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14426 NE 160th Ave
B+ Composite 78.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

14426 NE 160th Ave · Waldo, FL 32694
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 646 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1995

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a handyman''s dream investment property! This home is just waiting for the right investor and a few weeks of elbow grease. The painting is almost done, and the flooring has been started and the remaining flooring is already in the house. The home needs a new roof immediately and there is no central AC or heat, you will need to install a mini split or window units. This is the perfect low income rental property- it can easily pay itself off in 5-6 years! CASH OFFERS ONLY.

Key facts

  • Built 1995
  • Listed 26 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $642 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#705 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Chester Shell Elementary School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,969 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 355 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 48% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Alachua average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
  • Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $75k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
16.57%
Cash-on-cash
36.69%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.7%
Equity multiple
4.42×
Total profit
$71,866
Equity at exit
$57,042
10-year hold
IRR
44.9%
Equity multiple
9.48×
Total profit
$178,168
Equity at exit
$113,288

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32694

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,461 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,047/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$642

Break-even live

Break-even rent $648
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $685 -5% $663 +0% $642 +5% $621 +10% $600
Rent -10% $527 -5% $584 +0% $642 +5% $700 +10% $757
Rate -1.0pp $680 -0.5pp $661 base $642 +0.5pp $623 +1.0pp $603

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-26
    listed $75,000 Active
  19. 2020-04-30
    soldstatus $25,000 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    This is a handyman''s dream investment property! This home is just waiting for the right investor and a few weeks of elbow grease. The painting is almost done, and the flooring has been started and the remaining flooring is already in the house. The home needs a new roof immediately and there is no central AC or heat, you will need to install a mini split or window units. This is the perfect low income rental property- it can easily pay itself off in 5-6 years! CASH OFFERS ONLY.

  20. 2020-03-02
    listed $27,500 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    This is a handyman''s dream investment property! This home is just waiting for the right investor and a few weeks of elbow grease. The painting is almost done, and the flooring has been started and the remaining flooring is already in the house. The home needs a new roof immediately and there is no central AC or heat, you will need to install a mini split or window units. This is the perfect low income rental property- it can easily pay itself off in 5-6 years! CASH OFFERS ONLY.

  21. 2011-03-07
    historical
  22. 2010-10-04
    listed $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,047 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,047 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,527
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,047
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,402
− Management
−$1,402
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$6,918
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,660
After-tax cash flow
$6,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alachua
NCES district ID
1200030
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,683
Composite
43.31/100
National rank
#3038
State rank
#30 of 73 in FL

Livability — Waldo

Score
63/100
State rank
#705
US rank
#14963

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,870

Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
289,834 people
By 2030
305,873 · +5.5%
By 2040
335,246 · +15.7%
By 2050
364,719 · +25.8%
By 2075
436,665 · +50.7%
By 2100
482,920 · +66.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alachua

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.01%
Current HPI
224.7473
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $75,000 FSBO.com
  • 2020-04-30 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-02 Listed $27,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-03-07 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-04 Listed $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,047 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…