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92-8884 Koa Ln
A- Composite 80.75
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$125,000

92-8884 Koa Ln · Hawaiian Ocean View, HI 96737
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · SingleFamily · 124 Days on market
Built 1995 Fair condition 1.00 ac lot $217/sqft · 24% below area Est $164k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sturdy but in need of TLC, this un-permitted house is a great deal for the right person. Located in the upper subdivision on a forested lot, it has mature landscaping, but has gotten overgrown; some trimming and cleaning up would make a world of difference. Property needs appliances and a new water tank. Flooring was removed to install new but problems for resident slowed that plan. There is plenty of storage space available, with an attached workshop and space under the house. Second adjacent acre, tmk# 3-9-2-43-51, is included in sale. Property is being sold 'As Is'. An affordable opportunity to own a beautiful property on the Big Island of Hawaii.

Key facts

  • Attached workshop
  • Forested lot
  • Storage space

Tags

FORESTED LOTMATURE LANDSCAPINGATTACHED WORKSHOPSTORAGE SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $606 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.2% in Hawaiian Ocean View — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 48/100 on livability (#151 in HI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, schools D.
  • Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 247 active listings in the ZIP; 982 units permitted in Hawaii County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hawaii County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.11%
Cash-on-cash
20.79%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,973
List price
$125,000
Delta
-23.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
92-8814 Plumeria Ln 0.26mi 2/2.0 (+1) 624 (+8%) 16mo $151,000 $242 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.1%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$53,707
Equity at exit
$56,205
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
4.92×
Total profit
$137,124
Equity at exit
$86,619

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
37 Tenant-Leaning
State Hawaii
37 Tenant-Leaning · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Honolulu has source-of-income protections; warranty of habitability strong.

ZIP-level market 96737

Active inventory
247
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,861 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$606

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
  16. 2026-02-05
    listed $125,000 Active 658-char remark
    Show marketing remark (658 chars)

    Sturdy but in need of TLC, this un-permitted house is a great deal for the right person. Located in the upper subdivision on a forested lot, it has mature landscaping, but has gotten overgrown; some trimming and cleaning up would make a world of difference. Property needs appliances and a new water tank. Flooring was removed to install new but problems for resident slowed that plan. There is plenty of storage space available, with an attached workshop and space under the house. Second adjacent acre, tmk# 3-9-2-43-51, is included in sale. Property is being sold 'As Is'. An affordable opportunity to own a beautiful property on the Big Island of Hawaii.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,333
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,787
− Management
−$1,787
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$5,621
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,349
After-tax cash flow
$5,928/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant repairs and maintenance, including landscaping, painting, and appliance replacement. Improvements in these areas would significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Landscaping — Dead trees and overgrown vegetation
  • Major Appliances — Missing in kitchen and bathroom
  • Major Paint — Chipped and worn interior walls
  • Major Windows — Dirty and some frames damaged
  • Major Flooring — Exposed subflooring in living areas

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the property's appearance would attract more buyers and renters
  • Both Paint — Fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Appliances — New appliances would make the home more attractive to buyers and renters
  • Both Windows — Clean and functional windows would improve the home's curb appeal and natural light

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Landscaping · Dead trees and overgrown vegetation Major $15,000–50,000
Appliances · Missing in kitchen and bathroom Major $15,000–50,000
Paint · Chipped and worn interior walls Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · Dirty and some frames damaged Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Exposed subflooring in living areas Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improving the property's appearance would attract more buyers and renters
  • Both Paint — Fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Appliances — New appliances would make the home more attractive to buyers and renters
  • Both Windows — Clean and functional windows would improve the home's curb appeal and natural light

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hawaii Department Of Education
NCES district ID
1500030
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$69,005
Composite
37.07/100
National rank
#4504
State rank
#1 of 1 in HI

Livability — Hawaiian Ocean View

Score
48/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#26127

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C+ Employment F Housing C- Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hawaiian Ocean View, HI
City population
3,781
Population (ZIP)
3,781

Population outlook (Hawaii County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
220,733 people
By 2030
232,156 · +5.2%
By 2040
252,486 · +14.4%
By 2050
272,703 · +23.5%
By 2075
332,113 · +50.5%
By 2100
398,342 · +80.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.81)
Race & ethnicity
Two or more races 42% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 6% Black 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 10% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hawaii

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.3) · D 63.0% · R 34.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.7pp · 2024: 28.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.3 2020: D+36.2 2016: D+36.6 2012: D+51.3 2008: D+53.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $125,000 HI Information Service

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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