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4096 Northlight Dr
B- Composite 68.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

4096 Northlight Dr · Naples, FL 34112
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,234 sqft · Other · 37 Days on market
Built 1987 Good condition ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This condo is a must see, LOCATION LOCATION LOCATION. Great condo in a great location on NORTHLIGHT DR First time available End unit, The privacy of this condo is the best of WINTERPARK NAPLES, condos. First floor 2 bedroom 2 bathroom 1st floor condo Close to everything Naples, Florida has to offer, Dinning , Shopping and just 2 1/2 miles from Naples world famous white sandy beaches. Brand new floors throughout. Very large Resort style pool, Pickle ball, Tennis and botchy ball courts. Call or text to set up your viewing.

Key facts

  • Tennis
  • Pickle ball
  • Resort style pool

Tags

FIRST FLOORRESORT STYLE POOLPICKLE BALLTENNISBOTCHY BALL COURTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1987
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1,234
  • Exterior features: Located in the East Naples subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $239k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $330 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $239k).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 771 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,048/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $231,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.09%
Cash-on-cash
13.56%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-26,361
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-29,192
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34112

Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
771
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,048 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax est. 1.5%
$299 /mo · $3,585/yr
Insurance
$100
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$640
Net cashflow
$330

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,631
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4069 Northlight Dr #1805 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1234 $3,000 $2.43 21d 1 0.04mi
4010 Ice Castle Way #7 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1314 $3,200 $2.44 23d 1 0.07mi
4021 Ice Castle Way #4 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1246 $2,600 $2.09 14d 1 0.10mi
4040 Ice Castle Way Unit 2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1246 $2,800 $2.25 23d 1 0.15mi
4060 Ice Castle Way #10 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1246 $3,600 $2.89 14d 1 0.17mi
3504 Antarctic Cir Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1246 $3,000 $2.41 23d 1 0.29mi
83 Glades Blvd #3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1204 $5,200 $4.32 14d 1 0.30mi
3510 Antarctic Cir Unit 1 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,350 $1.96 23d 1 0.30mi
96 Glades Blvd Unit 513 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1370 $4,500 $3.28 14d 1 0.30mi
4180 Looking Glass Ln Unit 4104 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1246 $4,000 $3.21 14d 1 0.33mi
3608 Arctic Cir #514 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1250 $4,200 $3.36 23d 1 0.33mi
3618 Arctic Cir #3618 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $3,450 $2.88 23d 1 0.34mi
4210 Looking Glass Ln Unit 4210 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1300 $3,000 $2.31 14d 1 0.36mi
3563 Antarctic Cir #2102 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $3,800 $3.17 23d 1 0.38mi
3400 Frosty Way #5 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1284 $3,500 $2.73 14d 1 0.39mi
364 Tern Dr #4 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1264 $1,800 $1.42 14d 1 0.39mi
3676 Arctic Cir #112 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1246 $2,700 $2.17 21d 1 0.40mi
4502 Parrot Ave Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,950 $2.46 23d 1 0.41mi
348 Tern Dr #2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,800 $1.42 14d 1 0.43mi
348 Tern Dr Unit 4 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $5,000 $3.94 23d 1 0.43mi
1059 San Remo Ave Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 845 $1,795 $2.12 23d 1 0.45mi
306 Palm Dr #2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1270 $5,200 $4.09 23d 1 0.49mi
1111 Central Dr Unit 417A Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1265 $6,500 $5.14 23d 1 0.52mi
265 Palm Dr Unit 265-2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1215 $1,499 $1.23 14d 1 0.53mi
4472 Beechwood Lake Dr Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1352 $3,050 $2.26 23d 1 0.53mi
146 Lollypop Ln #851 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1335 $3,750 $2.81 23d 1 0.54mi
1895 Courtyard Way #103 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1046 $2,200 $2.10 21d 1 0.57mi
195 Peppermint Ln Unit 4 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1335 $2,500 $1.87 23d 1 0.58mi
202 Peppermint Ln #2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1335 $5,000 $3.75 14d 1 0.58mi
195 Peppermint Ln Unit 884 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1335 $3,800 $2.85 14d 1 0.58mi
195 Peppermint Ln #2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1198 $2,600 $2.17 14d 1 0.58mi
195 Peppermint Ln Unit 881 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1335 $5,000 $3.75 14d 1 0.58mi
256 Palm Dr #6 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1010 $4,500 $4.46 14d 1 0.58mi
2155 Great Blue Dr Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,910 $2.13 14d 43 0.58mi
1933 Courtyard Way Unit D-103 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 947 $1,850 $1.95 14d 1 0.60mi
239 Palm Dr #2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1215 $4,000 $3.29 14d 1 0.60mi
1814 Kings Lake Blvd #204 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,450 $1.75 23d 1 0.61mi
240 Palm Dr Unit 48-1 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 23d 1 0.62mi
1075 Foxfire Ln Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1092 $3,300 $3.02 23d 3 0.62mi
1826 Kings Lake Blvd #101 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,700 $1.85 14d 1 0.62mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $239,000 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,000 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-13
    price $239,000
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $249,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,574
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$3,585
− Insurance
−$6,314
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,926
− Management
−$2,926
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable income
$483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$116
After-tax cash flow
$3,839/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, first-floor condo in a prime location on Northlight Dr. in Naples, FL, is ready for new owners. Fresh landscaping and a fresh coat of paint would further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the interior look new
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can increase appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make the interior look new
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgraded fixtures can increase appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Naples

Score
80/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#1903

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Collier County · 396,295 people
City population
344,941
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,193
Household income
$69,842
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
980.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -235.10%
Current HPI
256.9182
Rent YoY
▼ -1.69%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $239,000 FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $249,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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