99 Holly Rd NW · Atlanta, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,230
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The list price is not indicative of seller's final reserve amount. This property is part of an online bidding event; please visit Auction.com to place bids. Inspections of this property and contact with occupants are strictly prohibited. Property is sold "as is" and no for sale sign allowed.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Built 1947
- Listed 18 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing eligible for Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking with parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Utilities: Other
- Home design: Single-family house; Residential resale; Two-story
- Construction: Built in 1947; Aluminum and vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Appliances: Other
- Bedrooms: Five bedrooms (three on main level, two on lower level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (two on main level, one on lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Heating: Other; Cooling: Other
- Interior features: Daylight, finished basement with interior entry; Two levels
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $244k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $244k).
- Recommended offer: $241k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
- Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: F. L. Stanton Elementary School (math 15% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,076 of 1,228 statewide, top 89%, 207 students, 100% FRL); Frederick Douglass High School (math 24%, 1,112 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Atlanta Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,657/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1293% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.69%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Spring Ln NW | 0.15mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,400 (+2%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $196 | 79 |
| 1470 Andrews St NW | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,344 (-2%) | 10mo | $242,500 | $180 | 73 |
| 1649 NW Ezra Church Dr NW | 0.31mi | 5/2.0 | 1,287 (-6%) | 8mo | $227,000 | $176 | 64 |
| 169 Burbank Dr NW | 0.51mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 1,395 (+2%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $143 | 62 |
| 70 Gardenia Dr NW | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,441 (+5%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $118 | 60 |
| 103 Chicamauga Ave SW | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,428 (+4%) | 10mo | $274,910 | $193 | 58 |
| 1340 Bernard St NW | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,454 (+6%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $172 | 52 |
| 211 Wellington St SW | 0.58mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 1,336 (-3%) | 13mo | $270,000 | $202 | 50 |
| 74 Gardenia Dr NW | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,541 (+12%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $107 | 47 |
| 1576 Archer St SW | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,468 (+7%) | 16mo | $360,000 | $245 | 42 |
| 1708 Detroit Ave NW | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,282 (-7%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $133 | 40 |
| 260 Westview Pl SW | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,508 (+10%) | 8mo | $379,000 | $251 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-12,877
- Equity at exit
- $36,415
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $19,757
- Equity at exit
- $21,117
Cash invested: $68,384 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30314
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 294
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,657 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,281
- Tax from tax record
- −$278 /mo · $3,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$558
- Net cashflow
- $438
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $577 | -5% $508 | +0% $438 | +5% $369 | +10% $300 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $229 | -5% $334 | +0% $438 | +5% $543 | +10% $648 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $561 | -0.5pp $501 | base $438 | +0.5pp $375 | +1.0pp $311 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,058
- Closing costs
- $7,327
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Anderson Ave NW Unit A Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2057 Verbena St NW Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1181 Westview Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,400 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1005 Westmoor Dr NW Unit A Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,695 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1649 Derry Ave SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1825 | $3,200 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1462 Lucile Ave SW Atlanta, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $2,300 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 343 Cairo St NW Atlanta, GA | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $3,950 | $2.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1758 Emerald Ave SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1873 | $2,700 | $1.44 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 954 Parsons St SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1376 | $2,800 | $2.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 152 Joseph Echols Lowery Blvd SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1822 | $4,000 | $2.