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316 Oak
B+ Composite 76.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

316 Oak · Catasauqua, PA 18032
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 972 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1880 1,250 sqft lot Est $217k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great 2 bedroom single starter home - this home has good bones, great front porch and rear patio/deck - needs renovations - mostly cosmetic. Being sold "as is". Newer roof and siding within the last 5-10 years. Current owners have lived there for a very long time (1979)!.

Key facts

  • 1,250 sq ft lot
  • Built 1880
  • Listed 19 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R2

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story house; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/Fiberglass roof; Above-grade finished area (972)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt and fiberglass roof; Year built: Unknown
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on second floor (12 x 10); Bedroom on second floor (12 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (approx. 8 x 6)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Dining area; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Basement (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Washer hookup on lower level; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup on lower level; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $573 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.9% in Catasauqua — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#443 in PA, #4,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Catasauqua Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #431 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $139k implies a 598% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,915 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
11.24%
Cash-on-cash
17.65%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$216,756
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
316 Oak 0.00mi 2/1.0 (-1) 972 (0%) 1mo $115,000 $118 94
425 Pine St 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,040 (+7%) 3mo $285,000 $274 77
1111 Limestone St 0.30mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,004 (+3%) 11mo $153,000 $152 65
1015 Crane St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-14%) 7mo $175,000 $208 59
1026 Limestone St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (-10%) 16mo $175,000 $199 55
717 Front St 0.20mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,080 (+11%) 14mo $222,000 $206 53
2225 N N 1st Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+4%) 21mo $225,000 $223 51
1169 Howertown Rd 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 952 (-2%) 17mo $225,000 $236 50
2322 N 1st Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 902 (-7%) 23mo $229,900 $255 44
343 Race St 0.65mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,022 (+5%) 14mo $249,900 $245 42
420 Bath Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 891 (-8%) 11mo $155,000 $174 39
2210 2nd Ave 0.65mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,056 (+9%) 24mo $255,000 $241 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$14,039
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$59,579
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18032

Home prices YoY
-34.7%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,079 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$283 /mo · $3,400/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$573

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,355
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
729 3rd St Whitehall, PA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 21d 1 0.07mi
1219 3rd St Unit 1 Catasauqua, PA 2.0 1.0 825 $1,675 $2.03 14d 1 0.39mi
146 Front St Unit 2 Catasauqua, PA 3.0 1.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 23d 1 0.47mi
119 School St Catasauqua, PA 2.0 1.0 931 $2,100 $2.26 3d 1 0.50mi
895 Walnut St Catasauqua, PA 2.0 1.0 860 $1,602 $1.86 3d 1 0.68mi
1239 Washington St Whitehall, PA 2.0 1.0 1013 $1,375 $1.36 44d 1 0.98mi
121 E Union St Whitehall, PA 2.0 1.0 794 $2,400 $3.02 14d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    price $115,000
  3. 2026-04-24
    price $139,000
  4. 2026-04-09
    listed $139,000 Active
  5. 1979-03-01
    soldstatus $19,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,400 · $283/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,400 · $283/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,952
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$3,400
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,996
− Management
−$1,996
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$5,035
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,208
After-tax cash flow
$5,662/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Catasauqua Area SD
NCES district ID
4205160
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -21.00%
Median HH income
$53,073
Composite
28.09/100
National rank
#6832
State rank
#431 of 539 in PA

Livability — Catasauqua

Score
75/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#4039

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Catasauqua, PA
County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
9,555
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
9,555
Household income
$81,098
Rent vs Own
25.1% rent · 74.9% own
Severe rent burden
221.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Danish 4% Polish 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -159.00%
Current HPI
299.4376
Rent YoY
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+477.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $115,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $139,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $139,000 GLVRMLS
  • 1979-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,400 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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