1248 Ottawa Ave · Ottawa, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention Investors! 3 unit apartment building ready for new ownership. Currently upstairs unit occupied with lower 2 units vacant. Great location on a large lot with plenty of parking. Separate electric and gas meter for each unit, lots of potential for cashflows with minor improvements.
Key facts
- Plenty of parking
- Large lot
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $173 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $179k).
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.1% in Ottawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IL, #3,175 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #545 of 919 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ottawa Township High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,261 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.15%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-17,816
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-696
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61350
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,026 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$414 /mo · $4,971/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $173
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $275 | -5% $224 | +0% $173 | +5% $123 | +10% $72 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $13 | -5% $93 | +0% $173 | +5% $253 | +10% $333 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $264 | -0.5pp $219 | base $173 | +0.5pp $127 | +1.0pp $80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
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2026-05-07status Pending
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2026-05-04$179,000 Active
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2026-04-02historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2026-04-02historical
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2026-03-12status Active
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2025-12-24historical Contingent - Continue to Show
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2025-11-24Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,971 · $414/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,971 · $414/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,317
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$4,971
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,945
- − Management
- −$1,945
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$673
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$162
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140
- NCES district ID
- 1730330
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,828
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #12528
- State rank
- #545 of 919 in IL
Livability — Ottawa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #3175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ottawa, IL
- County
- La Salle County · 41,676 people
- City population
- 23,713
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,713
- Household income
- $77,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 628.0
Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,080 people
- By 2030
- 104,196 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 97,413 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 90,294 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 76,252 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 61,339 · -42.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.46%
- Current HPI
- 183.6833
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $179,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-24 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2024): $4,971 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…