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3419 Carrollton Ave
D Composite 41.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

3419 Carrollton Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN 46205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · Townhouse public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1921 2,788 sqft lot $142/sqft · 53% above area Est $175k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into style with this beautiful 3-bedroom townhome that perfectly balances modern luxury with urban convenience. The open-concept main floor features stunning luxury vinyl plank flooring and a bright, white chef's kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances, a sleek breakfast bar, and a custom tile backsplash. Upstairs, you'll find three spacious bedrooms and updated bathrooms designed with a contemporary flair. Rare for the area, this home boasts a fully fenced rear yard-perfect for pets, gardening, or private weekend BBQs. Located just minutes from the Monon Trail, The Children's Museum, and the Red Line, you are perfectly positioned between the energy of Downtown and the charm of Broad Ripple.

Key facts

  • Built 1921
  • Listed 41 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (13.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $156k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,807 (13.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.31%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,000
List price
$179,000
Delta
2.29%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3419 N Pennsylvania St Unit A2 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,229 (-2%) 9mo $145,000 $118 58
3419 N Pennsylvania St Unit E3 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,167 (-7%) 5mo $161,500 $138 53
3419 N Pennsylvania St Unit C6 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,090 (-14%) 24mo $142,500 $131 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-17,711
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$15,092
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46205

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
317
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,558 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,454/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,436
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $198 -5% $147 +0% $96 +5% $46 +10% $-5
Rent -10% $-27 -5% $35 +0% $96 +5% $158 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $187 -0.5pp $142 base $96 +0.5pp $50 +1.0pp $3

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
728 E 34th St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1491 $1,400 $0.94 21d 1 0.05mi
728 E 34th St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1491 $1,400 $0.94 5d 1 0.05mi
3359 N College Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.5 1450 $1,795 $1.24 11d 1 0.10mi
3359 N College Ave Unit 3359 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.5 1082 $1,895 $1.75 24d 1 0.10mi
3370 N College Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1680 $1,275 $0.76 3d 1 0.12mi
3509 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1351 $1,445 $1.07 15d 1 0.14mi
3365 Broadway St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,700 $1.31 44d 1 0.16mi
3476 Birchwood Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1420 $1,625 $1.14 24d 1 0.22mi
916 Fairfield Ave Unit 918 Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 8d 1 0.22mi
3541 Birchwood Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,549 $1.11 13d 1 0.30mi
3203 Sutherland Ave Unit 1310761P Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 1097 $3,668 $3.34 3d 1 0.34mi
3208 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 3.0 1800 $1,700 $0.94 13d 1 0.35mi
514 E 33rd St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,200 $0.99 24d 1 0.36mi
512 E 33rd St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1208 $1,200 $0.99 24d 1 0.36mi
3141 N Park Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1390 $1,000 $0.72 44d 1 0.39mi
3139 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1068 $1,345 $1.26 44d 1 0.39mi
3106 N College Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,700 $1.21 8d 1 0.40mi
3110 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1250 $1,295 $1.04 24d 1 0.43mi
3558 Central Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1215 $2,100 $1.73 24d 1 0.43mi
3716 N College Ave Unit 3 Indianapolis, IN 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 44d 1 0.43mi
3132 Dr Andrew J Brown Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $2,120 $2.68 2d 46 0.49mi
3558 Washington Blvd Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 975 $1,199 $1.23 8d 1 0.55mi
2950 Winthrop Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,449 $1.18 44d 1 0.56mi
3207 N Arsenal Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 994 $1,195 $1.20 24d 1 0.58mi
2960 N Park Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 44d 1 0.59mi
2960 N Park Ave Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,550 $1.11 24d 1 0.59mi
2958 N Park Ave Unit 2958 Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1350 $1,450 $1.07 4d 1 0.59mi
3851 Broadway St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1513 $1,950 $1.29 18d 1 0.60mi
321 E 31st St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1390 $1,400 $1.01 44d 1 0.61mi
2950 Ruckle St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,300 $0.90 44d 1 0.63mi
3909 Winthrop Ave Unit B Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.5 931 $1,550 $1.66 13d 1 0.64mi
3815 Washington Blvd Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 8d 1 0.68mi
2920 Ruckle St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1272 $1,700 $1.34 8d 1 0.69mi
2830 N Park Ave Indianapolis, IN 2.0 3.0 1500 $1,600 $1.07 44d 1 0.73mi
1902 E 35th St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 44d 1 0.73mi
3541 N Meridian St Indianapolis, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 987 $880 $0.89 44d 1 0.73mi
2751 Guilford Ave Unit B Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,750 $1.40 15d 1 0.76mi
2751 Guilford Ave Unit Aunit Indianapolis, IN 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,750 $1.40 44d 1 0.76mi
3004 N Delaware St Indianapolis, IN 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,599 $1.00 8d 1 0.76mi
3707 N Meridian St Indianapolis, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $1,199 $1.15 44d 1 0.78mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Step into style with this beautiful 3-bedroom townhome that perfectly balances modern luxury with urban convenience. The open-concept main floor features stunning luxury vinyl plank flooring and a bright, white chef's kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances, a sleek breakfast bar, and a custom tile backsplash. Upstairs, you'll find three spacious bedrooms and updated bathrooms designed with a contemporary flair. Rare for the area, this home boasts a fully fenced rear yard-perfect for pets, gardening, or private weekend BBQs. Located just minutes from the Monon Trail, The Children's Museum, and the Red Line, you are perfectly positioned between the energy of Downtown and the charm of Broad Ripple.

