Duplex
14 Bartels Pl · New Rochelle, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$700,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
House Was Completely Renovated In 1999. Everything Is New !!! Showings After 4pm. Weekends After 10am.
Key facts
- 1,742 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 16 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $700k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $502/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $699k (0.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $690k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
- New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Columbus Elementary School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #1,085 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 669 students, 84% FRL); Isaac E Young Middle School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 1,138 students, 76% FRL); New Rochelle High School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 3,076 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 41% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,992/mo this rent would consume 98% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2797% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($690k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $275k; list at $700k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.15%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $767,250
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299 Sickles Ave | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 | 2,000 (-2%) | 4mo | $750,000 | $375 | 60 |
| 10 Everett St | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 | 1,820 (-11%) | 3mo | $710,000 | $390 | 59 |
| 19 Jones St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,840 (-10%) | 9mo | $765,000 | $416 | 55 |
| 43 Soundview St | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 | 1,965 (-4%) | 14mo | $700,000 | $356 | 53 |
| 44 Rockdale Ave | 0.47mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,229 (+9%) | 3mo | $785,000 | $352 | 52 |
| 5 Harold Ct | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,120 (+4%) | 23mo | $738,000 | $348 | 49 |
| 39 Soundview St | 0.61mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,866 (-9%) | 18mo | $750,000 | $402 | 37 |
| 175 Pelham Rd | 0.64mi | 5/3.0 | 2,257 (+10%) | 15mo | $700,000 | $310 | 36 |
| 150 Lincoln Ave | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 | 1,800 (-12%) | 17mo | $745,000 | $414 | 35 |
| 53 Madeleine Ave | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,330 (+14%) | 10mo | $578,000 | $248 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-60,469
- Equity at exit
- $104,372
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-14,119
- Equity at exit
- $60,523
Cash invested: $196,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10801
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 16.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,992 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,671
- Tax from tax record
- −$556 /mo · $6,676/yr
- Insurance
- −$292
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,468
- Net cashflow
- $1,005
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $6,992 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,496 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,496 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,992 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $175,000
- Closing costs
- $21,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Maple Ave New Rochelle, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2414 | $6,500 | $2.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 72 Soundview St Unit 2 New Rochelle, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,850 | $2.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 72 Chauncey Ave New Rochelle, NY | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2406 | $4,500 | $1.87 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-02-03status Pending
-
2026-01-05$700,000 Active
-
2026-01-03historical $700,000
-
2025-07-09$725,000 Active
-
2002-04-16soldstatus $275,000
-
2002-01-07price $295,000 102-char remark
Show marketing remark (102 chars)
House Was Completely Renovated In 1999. Everything Is New !!! Showings After 4pm. Weekends After 10am.
-
2002-01-07soldstatus $275,000 102-char remark
Show marketing remark (102 chars)
House Was Completely Renovated In 1999. Everything Is New !!! Showings After 4pm. Weekends After 10am.
-
2001-07-17$275,000 102-char remark
Show marketing remark (102 chars)
House Was Completely Renovated In 1999. Everything Is New !!! Showings After 4pm. Weekends After 10am.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,676 · $556/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,253 · $771/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,577/yr (+$215/mo · 38.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $83,904
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,211
- − Property taxes
- −$6,676
- − Insurance
- −$3,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,712
- − Management
- −$6,712
- − Depreciation
- −$20,364
- Taxable income
- $729
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$175
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,883/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Rochelle City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620490
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,165
- Composite
- 56.63/100
- National rank
- #1139
- State rank
- #171 of 590 in NY
Livability — New Rochelle
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #8572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Rochelle, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 63,657
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,754
- Household income
- $85,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2797.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 36% White 30% Black 24% Two or more races 16% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -910.37%
- Current HPI
- 270.8019
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+154.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listed $700,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-03 Coming Soon $700,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-09 Listed $725,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
- 2002-01-07 Sold (MLS) $275,000 HGMLS
- 2002-01-07 Price Changed $295,000 HGMLS
- 2001-07-17 Listed $275,000 HGMLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,676 · -25.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…