124 E 15th Ave · Homestead, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$37,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to renovate this 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1,420 square foot home in Pittsburgh's Homestead neighborhood. This home features a detached garage. The property requires full renovation and is being sold as is.
Key facts
- 2,748 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $37k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $37k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#366 in PA, #3,204 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Steel Valley SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #403 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $256 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.75%
- DSCR
- 5.22
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,425
- List price
- $37,000
- Delta
- -67.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 E 15th Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,417 (+0%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $18 | 94 |
| 600 E 14th Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+4%) | 0mo | $229,007 | $156 | 78 |
| 245 E 18th Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (+7%) | 1mo | $15,000 | $10 | 77 |
| 30 Harrison St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (+2%) | 1mo | $112,500 | $78 | 69 |
| 1415 Margaret St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,628 (+15%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $15 | 64 |
| 238 E 19th | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (+13%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $28 | 61 |
| 253 Vine St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,336 (-6%) | 2mo | $168,841 | $126 | 57 |
| 3430 Lynnwood Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,357 (-4%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $217 | 55 |
| 293 W Schwab | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,308 (-8%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $80 | 51 |
| 230 W Schwab Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (-7%) | 2mo | $238,000 | $181 | 51 |
| 145 Marham Rd | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+5%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $158 | 46 |
| 127 Marham Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,579 (+12%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $139 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 96.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.61×
- Total profit
- $47,728
- Equity at exit
- $5,517
- IRR
- 99.8%
- Equity multiple
- 12.14×
- Total profit
- $115,448
- Equity at exit
- $3,199
Cash invested: $10,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15120
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,447 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$194
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,390/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $818
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,250
- Closing costs
- $1,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 W 13th Ave Unit 302 Homestead, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 300 W 13th Ave Homestead, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,125 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 623 E 18th Ave Homestead, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1156 | $1,600 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 621 E 9th Ave Homestead, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,425 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 214 Vine St Homestead, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1254 Edgewood Dr Homestead, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,725 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 931 Hilltop St Homestead, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1312 | $1,500 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 218 Mary St Homestead, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,400 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 308 Lea St Homestead, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,490 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3305 W Run Rd Munhall, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,365 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7009 Church St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,550 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3705 Botsford St Apt 2 Munhall, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $37,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $37,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $37,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $37,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $37,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $37,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $37,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $37,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $37,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $37,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $37,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $37,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2025-09-22$37,000 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Great opportunity to renovate this 3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1,420 square foot home in Pittsburgh's Homestead neighborhood. This home features a detached garage. The property requires full renovation and is being sold as is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,390 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,390 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,366
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,073
- − Property taxes
- −$1,390
- − Insurance
- −$185
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,389
- − Management
- −$1,389
- − Depreciation
- −$1,076
- Taxable income
- $9,864
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,367
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,449/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Steel Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222790
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,505
- Composite
- 30.94/100
- National rank
- #6111
- State rank
- #403 of 539 in PA
Livability — Homestead
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #3204
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homestead, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,029
- Household income
- $55,714
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 669.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.52%
- Current HPI
- 292.5607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-09-22 Listed $37,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,390 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…