9078 Artesian St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2 br update brick ranch on well maintained area and street of Detroit. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and L/V flooring. Updated bath new ceramic tile and floors. New molding and door throughout home. New L/V floors in all of home. Newer windows, hot water tank and furnace. Large fence in back yard for kids or pets. Basement is partially finished recess lights painted walls and floors. Good size front porch relax on. Great for first time buyer or to have as a investment to rent out. Just move in and get comfortable. Tennent occupied please call listing agent for all appointments. Patrick Peteet
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 82 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.57%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $52,666
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- 32.72%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8900 Artesian St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 746 (-0%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $47 | 86 |
| 9109 Stahelin Ave | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+12%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $30 | 76 |
| 9046 Grandville Ave | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 787 (+5%) | 11mo | $72,000 | $91 | 73 |
| 8257 Minock St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 737 (-2%) | 8mo | $32,000 | $43 | 62 |
| 8062 Grandville Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (-2%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $82 | 60 |
| 9107 Vaughan St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 732 (-2%) | 12mo | $47,000 | $64 | 59 |
| 9244 Heyden | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 801 (+7%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $44 | 59 |
| 8863 Vaughan St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+7%) | 4mo | $58,500 | $73 | 52 |
| 8068 Stahelin Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 807 (+8%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $43 | 49 |
| 8848 Heyden St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 813 (+8%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $80 | 45 |
| 11329 Minock St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+9%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $61 | 43 |
| 9560 Plainview Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 857 (+14%) | 8mo | $88,000 | $103 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $2,840
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $12,887
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $310 | -5% $290 | +0% $270 | +5% $250 | +10% $231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $186 | -5% $228 | +0% $270 | +5% $312 | +10% $354 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $305 | -0.5pp $288 | base $270 | +0.5pp $252 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,117 | $1.62 | 2d | 15 | 0.38mi |
| 20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,350 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12611 Memorial St Unit 629104 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 12611 Memorial St Unit 629203 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $995 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $69,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-03-29$69,900 Active 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Nice 2 br update brick ranch on well maintained area and street of Detroit. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and L/V flooring. Updated bath new ceramic tile and floors. New molding and door throughout home. New L/V floors in all of home. Newer windows, hot water tank and furnace. Large fence in back yard for kids or pets. Basement is partially finished recess lights painted walls and floors. Good size front porch relax on. Great for first time buyer or to have as a investment to rent out. Just move in and get comfortable. Tennent occupied please call listing agent for all appointments. Patrick Peteet
-
2026-03-29$69,900 Active 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Nice 2 br update brick ranch on well maintained area and street of Detroit. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and L/V flooring. Updated bath new ceramic tile and floors. New molding and door throughout home. New L/V floors in all of home. Newer windows, hot water tank and furnace. Large fence in back yard for kids or pets. Basement is partially finished recess lights painted walls and floors. Good size front porch relax on. Great for first time buyer or to have as a investment to rent out. Just move in and get comfortable. Tennent occupied please call listing agent for all appointments. Patrick Peteet
-
2026-03-25historical $69,900 608-char remark
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Nice 2 br update brick ranch on well maintained area and street of Detroit. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and L/V flooring. Updated bath new ceramic tile and floors. New molding and door throughout home. New L/V floors in all of home. Newer windows, hot water tank and furnace. Large fence in back yard for kids or pets. Basement is partially finished recess lights painted walls and floors. Good size front porch relax on. Great for first time buyer or to have as a investment to rent out. Just move in and get comfortable. Tennent occupied please call listing agent for all appointments. Patrick Peteet
-
2026-03-25historical
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Nice 2 br update brick ranch on well maintained area and street of Detroit. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and L/V flooring. Updated bath new ceramic tile and floors. New molding and door throughout home. New L/V floors in all of home. Newer windows, hot water tank and furnace. Large fence in back yard for kids or pets. Basement is partially finished recess lights painted walls and floors. Good size front porch relax on. Great for first time buyer or to have as a investment to rent out. Just move in and get comfortable. Tennent occupied please call listing agent for all appointments. Patrick Peteet
-
2026-03-25historical
Show marketing remark (608 chars)
Nice 2 br update brick ranch on well maintained area and street of Detroit. Updated kitchen with new cabinets and L/V flooring. Updated bath new ceramic tile and floors. New molding and door throughout home. New L/V floors in all of home. Newer windows, hot water tank and furnace. Large fence in back yard for kids or pets. Basement is partially finished recess lights painted walls and floors. Good size front porch relax on. Great for first time buyer or to have as a investment to rent out. Just move in and get comfortable. Tennent occupied please call listing agent for all appointments. Patrick Peteet
-
2025-12-11price $74,900
-
2025-12-10price $74,900
-
2025-11-08$79,900 Active
-
2025-11-08$79,900 Active
-
2025-11-01historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,075 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,075 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,742
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,075
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,019
- − Management
- −$1,019
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,330
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$559
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-25 Coming Soon $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-08 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-08 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-01 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,075 · -54.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…