15410 Fairmount Dr · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey investment opportunity! This refreshed 2-bedroom ranch in Detroit is tenant occupied and ready to generate income from day one. The home features recent updates and solid rental appeal, making it a great addition to any portfolio. This low-maintenance property offers immediate cash flow potential.
Key facts
- Recent updates
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.56%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,076
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 11.81%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15825 Eastburn St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 928 (+6%) | 3mo | $77,000 | $83 | 70 |
| 15037 E State Fair St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 992 (+13%) | 4mo | $27,500 | $28 | 62 |
| 16107 Manning St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (+5%) | 2mo | $61,000 | $66 | 60 |
| 15834 Novara St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 929 (+6%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $97 | 60 |
| 16039 Fairmount Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 957 (+9%) | 4mo | $19,000 | $20 | 58 |
| 16062 CARLISLE St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 957 (+9%) | 1mo | $42,000 | $44 | 55 |
| 16062 Carlisle St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 957 (+9%) | 1mo | $42,000 | $44 | 55 |
| 16209 Tacoma St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 968 (+10%) | 1mo | $62,900 | $65 | 53 |
| 16277 Liberal St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 945 (+7%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $26 | 52 |
| 16301 Coram St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 929 (+6%) | 1mo | $19,500 | $21 | 51 |
| 16291 Fairmount Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 977 (+11%) | 2mo | $112,000 | $115 | 48 |
| 15017 Lappin St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+14%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $60 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $14,398
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $41,522
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,170 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $624/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $447
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15030 Rossini Dr Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $800 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 15663 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,266 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 16212 Maddelein St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $650 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 12716 Riad St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,275 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $875 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 11d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 17d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,040 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-04-25price $75,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity! This refreshed 2-bedroom ranch in Detroit is tenant occupied and ready to generate income from day one. The home features recent updates and solid rental appeal, making it a great addition to any portfolio. This low-maintenance property offers immediate cash flow potential.
-
2026-04-25price $75,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity! This refreshed 2-bedroom ranch in Detroit is tenant occupied and ready to generate income from day one. The home features recent updates and solid rental appeal, making it a great addition to any portfolio. This low-maintenance property offers immediate cash flow potential.
-
2026-03-12$82,000 Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity! This refreshed 2-bedroom ranch in Detroit is tenant occupied and ready to generate income from day one. The home features recent updates and solid rental appeal, making it a great addition to any portfolio. This low-maintenance property offers immediate cash flow potential.
-
2026-03-12$82,000 Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Turnkey investment opportunity! This refreshed 2-bedroom ranch in Detroit is tenant occupied and ready to generate income from day one. The home features recent updates and solid rental appeal, making it a great addition to any portfolio. This low-maintenance property offers immediate cash flow potential.
-
2024-12-17status Pending
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2024-06-02historical $1,050
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2024-05-15price $1,050
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2024-05-07$1,150
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2023-06-08status Pending
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2023-06-08status Pending
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2023-06-07historical
-
2023-06-07historical
-
2023-05-18$45,000 Active
-
2023-05-17$45,000 Active
-
2020-01-13soldstatus $54,900
-
2010-09-14historical
-
2010-08-04$3,000
-
2010-07-22historical
-
2010-04-16$3,000
-
2004-10-08soldstatus $85,000
-
2004-08-09soldstatus $85,000
-
2004-06-22historical
-
2003-10-06$85,000
-
1999-07-23soldstatus $78,000
-
1999-06-29soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $624 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $890 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$265/yr (+$22/mo · 42.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,035
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$624
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,123
- − Management
- −$1,123
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,407
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,058
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+50.0% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-12 Listed $82,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-12 Listed $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-06-02 Rental Removed $1,050 BUILDIUM
- 2024-05-15 Price Changed $1,050 BUILDIUM
- 2024-05-07 Listed for Rent $1,150 BUILDIUM
- 2023-06-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-06-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-05-18 Listed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-05-17 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
- 2010-09-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-08-04 Listed $3,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-07-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-04-16 Listed $3,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-09 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-06-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-10-06 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $624 · -53.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…