CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2220 Ledyard St
D Composite 42.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$19,900

2220 Ledyard St · Saginaw, MI 48601
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 845 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1953 5,663 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property presents a compelling investment opportunity with solid structural potential. three bed 1 bath configuration offers versatility for various renovation approaches. . With thoughtful updates and improvements, this residence could be transformed to meet current market demands. The existing foundation provides a starting point for investors or buyers seeking to customize a property to their specific vision and preferences.

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1953

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $820 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
  • Cap rate 55.7% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $19,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.28%
Cap rate
55.75%
Cash-on-cash
176.63%
DSCR
8.86
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$46,475
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2143 Whittier St 0.10mi 3/1.0 845 (0%) 8mo $50,000 $59 89
2420 Bancroft St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 845 (0%) 4mo $60,000 $71 79
2316 Whittier St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 932 (+10%) 11mo $11,250 $12 62
945 S 27th St 0.62mi 3/1.0 884 (+5%) 2mo $13,000 $15 62
812 25th St 0.57mi 3/1.0 864 (+2%) 12mo $59,900 $69 60
645 S 23rd 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 780 (-8%) 6mo $37,000 $47 54
455 S 24th St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-1%) 9mo $30,000 $36 53
427 S 19th St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 874 (+3%) 11mo $19,000 $22 51
558 S 24th St 0.64mi 3/1.0 912 (+8%) 12mo $89,000 $98 46
3410 Harold St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 796 (-6%) 12mo $43,900 $55 44
347 S 19th St 0.70mi 3/1.0 950 (+12%) 5mo $27,500 $29 42
3015 Perkins St 0.56mi 3/1.0 960 (+14%) 12mo $63,500 $66 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.80×
Total profit
$49,048
Equity at exit
$2,967
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.76×
Total profit
$110,123
Equity at exit
$1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48601

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $656/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$820

Break-even live

Break-even rent $212
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3328 Webber St Saginaw, MI 3.0 1.0 878 $1,250 $1.42 43d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (436 chars)

    This property presents a compelling investment opportunity with solid structural potential. Three bed, 1 bath configuration offers versatility for various renovation approaches. With thoughtful updates and improvements, this residence could be transformed to meet current market demands. The existing foundation provides a starting point for investors or buyers seeking to customize a property to their specific vision and preferences.

  2. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 438-char remark
    Show marketing remark (436 chars)

    This property presents a compelling investment opportunity with solid structural potential. Three bed, 1 bath configuration offers versatility for various renovation approaches. With thoughtful updates and improvements, this residence could be transformed to meet current market demands. The existing foundation provides a starting point for investors or buyers seeking to customize a property to their specific vision and preferences.

  3. 2026-04-27
    status Pending 436-char remark
    Show marketing remark (436 chars)

    This property presents a compelling investment opportunity with solid structural potential. Three bed, 1 bath configuration offers versatility for various renovation approaches. With thoughtful updates and improvements, this residence could be transformed to meet current market demands. The existing foundation provides a starting point for investors or buyers seeking to customize a property to their specific vision and preferences.

  4. 2026-04-14
    listed $19,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (436 chars)

    This property presents a compelling investment opportunity with solid structural potential. Three bed, 1 bath configuration offers versatility for various renovation approaches. With thoughtful updates and improvements, this residence could be transformed to meet current market demands. The existing foundation provides a starting point for investors or buyers seeking to customize a property to their specific vision and preferences.

  5. 2026-04-14
    listed $19,900 Active 438-char remark
    Show marketing remark (436 chars)

    This property presents a compelling investment opportunity with solid structural potential. Three bed, 1 bath configuration offers versatility for various renovation approaches. With thoughtful updates and improvements, this residence could be transformed to meet current market demands. The existing foundation provides a starting point for investors or buyers seeking to customize a property to their specific vision and preferences.

  6. 2026-04-14
    listed $19,900 Active 436-char remark
    Show marketing remark (436 chars)

    This property presents a compelling investment opportunity with solid structural potential. Three bed, 1 bath configuration offers versatility for various renovation approaches. With thoughtful updates and improvements, this residence could be transformed to meet current market demands. The existing foundation provides a starting point for investors or buyers seeking to customize a property to their specific vision and preferences.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$656 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$656 · $55/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,000
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$656
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$10,150
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,436
After-tax cash flow
$7,406/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
City population
54,884
Population (ZIP)
32,069

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.46%
Current HPI
197.3359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $656 · -14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…