-22status Pending 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This clean 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or make it your own, this home is ready for its next chapter.Don't miss out on this prime investment! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a showing. Seller is not accepting blind offers.
-
2025-04-22price $35,000 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This clean 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or make it your own, this home is ready for its next chapter.Don't miss out on this prime investment! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a showing. Seller is not accepting blind offers.
-
2025-04-01price $39,999 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This clean 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or make it your own, this home is ready for its next chapter.Don't miss out on this prime investment! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a showing. Seller is not accepting blind offers.
-
2025-03-02$45,000 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
This clean 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom property is the perfect canvas for your next project. Whether you're looking to flip, rent, or make it your own, this home is ready for its next chapter.Don't miss out on this prime investment! Contact us today for more details or to schedule a showing. Seller is not accepting blind offers.
-
2007-03-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $493 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,556 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,062/yr (+$89/mo · 215.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,627
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$493
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,490
- − Management
- −$1,490
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $7,494
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,799
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,649/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paris ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834290
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,515
- Composite
- 29.83/100
- National rank
- #6419
- State rank
- #521 of 826 in TX
Livability — Paris
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #984
- US rank
- #17535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paris, TX
- County
- Lamar County · 23,426 people
- City population
- 23,426
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,426
- Household income
- $46,473
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1355.0
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,319 people
- By 2030
- 47,160 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 44,621 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 42,024 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 36,577 · -24.3%
- By 2100
- 30,580 · -36.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.50%
- Current HPI
- 145.3511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+88.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $85,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-23 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $51,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $52,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-29 Price Changed $54,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $55,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $58,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $59,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $60,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-29 Listed $65,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2025-05-22 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-04-22 Price Changed $35,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-01 Price Changed $39,999 NTREIS
- 2025-03-02 Listed $45,000 NTREIS
- 2007-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $493 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…