92-8884 Koa Ln · Hawaiian Ocean View, HI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sturdy but in need of TLC, this un-permitted house is a great deal for the right person. Located in the upper subdivision on a forested lot, it has mature landscaping, but has gotten overgrown; some trimming and cleaning up would make a world of difference. Property needs appliances and a new water tank. Flooring was removed to install new but problems for resident slowed that plan. There is plenty of storage space available, with an attached workshop and space under the house. Second adjacent acre, tmk# 3-9-2-43-51, is included in sale. Property is being sold 'As Is'. An affordable opportunity to own a beautiful property on the Big Island of Hawaii.
Key facts
- Attached workshop
- Forested lot
- Storage space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.2% in Hawaiian Ocean View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 48/100 on livability (#151 in HI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, schools D.
- Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 247 active listings in the ZIP; 982 units permitted in Hawaii County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Hawaii County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.79%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,973
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -23.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92-8814 Plumeria Ln | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 624 (+8%) | 16mo | $151,000 | $242 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $53,707
- Equity at exit
- $56,205
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.92×
- Total profit
- $137,124
- Equity at exit
- $86,619
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 37 Tenant-Leaning
- State Hawaii
- 37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96737
- Active inventory
- 247
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,861 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $606
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-02-05$125,000 Active 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Sturdy but in need of TLC, this un-permitted house is a great deal for the right person. Located in the upper subdivision on a forested lot, it has mature landscaping, but has gotten overgrown; some trimming and cleaning up would make a world of difference. Property needs appliances and a new water tank. Flooring was removed to install new but problems for resident slowed that plan. There is plenty of storage space available, with an attached workshop and space under the house. Second adjacent acre, tmk# 3-9-2-43-51, is included in sale. Property is being sold 'As Is'. An affordable opportunity to own a beautiful property on the Big Island of Hawaii.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,787
- − Management
- −$1,787
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $5,621
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,349
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,928/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including landscaping, painting, and appliance replacement. Improvements in these areas would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Landscaping — Dead trees and overgrown vegetation
- Major Appliances — Missing in kitchen and bathroom
- Major Paint — Chipped and worn interior walls
- Major Windows — Dirty and some frames damaged
- Major Flooring — Exposed subflooring in living areas
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the property's appearance would attract more buyers and renters
- Both Paint — Fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Appliances — New appliances would make the home more attractive to buyers and renters
- Both Windows — Clean and functional windows would improve the home's curb appeal and natural light
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Landscaping · Dead trees and overgrown vegetation | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Appliances · Missing in kitchen and bathroom | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Paint · Chipped and worn interior walls | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Dirty and some frames damaged | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Exposed subflooring in living areas | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the property's appearance would attract more buyers and renters ↑
- Both Paint — Fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Appliances — New appliances would make the home more attractive to buyers and renters ↑
- Both Windows — Clean and functional windows would improve the home's curb appeal and natural light ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hawaii Department Of Education
- NCES district ID
- 1500030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,005
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4504
- State rank
- #1 of 1 in HI
Livability — Hawaiian Ocean View
- Score
- 48/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #26127
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hawaiian Ocean View, HI
- City population
- 3,781
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,781
Population outlook (Hawaii County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 220,733 people
- By 2030
- 232,156 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 252,486 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 272,703 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 332,113 · +50.5%
- By 2100
- 398,342 · +80.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.81)
- Race & ethnicity
- Two or more races 42% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 6% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 10% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hawaii
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.3) · D 63.0% · R 34.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.7pp · 2024: 28.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.3 2020: D+36.2 2016: D+36.6 2012: D+51.3 2008: D+53.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Listed $125,000 HI Information Service
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…