8840 Highway 14 E · Valley Grande, AL 36703

$50,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 996 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 179 Days on market

Built 1945 0.28 ac lot ↓ 17% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

two to three bedroom possibly, concrete block home. Great investment opportunity. Home is sold as is, please bring any reasonable offers

Key facts

• 0.28 acre lot
• Built 1945
• Listed 178 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 5.1% in Valley Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#218 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Dallas County (rural): math 2% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #115 of 129 in AL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Dallas County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $44,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.75% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.74%
• Cash-on-cash: 33.73%
• DSCR: 2.50
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 50.1%
• Equity multiple: 4.73×
• Total profit: $52,278
• Equity at exit: $45,044

10-year hold

• IRR: 43.8%
• Equity multiple: 10.59×
• Total profit: $134,211
• Equity at exit: $97,139

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36703

• Home prices YoY: 13.2%
• Active inventory: 52
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $877 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$16 /mo · $194/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$184
• Net cashflow: $393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $379

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $422	-5% $408	+0% $393	+5% $379	+10% $365
Rent	-10% $324	-5% $359	+0% $393	+5% $428	+10% $463
Rate	-1.0pp $419	-0.5pp $406	base $393	+0.5pp $381	+1.0pp $367

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-09
   days on market $50,000 Active 179 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $50,000 Active 178 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $50,000 Active 177 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $50,000 Active 176 DOM
5. 2026-06-04
   days on market $50,000 Active 173 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $50,000 Active 172 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $50,000 Active 171 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $50,000 Active 170 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $50,000 Active 169 DOM
10. 2026-04-08
    price $50,000 136-char remark

    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    two to three bedroom possibly, concrete block home. Great investment opportunity. Home is sold as is, please bring any reasonable offers

11. 2025-12-11
    listed $60,000 Active 136-char remark

    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    two to three bedroom possibly, concrete block home. Great investment opportunity. Home is sold as is, please bring any reasonable offers

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $194 · $16/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $205 · $17/mo
• Expected delta: +$11/yr (+$1/mo · 5.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,522
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$194
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$842
• − Management: −$842
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $4,139
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$993
• After-tax cash flow: $3,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dallas County
• NCES district ID: 0101110
• Math proficiency: 2% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $32,660
• Composite: 9.54/100
• National rank: #9847
• State rank: #115 of 129 in AL

Livability — Valley Grande

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #218
• US rank: #16561

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 22,358
• Population (ZIP): 9,489

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 35,464 people
• By 2030: 32,631 · -8.0%
• By 2040: 27,246 · -23.2%
• By 2050: 22,691 · -36.0%
• By 2075: 14,867 · -58.1%
• By 2100: 10,285 · -71.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 69% White 26% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+32.5) · D 65.9% · R 33.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 32.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+32.5 2020: D+37.5 2016: D+37.6 2012: D+39.7 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 19.24%
• Current HPI: 164.88
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

-16.7% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-08 Price Changed $50,000 MAAR
• 2025-12-11 Listed $60,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $194 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.