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318 S Worth St
B Composite 74.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

318 S Worth St · Sullivan, IL 61951
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1947 6,534 sqft lot $56/sqft · 15% below area Est $111k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy 1.5 story home on a quiet street in Sullivan. Large living room that can double as living space with dining space. Eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinetry for storage and a walk-in pantry. Main floor also features a bedroom and half bath. Upstairs are 2 good sized bedrooms and a large full bath. In the lower level you'll find a recreation room with a bar and waterproof flooring. There is also a large full bath downstairs and the unfinished portion is great for storage or could easily be finished for more living space. Out back is a patio and a privacy fenced yard with plenty of shade. This home has been updated with new flooring, neutral paint and some replacement windows. There is more space here than meets the eye so call today for a showing!

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1947

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fees required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 6500

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (~14 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (master on main; two additional bedrooms on second level, each ~12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Basement contains a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished partial basement; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 6.4% in Sullivan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#647 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Sullivan CUSD 300 (town): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #338 of 620 in IL (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Moultrie County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Moultrie County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.08%
Cash-on-cash
20.68%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,384
List price
$95,000
Delta
-14.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
820 Sunset Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,688 (-1%) 7mo $179,900 $107 72
202 E Monroe St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,831 (+8%) 2mo $217,000 $119 71
929 S Washington St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,823 (+7%) 4mo $182,000 $100 62
1420 E Jackson St 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,748 (+3%) 8mo $237,000 $136 57
710 N Worth St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,609 (-5%) 6mo $200,000 $124 55
919 Van Buren St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-11%) 2mo $162,000 $107 54
308 Blackwood St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,500 (-12%) 2mo $123,600 $82 48
14 Seth Dunscomb Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,880 (+11%) 6mo $200,000 $106 45
716 W Monroe St 0.61mi 4/3.5 (+1) 1,821 (+7%) 8mo $195,000 $107 44
20 Pifers Ln 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,468 (-14%) 3mo $173,000 $118 43
607 N Van Buren St 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,520 (-11%) 8mo $163,000 $107 40
720 Strain St 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,502 (-12%) 8mo $176,000 $117 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$13,868
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$49,936
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61951

Home prices YoY
-7.6%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,499 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,256/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $512 -5% $485 +0% $458 +5% $432 +10% $405
Rent -10% $340 -5% $399 +0% $458 +5% $518 +10% $577
Rate -1.0pp $506 -0.5pp $483 base $458 +0.5pp $434 +1.0pp $409

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1612 S Hamilton St Sullivan, IL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1057 $1,499 $1.42 14d 3 0.98mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $95,000 Pending 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $95,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $95,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    listed $99,900 Active 194-char remark
  18. 2020-09-04
    soldstatus $85,000 758-char remark
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Cozy 1.5 story home on a quiet street in Sullivan. Large living room that can double as living space with dining space. Eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinetry for storage and a walk-in pantry. Main floor also features a bedroom and half bath. Upstairs are 2 good sized bedrooms and a large full bath. In the lower level you'll find a recreation room with a bar and waterproof flooring. There is also a large full bath downstairs and the unfinished portion is great for storage or could easily be finished for more living space. Out back is a patio and a privacy fenced yard with plenty of shade. This home has been updated with new flooring, neutral paint and some replacement windows. There is more space here than meets the eye so call today for a showing!

  19. 2020-09-04
    soldstatus $85,000
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Cozy 1.5 story home on a quiet street in Sullivan. Large living room that can double as living space with dining space. Eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinetry for storage and a walk-in pantry. Main floor also features a bedroom and half bath. Upstairs are 2 good sized bedrooms and a large full bath. In the lower level you'll find a recreation room with a bar and waterproof flooring. There is also a large full bath downstairs and the unfinished portion is great for storage or could easily be finished for more living space. Out back is a patio and a privacy fenced yard with plenty of shade. This home has been updated with new flooring, neutral paint and some replacement windows. There is more space here than meets the eye so call today for a showing!

  20. 2020-09-04
    soldstatus $85,000
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Cozy 1.5 story home on a quiet street in Sullivan. Large living room that can double as living space with dining space. Eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinetry for storage and a walk-in pantry. Main floor also features a bedroom and half bath. Upstairs are 2 good sized bedrooms and a large full bath. In the lower level you'll find a recreation room with a bar and waterproof flooring. There is also a large full bath downstairs and the unfinished portion is great for storage or could easily be finished for more living space. Out back is a patio and a privacy fenced yard with plenty of shade. This home has been updated with new flooring, neutral paint and some replacement windows. There is more space here than meets the eye so call today for a showing!

  21. 2020-07-21
    listed $84,900 758-char remark
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Cozy 1.5 story home on a quiet street in Sullivan. Large living room that can double as living space with dining space. Eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinetry for storage and a walk-in pantry. Main floor also features a bedroom and half bath. Upstairs are 2 good sized bedrooms and a large full bath. In the lower level you'll find a recreation room with a bar and waterproof flooring. There is also a large full bath downstairs and the unfinished portion is great for storage or could easily be finished for more living space. Out back is a patio and a privacy fenced yard with plenty of shade. This home has been updated with new flooring, neutral paint and some replacement windows. There is more space here than meets the eye so call today for a showing!

  22. 2020-07-21
    listed $84,900
    Show marketing remark (758 chars)

    Cozy 1.5 story home on a quiet street in Sullivan. Large living room that can double as living space with dining space. Eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinetry for storage and a walk-in pantry. Main floor also features a bedroom and half bath. Upstairs are 2 good sized bedrooms and a large full bath. In the lower level you'll find a recreation room with a bar and waterproof flooring. There is also a large full bath downstairs and the unfinished portion is great for storage or could easily be finished for more living space. Out back is a patio and a privacy fenced yard with plenty of shade. This home has been updated with new flooring, neutral paint and some replacement windows. There is more space here than meets the eye so call today for a showing!

  23. 2009-11-20
    soldstatus $63,000
  24. 2009-11-06
    soldstatus $63,000
  25. 2009-08-28
    listed $69,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,256 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,256 · $188/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,988
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$2,256
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,439
− Management
−$1,439
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$4,294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,030
After-tax cash flow
$4,471/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sullivan CUSD 300
NCES district ID
1738130
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$47,763
Composite
21.41/100
National rank
#8346
State rank
#338 of 620 in IL

Livability — Sullivan

Score
65/100
State rank
#647
US rank
#13204

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sullivan, IL
Population (ZIP)
7,654

Population outlook (Moultrie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,766 people
By 2030
14,490 · -1.9%
By 2040
13,848 · -6.2%
By 2050
13,063 · -11.5%
By 2075
10,862 · -26.4%
By 2100
7,963 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 8% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Moultrie

2024 margin
Solid R (+49.1) · D 24.8% · R 73.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-36.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.8pp · 2024: -49.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+49.1 2020: R+49.0 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+27.1 2008: R+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.15%
Current HPI
208.2808
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $99,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-04 Sold (MLS) $85,000 CIBR
  • 2020-07-21 Listed $84,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-21 Listed $84,900 CIBR
  • 2009-11-20 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 2009-08-28 Listed $69,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,256 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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