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658 Earl North Rd
D- Composite 36.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

658 Earl North Rd · Newnan, GA 30263
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,588 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 2000 1.10 ac lot Est $313k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful 3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home On Over An Acre In Newnan! This Adorable Home Boasts New Flooring, Spacious Living Area With Lots Of Natural Light, And More! Large Kitchen Offers Lots Of Cabinet Space, Solid Surface Countertops, Eat-In Dining Area, And A View To The Gorgeous Back Yard. Upstairs You Will Find 3 Bedrooms And Two Full Bathrooms! Large Utility/Laundry Room In Basement And Fantastic Bonus Room That Would Be Perfect For A Playroom, Office, Or Man Cave. Outside You Have Space To Spread Out And Enjoy The Tranquility Of This Great Location In Newnan! You Do Not Want To Miss Out On This One! Call Today To Schedule A Showing!**Newer HVAC!

Key facts

  • Deck area
  • Recent updates
  • Bright living area

Tags

RECENT UPDATESFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTBRIGHT LIVING AREAAMPLE SPACE FOR COOKINGDECK AREACONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Garage and off-street parking for 1 vehicle
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); Two levels; Resale property
  • Construction: Built in 2000; Vinyl siding construction; Composition roofing
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Property has a view; Lot approximately 1.1 acres; No notable lot features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total, including 1 bedroom on the lower level
  • Flooring: Laminate floors; Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Finished and partially finished basement with some unfinished areas; Bonus room; Family room; Owner-reported living area
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-314 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (20.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (35.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (35.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.8% in Newnan — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#184 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, employment B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coweta County (rural): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #36 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Atkinson Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #810 of 1,228 statewide, top 69%, 359 students, 55% FRL); Smokey Road Middle School (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #271 of 470 statewide, top 60%, 595 students, 60% FRL); Newnan High School (math 42% / reading 26%, grade F, #93 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 2,335 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 37% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Coweta County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 540 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 963 units permitted in Coweta County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coweta County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $185k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 34% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,787 (35.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.89%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$312,836
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
715 Earl North Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,596 (+0%) 4mo $314,900 $197 91
724 Earl North Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,696 (+7%) 3mo $255,000 $150 81
890 Earl North Rd 0.42mi 3/3.0 1,781 (+12%) 2mo $544,900 $306 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.8%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-64,879
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-83,533
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30263

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
540
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,788 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$170 /mo · $2,037/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$-314

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,185
Max offer price $219,518
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-158 -5% $-236 +0% $-314 +5% $-392 +10% $-470
Rent -10% $-455 -5% $-385 +0% $-314 +5% $-243 +10% $-173
Rate -1.0pp $-176 -0.5pp $-244 base $-314 +0.5pp $-385 +1.0pp $-458

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $275,000 Under Contract 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 New 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    remarks 505-char remark
  4. 2026-06-13
    listed $275,000 New 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,037 · $170/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,530 · $211/mo
Expected delta
+$493/yr (+$41/mo · 24.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 34% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,454
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,037
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,716
− Management
−$1,716
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$8,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,111
After-tax cash flow
$-1,658/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coweta County
NCES district ID
1301500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$62,978
Composite
35.72/100
National rank
#4860
State rank
#36 of 174 in GA

Livability — Newnan

Score
66/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#11578

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Coweta County · 148,589 people
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
61,695
Household income
$78,992
Rent vs Own
30.9% rent · 69.1% own
Severe rent burden
1320.0

Population outlook (Coweta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,063 people
By 2030
173,373 · +7.0%
By 2040
194,658 · +20.1%
By 2050
212,246 · +31.0%
By 2075
246,544 · +52.1%
By 2100
257,059 · +58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coweta

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.7% · R 66.6%
2008→2024 swing
+7.3pp toward D · 2008: -41.2pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+41.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.23%
Current HPI
249.0207
Rent YoY
▲ 2.87%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+207.3% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $275,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $189,900 Public Records
  • 2020-08-13 Sold (MLS) $189,900 GAMLS
  • 2020-07-17 Pending GAMLS
  • 2020-07-08 Listed $189,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-07-28 Price Changed $124,500 GAMLS
  • 2016-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $124,900 Public Records
  • 2016-04-10 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2016-04-08 Sold (MLS) $124,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-03-04 Pending GAMLS
  • 2016-03-04 Price Changed $124,900 GAMLS
  • 2016-03-02 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2016-02-25 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2016-02-19 Pending GAMLS
  • 2016-02-15 Listed $124,500 GAMLS
  • 2015-08-06 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2015-07-06 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2015-04-21 Pending GAMLS
  • 2015-04-01 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
  • 2015-03-20 Listed $145,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-04-06 Price Changed $51,500 GAMLS
  • 2013-03-15 Sold (MLS) $51,500 GAMLS
  • 2013-02-27 Pending GAMLS
  • 2013-02-27 Price Changed $53,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-02-22 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2013-02-12 Listed $53,000 GAMLS
  • 2000-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,037 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…