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407 E 2nd St
A- Composite 84.73
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,999

407 E 2nd St · Bishop, TX 78343
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 999 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 181 Days on market
Built 1980 8,999 sqft lot $70/sqft · 26% below area Est $94k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS! We just listed this 1-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that is located in a modest neighborhood in Bishop, Texas. It is just 5 minutes from local dining and gas stations and offers both convenience and accessibility. The home does need some repairs, but it presents a great opportunity for those looking to invest or create their dream space in the heart of Bishop. We also have two other homes available in the Bishop Area. You can buy just one or get a PACKAGE DEAL and buy all three properties. They are located at 407 East 2nd Street; 123 West Oregon Street; and 505 North Francis Street get all three for a Package Price of $129,999. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process to make this your dream investment.

Key facts

  • 8,999 sq ft lot
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 181 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-16/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $70k (0.3% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#189 in TX, #4,857 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Bishop CISD (town): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #486 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $13k; list at $70k implies a 440% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,599 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
13.58%
Cash-on-cash
26.03%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,981
List price
$69,999
Delta
-25.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
308 Hickory Ct 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 972 (-3%) 1mo $150,000 $154 79
304 W 1st St 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+8%) 13mo $52,250 $48 48
207 E 5th St 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+9%) 20mo $79,900 $73 42
413 W 2nd St 0.60mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-14%) 22mo $77,500 $90 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$19,647
Equity at exit
$43,205
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$58,602
Equity at exit
$77,669

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78343

Home prices YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $905/yr
Insurance
$29
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$-1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $69,766
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,999 Active 181 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,999 Active 180 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,999 Active 179 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,999 Active 178 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,999 Active 176 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,999 Active 175 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,999 Active 173 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,999 Active 172 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,999 Active 171 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,999 Active 170 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,999 Active 166 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,999 Active 165 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,999 Active 164 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,999 Active 163 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,999 Active 162 DOM
  16. 2025-12-19
    listed $69,999 Active 830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (830 chars)

    INVESTORS! We just listed this 1-story, 3-bedroom, 1-bath home that is located in a modest neighborhood in Bishop, Texas. It is just 5 minutes from local dining and gas stations and offers both convenience and accessibility. The home does need some repairs, but it presents a great opportunity for those looking to invest or create their dream space in the heart of Bishop. We also have two other homes available in the Bishop Area. You can buy just one or get a PACKAGE DEAL and buy all three properties. They are located at 407 East 2nd Street; 123 West Oregon Street; and 505 North Francis Street get all three for a Package Price of $129,999. WE MAKE IT EASY TO OWN. This is a great opportunity! Don't wait, call us today to get more information on the owner's easy terms and smooth process to make this your dream investment.

  17. 2005-07-19
    soldstatus
  18. 2001-04-30
    soldstatus 116-char remark
    Show marketing remark (116 chars)

    INVESTOR/HANDYMAN SPECIAL USE VA ADDENDIUMS LOCKBOX CODE IS 0944 VA VENDEE-NO FINANCING AVIALABLE PM# 461960

  19. 2001-04-03
    soldstatus $12,956
  20. 2001-01-25
    listed $16,200 116-char remark
    Show marketing remark (116 chars)

    INVESTOR/HANDYMAN SPECIAL USE VA ADDENDIUMS LOCKBOX CODE IS 0944 VA VENDEE-NO FINANCING AVIALABLE PM# 461960

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$905 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,281 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$376/yr (+$31/mo · 41.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,624
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$905
− Insurance
−$5,468
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,090
− Management
−$1,090
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable loss
−$887
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$213
After-tax cash flow
$197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bishop CISD
NCES district ID
4810260
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,296
Composite
31.2/100
National rank
#6044
State rank
#486 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bishop

Score
74/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#4857

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bishop, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,565

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 28% White 22% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 66%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 40%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.82%
Current HPI
111.5556
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+332.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $69,999 HARMLS
  • 2005-07-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-04-30 Sold (MLS) CBMLS
  • 2001-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $12,956 Public Records
  • 2001-01-25 Listed $16,200 CBMLS

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $905 · -50.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…