3823 Friendship Eaton Rd · Friendship, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$122,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unfinished remodel. Brand new roof installed in 2024 with good shingles with a 30 year warranty. New drywall. New Pink r19 insulation in attic and walls. New bath tub. New electrical box. House needs floors and some odd and end finishing touches. Don & acirc; & euro; & trade; t have the time anymore to finish it. Sold as it.
Key facts
- New drywall
- New bath tub
- New electrical box
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#387 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Crockett County (rural): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #48 of 139 in TN (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Crockett County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($843 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $122k implies a 430% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.64%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $80,255
- Equity at exit
- $109,907
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.60×
- Total profit
- $225,340
- Equity at exit
- $237,019
Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38034
- Home prices YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$640
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $517/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $252 | +0% $218 | +5% $183 | +10% $149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $122 | -5% $170 | +0% $218 | +5% $265 | +10% $313 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $279 | -0.5pp $249 | base $218 | +0.5pp $186 | +1.0pp $154 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,500
- Closing costs
- $3,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $122,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $122,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $122,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $122,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $122,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $122,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $122,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $122,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $122,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $122,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $122,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $122,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $122,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $122,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $122,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$122,000 Active
-
2013-09-18soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $517 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $866 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$349/yr (+$29/mo · 67.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,450
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,834
- − Property taxes
- −$517
- − Insurance
- −$610
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,156
- − Management
- −$1,156
- − Depreciation
- −$3,549
- Taxable income
- $628
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$151
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crockett County
- NCES district ID
- 4700850
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,758
- Composite
- 26.19/100
- National rank
- #7266
- State rank
- #48 of 139 in TN
Livability — Friendship
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #387
- US rank
- #24343
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,366
Population outlook (Crockett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,795 people
- By 2030
- 14,812 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 14,811 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 14,809 · +0.1%
- By 2075
- 15,405 · +4.1%
- By 2100
- 16,200 · +9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Crockett
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.2% · R 78.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.2pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -58.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.7 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+38.4 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.00%
- Current HPI
- 257.4293
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+430.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $122,000 FSBO.com
- 2013-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $517 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…