  2. 2026-04-27
    price $179,000 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Step into style with this beautiful 3-bedroom townhome that perfectly balances modern luxury with urban convenience. The open-concept main floor features stunning luxury vinyl plank flooring and a bright, white chef's kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances, a sleek breakfast bar, and a custom tile backsplash. Upstairs, you'll find three spacious bedrooms and updated bathrooms designed with a contemporary flair. Rare for the area, this home boasts a fully fenced rear yard-perfect for pets, gardening, or private weekend BBQs. Located just minutes from the Monon Trail, The Children's Museum, and the Red Line, you are perfectly positioned between the energy of Downtown and the charm of Broad Ripple.

  3. 2026-03-26
    listed $189,000 Active 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Step into style with this beautiful 3-bedroom townhome that perfectly balances modern luxury with urban convenience. The open-concept main floor features stunning luxury vinyl plank flooring and a bright, white chef's kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances, a sleek breakfast bar, and a custom tile backsplash. Upstairs, you'll find three spacious bedrooms and updated bathrooms designed with a contemporary flair. Rare for the area, this home boasts a fully fenced rear yard-perfect for pets, gardening, or private weekend BBQs. Located just minutes from the Monon Trail, The Children's Museum, and the Red Line, you are perfectly positioned between the energy of Downtown and the charm of Broad Ripple.

  4. 2026-01-13
    historical
  5. 2025-10-31
    listed $189,000 Active
  6. 2025-08-28
    historical
  7. 2025-05-30
    price $195,000
  8. 2025-02-24
    listed $205,000 Active
  9. 2024-10-02
    historical $1,595
  10. 2024-09-21
    price $1,595
  11. 2024-08-14
    listed $1,695
  12. 2024-08-13
    historical
  13. 2024-07-15
    price $199,000
  14. 2024-06-12
    listed $210,000 Active
  15. 2022-02-11
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed
  16. 2022-01-04
    status Pending
  17. 2021-11-30
    price $199,900
  18. 2021-11-15
    price $209,900
  19. 2021-11-02
    listed $224,900 Active
  20. 2012-03-22
    historical
  21. 2012-03-16
    soldstatus $16,000
  22. 2011-12-05
    listed $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,454 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,488 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$34/yr (+$3/mo · 2.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,697
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$1,454
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,496
− Management
−$1,496
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$1,878
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$451
After-tax cash flow
$1,608/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indianapolis Public Schools
NCES district ID
1804770
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$32,034
Composite
13.69/100
National rank
#9499
State rank
#286 of 301 in IN

Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Indianapolis city (balance), IN
County
Marion County · 998,460 people
City population
881,119
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
28,259
Household income
$72,417
Rent vs Own
46.3% rent · 53.7% own
Severe rent burden
1149.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,572 people
By 2030
1,065,727 · +3.9%
By 2040
1,141,577 · +11.3%
By 2050
1,208,920 · +17.9%
By 2075
1,367,288 · +33.3%
By 2100
1,438,201 · +40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 32% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -322.77%
Current HPI
380.5407
Rent YoY
▲ 6.21%
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+952.9% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $179,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $189,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $189,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $195,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-24 Listed $205,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-02 Rental Removed $1,595 MIBOR
  • 2024-09-21 Price Changed $1,595 MIBOR
  • 2024-08-14 Listed for Rent $1,695 MIBOR
  • 2024-08-13 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-15 Price Changed $199,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-12 Listed $210,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-11 Sold (MLS) $185,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-04 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-30 Price Changed $199,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-15 Price Changed $209,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-02 Listed $224,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-03-22 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-03-16 Sold (MLS) $16,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-12-05 Listed $17,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2021): $1,454 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…