Triplex
508 NW E St Unit A,B,C · Grants Pass, OR
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 28 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$439,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Tri-plex with long term tenants. All three units come with a fireplace, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. W/ D located in each unit. The units water heaters are all in one room in the carport. Both unit A & B have identical layouts. 3 car carport located under the middle of the building. Storage room used by all three units located under Unit C. All three units have 2 balcony's/decks. Each unit has a walk-in closet. Perfect for an investment or live in one unit and collect income from the other two. Schedule a showing today and see what all the property has to offer.
Key facts
- 3 car carport
- Walk-in closet
- 2 balconies decks
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $439k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $550 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $183/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $439k).
- Recommended offer: $386k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.2% in Grants Pass — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#137 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- Grants Pass SD 7 (urban): math 39% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #66 of 183 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 223 units permitted in Josephine County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,620/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Josephine County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($386k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.01%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $503,272
- List price
- $439,000
- Delta
- -12.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534 NW E St Unit 534-536-538 | 0.05mi | 6/3.0 | 2,592 (-15%) | 11mo | $500,000 | $193 | 64 |
| 951 SW H St | 0.45mi | 6/5.0 | 3,060 (+1%) | 9mo | $595,000 | $194 | 62 |
| 1408 SW G St | 0.58mi | 6/3.0 | 2,592 (-15%) | 18mo | $474,347 | $183 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-40,448
- Equity at exit
- $65,456
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-7,498
- Equity at exit
- $37,957
Cash invested: $122,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97526
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 23.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,620 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,302
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$549 /mo · $6,585/yr
- Insurance
- −$183
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$970
- Net cashflow
- $550
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $853 | -5% $701 | +0% $550 | +5% $398 | +10% $246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $185 | -5% $367 | +0% $550 | +5% $732 | +10% $914 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $771 | -0.5pp $661 | base $550 | +0.5pp $436 | +1.0pp $320 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $4,620 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,540 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,540 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,540 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,620 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $109,750
- Closing costs
- $13,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-15status $439,000 Pending 360 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $439,000 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $439,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $439,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $439,000 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $439,000 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $439,000 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $439,000 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $439,000 Active 349 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $439,000 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $439,000 Active 347 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $439,000 Active 346 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $439,000 Active 345 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $439,000 Active 344 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $439,000 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Investment Tri-plex with long term tenants. All three units come with a fireplace, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. W/ D located in each unit. The units water heaters are all in one room in the carport. Both unit A & B have identical layouts. 3 car carport located under the middle of the building. Storage room used by all three units located under Unit C. All three units have 2 balcony's/decks. Each unit has a walk-in closet. Perfect for an investment or live in one unit and collect income from the other two. Schedule a showing today and see what all the property has to offer.
-
2026-03-03price $464,000 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Investment Tri-plex with long term tenants. All three units come with a fireplace, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. W/ D located in each unit. The units water heaters are all in one room in the carport. Both unit A & B have identical layouts. 3 car carport located under the middle of the building. Storage room used by all three units located under Unit C. All three units have 2 balcony's/decks. Each unit has a walk-in closet. Perfect for an investment or live in one unit and collect income from the other two. Schedule a showing today and see what all the property has to offer.
-
2025-11-21price $469,000 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Investment Tri-plex with long term tenants. All three units come with a fireplace, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. W/ D located in each unit. The units water heaters are all in one room in the carport. Both unit A & B have identical layouts. 3 car carport located under the middle of the building. Storage room used by all three units located under Unit C. All three units have 2 balcony's/decks. Each unit has a walk-in closet. Perfect for an investment or live in one unit and collect income from the other two. Schedule a showing today and see what all the property has to offer.
-
2025-09-22price $479,000 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Investment Tri-plex with long term tenants. All three units come with a fireplace, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. W/ D located in each unit. The units water heaters are all in one room in the carport. Both unit A & B have identical layouts. 3 car carport located under the middle of the building. Storage room used by all three units located under Unit C. All three units have 2 balcony's/decks. Each unit has a walk-in closet. Perfect for an investment or live in one unit and collect income from the other two. Schedule a showing today and see what all the property has to offer.
-
2025-06-20$485,000 Active 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Investment Tri-plex with long term tenants. All three units come with a fireplace, 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. W/ D located in each unit. The units water heaters are all in one room in the carport. Both unit A & B have identical layouts. 3 car carport located under the middle of the building. Storage room used by all three units located under Unit C. All three units have 2 balcony's/decks. Each unit has a walk-in closet. Perfect for an investment or live in one unit and collect income from the other two. Schedule a showing today and see what all the property has to offer.
-
2025-02-19historical
-
2024-12-05price $509,900
-
2024-10-10price $520,000
-
2024-08-02price $534,000
-
2024-04-03price $544,000
-
2023-09-11status Active
-
2023-09-08historical
-
2023-05-17price $549,000
-
2023-02-17price $575,000
-
2023-02-03$599,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,440
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,591
- − Property taxes
- −$6,585
- − Insurance
- −$2,992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,435
- − Management
- −$4,435
- − Depreciation
- −$12,771
- Taxable loss
- −$370
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$89
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
A moderate rehab project is needed to improve the home's curb appeal and interior condition, enhancing its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate siding — Weathered and discolored
- Minor interior paint — Some wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both repair siding — Fresh siding improves curb appeal and structural integrity
- Both replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Weathered and discolored | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior paint · Some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $3,500–18,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both repair siding — Fresh siding improves curb appeal and structural integrity ↑
- Both replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grants Pass SD 7
- NCES district ID
- 4105910
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,433
- Composite
- 41.5/100
- National rank
- #7281
- State rank
- #66 of 183 in OR
Livability — Grants Pass
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #137
- US rank
- #7900
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grants Pass, OR
- County
- Josephine County · 73,366 people
- City population
- 73,366
- Metro
- Grants Pass, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,036
- Household income
- $61,019
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1407.0
Population outlook (Josephine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,883 people
- By 2030
- 89,055 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 90,396 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 90,801 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 89,880 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 81,252 · -7.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Josephine
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.1) · D 34.2% · R 63.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.2pp · 2024: -29.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.1 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -257.77%
- Current HPI
- 326.3247
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- Grants Pass, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-26.7% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $439,000 MLSCO
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $464,000 MLSCO
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $469,000 MLSCO
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $479,000 MLSCO
- 2025-06-20 Listed $485,000 MLSCO
- 2025-02-19 Listing Removed — MLSCO
- 2024-12-05 Price Changed $509,900 MLSCO
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $520,000 MLSCO
- 2024-08-02 Price Changed $534,000 MLSCO
- 2024-04-03 Price Changed $544,000 MLSCO
- 2023-09-11 Relisted — MLSCO
- 2023-09-08 Listing Removed — MLSCO
- 2023-05-17 Price Changed $549,000 MLSCO
- 2023-02-17 Price Changed $575,000 MLSCO
- 2023-02-03 Listed $599,000 MLSCO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…