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1248 Ottawa Ave
D+ Composite 49.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,000

1248 Ottawa Ave · Ottawa, IL 61350
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,545 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1906 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention Investors! 3 unit apartment building ready for new ownership. Currently upstairs unit occupied with lower 2 units vacant. Great location on a large lot with plenty of parking. Separate electric and gas meter for each unit, lots of potential for cashflows with minor improvements.

Key facts

  • Plenty of parking
  • Large lot
  • 0.3 acre lot

Tags

3 UNIT APARTMENT BUILDINGLARGE LOTPLENTY OF PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.1% in Ottawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IL, #3,175 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
  • Ottawa Twp Hsd 140 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #545 of 919 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ottawa Township High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,261 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $179,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.46%
Cash-on-cash
4.15%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-17,816
Equity at exit
$26,689
10-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-696
Equity at exit
$15,477

Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61350

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,026 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$939
Tax from tax record
$414 /mo · $4,971/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$426
Net cashflow
$173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,807
Max offer price $179,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $275 -5% $224 +0% $173 +5% $123 +10% $72
Rent -10% $13 -5% $93 +0% $173 +5% $253 +10% $333
Rate -1.0pp $264 -0.5pp $219 base $173 +0.5pp $127 +1.0pp $80

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,750
Closing costs
$5,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $179,000 Active
  3. 2026-04-02
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  4. 2026-04-02
    historical
  5. 2026-03-12
    status Active
  6. 2025-12-24
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  7. 2025-11-24
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,971 · $414/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,971 · $414/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,317
− Mortgage interest
−$10,027
− Property taxes
−$4,971
− Insurance
−$895
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,945
− Management
−$1,945
− Depreciation
−$5,207
Taxable loss
−$673
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$162
After-tax cash flow
$2,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ottawa Twp Hsd 140
NCES district ID
1730330
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,828
Composite
26.85/100
National rank
#12528
State rank
#545 of 919 in IL

Livability — Ottawa

Score
77/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#3175

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ottawa, IL
County
La Salle County · 41,676 people
City population
23,713
Metro
Ottawa, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,713
Household income
$77,921
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
628.0

Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
107,080 people
By 2030
104,196 · -2.7%
By 2040
97,413 · -9.0%
By 2050
90,294 · -15.7%
By 2075
76,252 · -28.8%
By 2100
61,339 · -42.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle

2024 margin
R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.46%
Current HPI
183.6833
Rent YoY
Metro
Ottawa, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $179,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-24 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-24 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,971 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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