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803 James St
C- Composite 53.57
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$180,000

803 James St · Belding, MI 48809
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,107 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1900 8,712 sqft lot Est $193k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and full of potential, this cute older home is tucked away in a quiet neighborhood and ready for its next chapter. Featuring spacious bedrooms, generous living areas, and a price that stands out from the rest of the market, this home offers endless possibilities to make it your own. With so much space and character at an incredible value, this could be your next home!Offers Due Monday, May 11th at 4pm.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Public water; 0.2-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Total of 8 rooms; Michigan-style basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($382/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.5% in Belding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#169 in MI, #4,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Belding Area School District (town): math 23% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #398 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Ionia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Ionia County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $152,655 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.76%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$192,618
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
613 James St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,146 (+4%) 11mo $223,000 $195 76
807 S Pearl St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,160 (+5%) 4mo $187,000 $161 75
516 Pearl St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+1%) 13mo $190,000 $170 74
818 Pleasant St 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,028 (-7%) 6mo $190,000 $185 66
111 E Congress St 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,163 (+5%) 11mo $190,000 $163 64
810 James St 0.03mi 3/1.5 1,268 (+14%) 12mo $228,806 $180 63
808 Riverside St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,107 (0%) 9mo $130,000 $117 60
308 W Division St 0.30mi 3/1.0 988 (-11%) 12mo $200,000 $202 58
315 Hall St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,270 (+15%) 6mo $205,000 $161 56
545 Howard St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,122 (+1%) 12mo $195,000 $174 52
522 S Front St 0.38mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,260 (+14%) 12mo $199,900 $159 44
702 Morton Ave 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,223 (+10%) 12mo $256,000 $209 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$100,042
Equity at exit
$162,158
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
6.81×
Total profit
$292,973
Equity at exit
$349,700

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48809

Home prices YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,527 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,862/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,486
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $134 -5% $83 +0% $32 +5% $-19 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-89 -5% $-28 +0% $32 +5% $92 +10% $152
Rate -1.0pp $123 -0.5pp $78 base $32 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this cute older home is tucked away in a quiet neighborhood and ready for its next chapter. Featuring spacious bedrooms, generous living areas, and a price that stands out from the rest of the market, this home offers endless possibilities to make it your own. With so much space and character at an incredible value, this could be your next home!Offers Due Monday, May 11th at 4pm.

  2. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this cute older home is tucked away in a quiet neighborhood and ready for its next chapter. Featuring spacious bedrooms, generous living areas, and a price that stands out from the rest of the market, this home offers endless possibilities to make it your own. With so much space and character at an incredible value, this could be your next home!Offers Due Monday, May 11th at 4pm.

  3. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this cute older home is tucked away in a quiet neighborhood and ready for its next chapter. Featuring spacious bedrooms, generous living areas, and a price that stands out from the rest of the market, this home offers endless possibilities to make it your own. With so much space and character at an incredible value, this could be your next home!Offers Due Monday, May 11th at 4pm.

  4. 2026-05-08
    listed $180,000 Active 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this cute older home is tucked away in a quiet neighborhood and ready for its next chapter. Featuring spacious bedrooms, generous living areas, and a price that stands out from the rest of the market, this home offers endless possibilities to make it your own. With so much space and character at an incredible value, this could be your next home!Offers Due Monday, May 11th at 4pm.

  5. 2026-05-08
    listed $180,000 Active 414-char remark
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this cute older home is tucked away in a quiet neighborhood and ready for its next chapter. Featuring spacious bedrooms, generous living areas, and a price that stands out from the rest of the market, this home offers endless possibilities to make it your own. With so much space and character at an incredible value, this could be your next home!Offers Due Monday, May 11th at 4pm.

  6. 2026-05-08
    listed $180,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (414 chars)

    Charming and full of potential, this cute older home is tucked away in a quiet neighborhood and ready for its next chapter. Featuring spacious bedrooms, generous living areas, and a price that stands out from the rest of the market, this home offers endless possibilities to make it your own. With so much space and character at an incredible value, this could be your next home!Offers Due Monday, May 11th at 4pm.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,862 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,317 · $193/mo
Expected delta
+$455/yr (+$38/mo · 24.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,319
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$1,862
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,465
− Management
−$1,465
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$2,694
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$646
After-tax cash flow
$1,029/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belding Area School District
NCES district ID
2604530
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,310
Composite
23.33/100
National rank
#7915
State rank
#398 of 540 in MI

Livability — Belding

Score
74/100
State rank
#169
US rank
#4436

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belding, MI
Population (ZIP)
11,292

Population outlook (Ionia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,958 people
By 2030
63,321 · -1.0%
By 2040
61,544 · -3.8%
By 2050
58,682 · -8.2%
By 2075
48,909 · -23.5%
By 2100
35,867 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ionia

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.0pp toward R · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.9 2020: R+30.3 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.8 2008: R+5.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.30%
Current HPI
412.5108
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $180,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $180,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,862 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…