4537 Lamplighter Cir · Colorado Springs, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- $360 HOA
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1985
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Acceptable financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
- HOA & community: HOA required; HOA dues $360 monthly; HOA covers covenant enforcement, snow removal, and trash removal; Complex amenities include green areas
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Municipal water; Cable available; Electricity
- Home design: Condominium; Ground floor entry
- Construction: Full basement (100% finished); Existing home
- Exterior features: Wood frame structure; Masonite-type siding; Composite shingle roof; Landscaped; Level lot; Near park, public transit, schools, and shopping
Interior
- Kitchen: 220v outlet in kitchen; Dishwasher; Range oven (gas/electric); Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Ground floor unit
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl/Linoleum; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Great room; Skylights; Vaulted ceilings; Main wood fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-462/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (4.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Harrison School District No. 2 In The County Of El Paso An (urban): math 16% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #67 of 86 in CO (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $67k; list at $150k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.10%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-27,585
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-30,529
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80916
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,540 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $553/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$360
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $-38
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4537 Lamplighter Cir Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1028 | $1,195 | $1.16 | 2d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2521 Astrozon Cir Unit 2525 Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2521 Astrozon Cir Unit 2523 Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 2d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2702 Dickens Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,093 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1960 S Chelton Rd Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $1,223 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4703 Goodwin Grv Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 605 | $1,525 | $2.52 | 2d | 8 | 0.69mi |
| 4046 Mallette Hts Colorado Springs, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 737 | $1,659 | $2.25 | 2d | 6 | 0.69mi |
| 4027 Charleston Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $2,000 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4919 Rusty Nail Pt Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1237 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4960 Fountain Ford Vw Colorado Springs, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $1,872 | $1.92 | 2d | 28 | 0.72mi |
| 4221 Baytown Dr Unit 4221 Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,650 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4062 Baytown Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,795 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4325 Fountain Springs Grv Colorado Springs, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 920 | $1,328 | $1.44 | 2d | 5 | 0.77mi |
| 1737 Ramjet PT Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 642 | $1,784 | $2.78 | 2d | 42 | 0.78mi |
| 2023 Murray Creek Ct Colorado Springs, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 569 | $1,394 | $2.45 | 2d | 4 | 0.79mi |
| 3178 Starlight Cir Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 928 | $1,550 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3127 Moonbeam Cir S Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,099 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3066 Starlight Cir Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 928 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3080 Starlight Cir Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,650 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1810 Kaleidos Vw Colorado Springs, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,998 | $1.95 | 2d | 6 | 0.91mi |
| 4287 Deerfield Hills Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1138 | $2,150 | $1.89 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5150 Selby Ranch Pt Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1626 | $2,365 | $1.45 | 2d | 93 | 0.94mi |
| 2129 Delta Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 960 | $1,025 | $1.07 | 23d | 4 | 0.94mi |
| 4710 Spacewalk Way Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,049 | $1.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4815 Tory Ridge Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1415 | $2,850 | $2.01 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4287 Deerfield Hills Rd Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1138 | $2,150 | $1.89 | 2d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3562 Lenoso Ter Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $1,650 | $1.68 | 2d | 6 | 1.07mi |
| 1825 Zebulon Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 851 | $1,066 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3310 Cochran Dr Unit D Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,249 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1785 Zebulon Dr Unit D Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,125 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1334 Firefly Cir Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3445 Cochran Dr Unit B Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,400 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3459 Springnite Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1432 Sandalwood Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 742 | $1,356 | $1.83 | 2d | 24 | 1.14mi |
| 3475 Cochran Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,250 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3480 Cochran Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $995 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1210 Firefly Cir Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,143 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3448 Kingfisher Nest Grv Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1216 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3885 Lakehurst Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 578 | $1,253 | $2.17 | 2d | 10 | 1.20mi |
| 3815 Lakehurst Dr Colorado Springs, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,241 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $360 · $4,320/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-13price $150,000
-
2026-04-21status Active
-
2026-04-11status Pending
-
2026-03-26price $170,000
-
2025-10-24$185,000 Active
-
2008-07-31soldstatus $67,000
-
2007-03-02soldstatus $75,418
-
2003-01-29soldstatus $79,900
-
1998-12-04soldstatus $59,900
-
1990-03-20soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $553 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $825 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$272/yr (+$23/mo · 49.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,481
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$553
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,478
- − Management
- −$1,478
- − HOA
- −$4,320
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,864
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$687
- After-tax cash flow
- $226/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison School District No. 2 In The County Of El Paso An
- NCES district ID
- 0804530
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,242
- Composite
- 21.47/100
- National rank
- #8333
- State rank
- #67 of 86 in CO
Livability — Colorado Springs
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #2639
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Colorado Springs, CO
- County
- El Paso County · 689,348 people
- City population
- 555,783
- Metro
- Colorado Springs, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,104
- Household income
- $67,127
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2041.0
Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 768,926 people
- By 2030
- 815,739 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 903,489 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 981,204 · +27.6%
- By 2075
- 1,155,542 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 1,202,070 · +56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 38% White 37% Two or more races 18% Black 15% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · El Paso
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.8) · D 43.8% · R 53.5% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.8 2020: R+10.8 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.77%
- Current HPI
- 301.5415
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Metro
- Colorado Springs, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+92.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $150,000 elevateMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — elevateMLS
- 2026-04-11 Pending — elevateMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $170,000 elevateMLS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $185,000 elevateMLS
- 2008-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $75,418 Public Records
- 2003-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 1998-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 1990-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2024): $553 · +48.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…