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1265 Oak St SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1821 | $3,300 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2162 Larchwood Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,550 | $2.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 24 S Eugenia Pl NW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1410 | $1,725 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 935 Pelham St NW Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1540 | $3,500 | $2.27 | 19d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-10status $244,230 Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $244,230 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $244,230 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $244,230 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $244,230 New 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $244,230 New 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $244,230 New 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $244,230 New 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,230 New 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$244,230 New
-
2025-07-30historical
-
2025-07-16$514,900 Active
-
2024-12-03historical
-
2024-12-03historical
-
2024-11-01price $519,900
-
2024-11-01price $519,900
-
2024-10-09$520,000 Active
-
2024-10-09$520,000 New
-
2024-10-08historical
-
2024-10-08historical
-
2024-07-29price $539,000
-
2024-07-29price $539,000
-
2024-05-29price $558,990
-
2024-05-29price $558,990
-
2024-04-08$559,900 Active
-
2024-04-08$559,900 New
-
2023-12-11historical
-
2023-10-20price $560,000
-
2023-10-02$570,000 New
-
2022-06-13soldstatus $515,000
-
2022-05-09soldstatus $515,000 Closed
-
2022-05-09soldstatus $515,000 Sold
-
2022-04-27status Pending
-
2022-04-27status Under Contract
-
2022-04-25status Back On Market
-
2022-04-25historical
-
2022-04-11historical
-
2022-03-19price $515,000
-
2022-03-17price $515,000
-
2022-02-11$525,000 Active
-
2022-02-11$525,000 New
-
2021-03-02soldstatus $135,000
-
2012-08-16historical
-
2012-08-10soldstatus $8,000 Sold
-
2012-07-16status Pending
-
2012-07-06historical
-
2012-07-06historical
-
2012-03-21price $8,000
-
2012-03-21price $8,000
-
2012-02-15price $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,334 · $278/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,334 · $278/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,881
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,681
- − Property taxes
- −$3,334
- − Insurance
- −$1,221
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,550
- − Management
- −$2,550
- − Depreciation
- −$7,105
- Taxable income
- $1,439
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$345
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,916/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1300120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,306
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7006
- State rank
- #80 of 174 in GA
Livability — Atlanta
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #919
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlanta, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 629,525
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,333
- Household income
- $42,089
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1293.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.32%
- Current HPI
- 321.4626
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.53%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+876.9% since first listed48 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $244,230 GAMLS
- 2025-07-30 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-07-16 Listed $514,900 FMLS
- 2024-12-03 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-12-03 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $519,900 GAMLS
- 2024-11-01 Price Changed $519,900 FMLS
- 2024-10-09 Listed $520,000 GAMLS
- 2024-10-09 Listed $520,000 FMLS
- 2024-10-08 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-10-08 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2024-07-29 Price Changed $539,000 GAMLS
- 2024-07-29 Price Changed $539,000 FMLS
- 2024-05-29 Price Changed $558,990 GAMLS
- 2024-05-29 Price Changed $558,990 FMLS
- 2024-04-08 Listed $559,900 GAMLS
- 2024-04-08 Listed $559,900 FMLS
- 2023-12-11 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2023-10-20 Price Changed $560,000 GAMLS
- 2023-10-02 Listed $570,000 GAMLS
- 2022-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $515,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-09 Sold (MLS) $515,000 GAMLS
- 2022-05-09 Sold (MLS) $515,000 FMLS
- 2022-04-27 Pending — FMLS
- 2022-04-27 Pending — GAMLS
- 2022-04-25 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2022-04-25 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2022-04-11 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2022-03-19 Price Changed $515,000 GAMLS
- 2022-03-17 Price Changed $515,000 FMLS
- 2022-02-11 Listed $525,000 GAMLS
- 2022-02-11 Listed $525,000 FMLS
- 2021-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-16 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2012-08-10 Sold (MLS) $8,000 FMLS
- 2012-07-16 Pending — FMLS
- 2012-07-06 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2012-07-06 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2012-03-21 Price Changed $8,000 GAMLS
- 2012-03-21 Price Changed $8,000 FMLS
- 2012-02-15 Price Changed $12,000 GAMLS
- 2012-02-15 Price Changed $12,000 FMLS
- 2012-01-07 Listed $16,000 GAMLS
- 2012-01-05 Listed $16,000 FMLS
- 2011-04-06 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2011-04-01 Sold (MLS) $12,000 FMLS
- 2011-02-24 Pending — FMLS
- 2011-01-26 Listed $25,000 FMLS
Property tax history
+34.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,334 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…