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59880 Anzanita Ln
D+ Composite 48.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.2/5.0

$198,988

59880 Anzanita Ln · Anza, CA 92539
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 670 sqft · Manufactured · 276 Days on market
Built 1998 2.14 ac lot $297/sqft · 7% below area Est $214k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Manufactured Home Built on Mobile home lot with 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Approximately 670 sq ft. This manufactured home sits on a flat lot and usable land over 2 acres. Great for farming. There is a private well on this property. Property is fully wood fence. Located on a corner lot. this property to be sold in AS IS present conditions with no repair. This property asking below the market's value, will not last for long. Please call agent for more info.

Key facts

  • 2.14 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 276 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-833/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (6.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (18.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.5% in Anza — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 45/100 on livability (#1,301 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $162,770 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.50%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$214,224
List price
$198,988
Delta
-7.11%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
60815 Burnt Valley Rd 0.61mi 2/2.0 768 (+15%) 6mo $325,000 $423 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$103,963
Equity at exit
$179,264
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
6.56×
Total profit
$309,658
Equity at exit
$386,590

Cash invested: $55,717 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92539

Home prices YoY
16.5%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,628 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,747/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,716
Max offer price $186,720
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,747
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $198,988 Active 276 DOM
  2. 2025-08-28
    listed $198,988 Active 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Manufactured Home Built on Mobile home lot with 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Approximately 670 sq ft. This manufactured home sits on a flat lot and usable land over 2 acres. Great for farming. There is a private well on this property. Property is fully wood fence. Located on a corner lot. this property to be sold in AS IS present conditions with no repair. This property asking below the market's value, will not last for long. Please call agent for more info.

  3. 2025-08-25
    historical $198,988 459-char remark
    Show marketing remark (459 chars)

    Manufactured Home Built on Mobile home lot with 2 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Approximately 670 sq ft. This manufactured home sits on a flat lot and usable land over 2 acres. Great for farming. There is a private well on this property. Property is fully wood fence. Located on a corner lot. this property to be sold in AS IS present conditions with no repair. This property asking below the market's value, will not last for long. Please call agent for more info.

  4. 2025-06-28
    historical
  5. 2024-12-22
    price $228,000
  6. 2023-10-29
    price $218,000
  7. 2023-10-29
    listed $200,000 Active
  8. 2021-02-20
    historical
  9. 2020-08-20
    listed $330,000 Active
  10. 2019-03-25
    soldstatus $200,000 Closed Sale
  11. 2019-03-25
    soldstatus $200,000
  12. 2019-03-14
    status Pending Sale
  13. 2019-03-14
    price $200,000
  14. 2019-03-09
    status Active
  15. 2019-03-09
    historical Hold Do Not Show
  16. 2019-02-16
    status Pending Sale
  17. 2019-02-14
    historical Hold Do Not Show
  18. 2019-02-14
    historical Hold Do Not Show
  19. 2019-02-08
    listed $299,000 Active
  20. 2016-04-01
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed Sale
  21. 2016-04-01
    soldstatus $140,000
  22. 2016-03-03
    status Pending Sale
  23. 2016-02-13
    listed $138,000 Active
  24. 1982-03-01
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,747 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,747 · $229/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 1 d/yr ≥93°F today · 3 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,532
− Mortgage interest
−$11,146
− Property taxes
−$2,747
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,563
− Management
−$1,563
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$4,270
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,025
After-tax cash flow
$191/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Anza

Score
45/100
State rank
#1301
US rank
#26600

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anza, CA
Population (ZIP)
3,480

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 16% Asian 8% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 26% Korean 4% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 46.58%
Current HPI
329.4083
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1005.5% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $198,988 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Coming Soon $198,988 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-28 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-12-22 Price Changed $228,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-10-29 Price Changed $218,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-10-29 Listed $200,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-02-20 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2020-08-20 Listed $330,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2019-03-25 Sold (MLS) $200,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-03-14 Pending CRMLS
  • 2019-03-14 Price Changed $200,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-03-09 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2019-03-09 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2019-02-16 Pending CRMLS
  • 2019-02-14 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2019-02-14 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2019-02-08 Listed $299,000 CRMLS
  • 2016-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2016-04-01 Sold (MLS) $140,000 CRMLS
  • 2016-03-03 Pending CRMLS
  • 2016-02-13 Listed $138,000 CRMLS
  • 1982-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,747 · -16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…