1203 W Grand St · Gallatin, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious manufactured home has so much potential. There are four bedrooms and two baths with a living room, dining area, AND a family room! A front porch overlooks a convenient circle drive and a back deck with views of the huge back yard - almost an acre! A small shed for storage is also included. A little sweat equity will go a long way with this home. Call for additional information or a showing.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Circle drive
- Small shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-397/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (3.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (25.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $130k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#426 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Gallatin R-V (rural): math 47% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #66 of 324 in MO (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Daviess County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.81%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,156
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -12.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $93,128
- Equity at exit
- $157,654
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.63×
- Total profit
- $275,760
- Equity at exit
- $339,987
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64640
- Home prices YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,299 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $823/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $-33
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $175,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-02-25price $175,000 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
This spacious manufactured home has so much potential. There are four bedrooms and two baths with a living room, dining area, AND a family room! A front porch overlooks a convenient circle drive and a back deck with views of the huge back yard - almost an acre! A small shed for storage is also included. A little sweat equity will go a long way with this home. Call for additional information or a showing.
-
2025-12-23$189,900 Active 409-char remark
Show marketing remark (409 chars)
This spacious manufactured home has so much potential. There are four bedrooms and two baths with a living room, dining area, AND a family room! A front porch overlooks a convenient circle drive and a back deck with views of the huge back yard - almost an acre! A small shed for storage is also included. A little sweat equity will go a long way with this home. Call for additional information or a showing.
-
2011-09-19soldstatus 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
Very Clean 1,932 sq ft Schult home. The home features 4 bed rooms and two full bath, kitchen dining room, living room, family room with fireplace. newer carpet in the family and living rooms. The Master bedroom with walk in closet and master bath with a garden tube. Front porch and back deck. There are two lots, size is 125x300, 3 mature apple and 1 cherry trees. and there is two small out buildings. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Lots of room inside and out, will make a nice family home.
-
2011-09-15soldstatus
-
2011-05-18$70,000 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
Very Clean 1,932 sq ft Schult home. The home features 4 bed rooms and two full bath, kitchen dining room, living room, family room with fireplace. newer carpet in the family and living rooms. The Master bedroom with walk in closet and master bath with a garden tube. Front porch and back deck. There are two lots, size is 125x300, 3 mature apple and 1 cherry trees. and there is two small out buildings. All appliances stay including washer and dryer. Lots of room inside and out, will make a nice family home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $823 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,698 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$875/yr (+$73/mo · 106.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,586
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$823
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,247
- − Management
- −$1,247
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$3,499
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$840
- After-tax cash flow
- $442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gallatin R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2912660
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,284
- Composite
- 39.98/100
- National rank
- #3832
- State rank
- #66 of 324 in MO
Livability — Gallatin
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #426
- US rank
- #17634
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gallatin, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,183
Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,695 people
- By 2030
- 7,386 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 6,860 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 6,375 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 5,084 · -33.9%
- By 2100
- 3,583 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Daviess
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.3) · D 17.9% · R 81.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.5pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -63.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.3 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+55.1 2012: R+33.0 2008: R+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 29.00%
- Current HPI
- 290.2333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $175,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-23 Listed $189,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-19 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2011-05-18 Listed $70,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $823 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…