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205 Barker St
B- Composite 68.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,000

205 Barker St · Athens, TX 75751
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 174 Days on market
Built 2005 3,354 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the heart of Athens, Texas, this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity for anyone seeking an affordable starter home or a turnkey addition to their investment portfolio. The property is in solid, livable condition and features a convenient attached carport for covered parking and extra storage. Whether you are looking to stop paying rent and start building equity, or seeking a high-potential rental property in a steady market, this home provides a functional layout and a low-maintenance lifestyle. Making this deal even more accessible, seller financing is available, providing a flexible path to homeownership without the traditional bank hurdles. Owner Financing Available!

Key facts

  • Attached carport
  • Covered parking
  • Extra storage

Tags

ATTACHED CARPORTCOVERED PARKINGEXTRA STORAGEFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTLOW MAINTENANCE LIFESTYLE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 2.5% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#241 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Athens ISD (town): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #548 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
18.71%
Cash-on-cash
44.35%
DSCR
2.97
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.3%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$27,335
Equity at exit
$8,201
10-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
5.58×
Total profit
$70,458
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75751

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
191
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,152 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $356/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$569

Break-even live

Break-even rent $432
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $600 -5% $585 +0% $569 +5% $554 +10% $538
Rent -10% $478 -5% $524 +0% $569 +5% $615 +10% $660
Rate -1.0pp $597 -0.5pp $583 base $569 +0.5pp $555 +1.0pp $540

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
409 Royal St Apt 5 Athens, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 0.54mi
207 W College St Unit 102 Athens, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $865 $0.96 44d 1 0.55mi
401 S Carroll St Athens, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $1,020 $1.31 22d 12 0.56mi
215 Wood St Athens, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 762 $1,520 $1.99 14d 4 0.84mi
900 E Corsicana St Athens, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 767 $1,339 $1.74 14d 6 0.89mi
625 York St Unit B Athens, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $795 $1.14 44d 1 0.89mi
300 Lila Ln Athens, TX 2.0 2.0 932 $1,350 $1.45 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,000 Active 174 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $55,000 Active 172 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 171 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 170 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,000 Active 169 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 168 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $55,000 Active 166 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $55,000 Active 165 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 162 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 161 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 160 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $55,000 Active 157 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 156 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 155 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 154 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 153 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $55,000 Active 152 DOM
  18. 2026-01-12
    listed $55,000 Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Located in the heart of Athens, Texas, this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity for anyone seeking an affordable starter home or a turnkey addition to their investment portfolio. The property is in solid, livable condition and features a convenient attached carport for covered parking and extra storage. Whether you are looking to stop paying rent and start building equity, or seeking a high-potential rental property in a steady market, this home provides a functional layout and a low-maintenance lifestyle. Making this deal even more accessible, seller financing is available, providing a flexible path to homeownership without the traditional bank hurdles. Owner Financing Available!

  19. 2025-12-29
    listed $55,000 Active 711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (711 chars)

    Located in the heart of Athens, Texas, this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a fantastic opportunity for anyone seeking an affordable starter home or a turnkey addition to their investment portfolio. The property is in solid, livable condition and features a convenient attached carport for covered parking and extra storage. Whether you are looking to stop paying rent and start building equity, or seeking a high-potential rental property in a steady market, this home provides a functional layout and a low-maintenance lifestyle. Making this deal even more accessible, seller financing is available, providing a flexible path to homeownership without the traditional bank hurdles. Owner Financing Available!

  20. 2024-01-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$356 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,006 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$650/yr (+$54/mo · 182.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,827
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$356
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,106
− Management
−$1,106
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$6,302
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,513
After-tax cash flow
$5,318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Athens ISD
NCES district ID
4808870
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,617
Composite
28.73/100
National rank
#6680
State rank
#548 of 826 in TX

Livability — Athens

Score
72/100
State rank
#241
US rank
#5796

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens, TX
County
Henderson County · 34,977 people
City population
18,644
Metro
Athens, TX
Population (ZIP)
18,644
Household income
$70,620
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
535.0

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,471 people
By 2030
80,608 · +0.2%
By 2040
80,087 · -0.5%
By 2050
78,208 · -2.8%
By 2075
72,423 · -10.0%
By 2100
61,012 · -24.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.19%
Current HPI
192.3973
Rent YoY
Metro
Athens, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $55,000 GTAR
  • 2025-12-29 Listed $55,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-01-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $356 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…