316 Oak · Catasauqua, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great 2 bedroom single starter home - this home has good bones, great front porch and rear patio/deck - needs renovations - mostly cosmetic. Being sold "as is". Newer roof and siding within the last 5-10 years. Current owners have lived there for a very long time (1979)!.
Key facts
- 1,250 sq ft lot
- Built 1880
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R2
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story house; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/Fiberglass roof; Above-grade finished area (972)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt and fiberglass roof; Year built: Unknown
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on second floor (12 x 10); Bedroom on second floor (12 x 8)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (approx. 8 x 6)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Basement (other)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Washer hookup on lower level; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup on lower level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $573 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.9% in Catasauqua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#443 in PA, #4,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Catasauqua Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #431 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $139k implies a 598% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.65%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $216,756
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 Oak | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 972 (0%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $118 | 94 |
| 425 Pine St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (+7%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $274 | 77 |
| 1111 Limestone St | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,004 (+3%) | 11mo | $153,000 | $152 | 65 |
| 1015 Crane St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-14%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $208 | 59 |
| 1026 Limestone St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-10%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $199 | 55 |
| 717 Front St | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,080 (+11%) | 14mo | $222,000 | $206 | 53 |
| 2225 N N 1st Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+4%) | 21mo | $225,000 | $223 | 51 |
| 1169 Howertown Rd | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-2%) | 17mo | $225,000 | $236 | 50 |
| 2322 N 1st Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 902 (-7%) | 23mo | $229,900 | $255 | 44 |
| 343 Race St | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,022 (+5%) | 14mo | $249,900 | $245 | 42 |
| 420 Bath Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 891 (-8%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $174 | 39 |
| 2210 2nd Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,056 (+9%) | 24mo | $255,000 | $241 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $14,039
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $59,579
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18032
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,079 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$283 /mo · $3,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $573
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 729 3rd St Whitehall, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 1219 3rd St Unit 1 Catasauqua, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,675 | $2.03 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 146 Front St Unit 2 Catasauqua, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 119 School St Catasauqua, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 931 | $2,100 | $2.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 895 Walnut St Catasauqua, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,602 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1239 Washington St Whitehall, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $1,375 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 121 E Union St Whitehall, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $2,400 | $3.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-29price $115,000
-
2026-04-24price $139,000
-
2026-04-09$139,000 Active
-
1979-03-01soldstatus $19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,400 · $283/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,400 · $283/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$3,400
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,996
- − Management
- −$1,996
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $5,035
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,208
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Catasauqua Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205160
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -21.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,073
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6832
- State rank
- #431 of 539 in PA
Livability — Catasauqua
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #443
- US rank
- #4039
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Catasauqua, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 9,555
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,555
- Household income
- $81,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 221.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Danish 4% Polish 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -159.00%
- Current HPI
- 299.4376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+477.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $115,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $139,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $139,000 GLVRMLS
- 1979-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2026): $3,400 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…