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2349 E Agapanthus St
D- Composite 39.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.6/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$384,900

2349 E Agapanthus St · Oro Valley, AZ 85755
2 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,418 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1994 7,100 sqft lot $271/sqft · 11% below area Est $431k · 11% under $219/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Del Webb Sabino plan on a corner lot,with a secluded rear yard with water feature and some mtn. views. Bay window in Master bedroom. Solar tube lighting in Masterbath.Attic fan,garage side door,white kitchen cabinets and newer appliances.Small computer room area off kitchen.Front and back yard just rerocked. Plus all the Sun City Vistoso community amenities to go along with a great house. Beautiful carefree aluminum ramada

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Natural light
  • Bay window seating

Tags

CORNER LOTOPEN GREAT ROOMBAY WINDOW SEATINGWALK-IN CLOSETNATURAL LIGHTLARGE WINDOW TO BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Part of Sun City OV association; HOA dues (annual) of $219; HOA transfer fee of $370; HOA covers common area maintenance; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, racquetball, putting green, basketball court, fitness center, athletic facilities, park, and pickleball

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces; Garage door opener; Attached garage cabinets
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Security lights; Wrought iron security door
  • Utilities: Water provided by a water company; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
  • Construction: Frame with stucco exterior; Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Paver patio; Ramada; Patio; Block fencing; Decorative gravel; Shrubs; Front sprinklers; Corner lot; North/South exposure; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Water softener; Tankless water heater
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Skylights; Bay windows; Double-pane windows; Satellite dish; Smoke detectors; Security lights; Wrought iron security door; Other bathroom modifications for accessibility
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry sink in garage; Laundry located in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $385k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $339k (11.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $303k (21.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $303k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.2% in Oro Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#2 in AZ, #1,339 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D, amenities F, cost of living D-.
  • Amphitheater Unified District (4406) (suburban): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #85 of 249 in AZ (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $175k; list at $385k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $302,913 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.48%
Cash-on-cash
-2.89%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$431,118
List price
$384,900
Delta
-10.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2283 E Indian Town Way 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,463 (+3%) 2mo $397,000 $271 82
2330 E Montrose Canyon Dr 0.28mi 2/2.0 1,463 (+3%) 1mo $395,000 $270 77
2395 E Nasturtium St 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,557 (+10%) 1mo $390,000 $250 76
14166 N Forthcamp Ct 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,499 (+6%) 2mo $420,000 $280 74
2199 E Jonquil St 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,395 (-2%) 2mo $355,000 $254 74
14212 N Cirrus Hill Dr 0.34mi 2/2.0 1,386 (-2%) 3mo $312,000 $225 74
14218 N Cirrus Hill Dr 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,499 (+6%) 2mo $370,000 $247 68
2247 E Jonquil St 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,298 (-8%) 2mo $325,000 $250 63
2255 E Montrose Canyon Dr 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,221 (-14%) 3mo $345,000 $283 61
14350 N Rusty Gate Trl 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,464 (+3%) 3mo $315,000 $215 58
13672 N Tom Ryans Way 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,305 (-8%) 3mo $444,000 $340 50
1631 E Firefly Ct 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,598 (+13%) 2mo $387,500 $242 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.1%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-78,838
Equity at exit
$57,390
10-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-89,742
Equity at exit
$33,279

Cash invested: $107,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85755

Home prices YoY
-20.4%
Active inventory
232
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,029 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,018
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,053/yr
Insurance
$160
HOA
$219
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$636
Net cashflow
$-259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,357
Max offer price $339,110
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,225
Closing costs
$11,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14269 N Trade Winds Way Oro Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1190 $2,750 $2.31 44d 1 0.38mi
14274 N Trade Winds Way Oro Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1499 $4,000 $2.67 44d 1 0.38mi
14248 N Cirrus Hill Dr Oro Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1499 $3,800 $2.54 44d 1 0.40mi
13385 N Vistoso Bluff Pl Oro Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,795 $1.42 24d 1 0.86mi
13299 N Wide View Dr Oro Valley, AZ 3.0 2.0 1495 $2,950 $1.97 44d 1 0.96mi
14734 N Burntwood Dr Oro Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1846 $2,800 $1.52 44d 1 0.98mi
14175 N Buckingham Dr Oro Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1563 $1,995 $1.28 44d 1 1.08mi
14256 N Greenspun Pl Oro Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1635 $2,500 $1.53 44d 1 1.20mi
14582 N Alamo Canyon Dr Unit 14582 Oro Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1524 $3,400 $2.23 21d 1 1.38mi
14582 N Alamo Canyon Dr Oro Valley, AZ 2.0 2.0 1524 $3,400 $2.23 44d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$219 · $2,628/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $384,900 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $384,900 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $384,900 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $384,900 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-05-08
    price $384,900 1337-char remark
  6. 2026-04-24
    listed $389,900 Active 1337-char remark
  7. 2012-05-18
    soldstatus $175,000 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Del Webb Sabino plan on a corner lot,with a secluded rear yard with water feature and some mtn. views. Bay window in Master bedroom. Solar tube lighting in Masterbath.Attic fan,garage side door,white kitchen cabinets and newer appliances.Small computer room area off kitchen.Front and back yard just rerocked. Plus all the Sun City Vistoso community amenities to go along with a great house. Beautiful carefree aluminum ramada

  8. 2012-05-18
    soldstatus $175,000
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Del Webb Sabino plan on a corner lot,with a secluded rear yard with water feature and some mtn. views. Bay window in Master bedroom. Solar tube lighting in Masterbath.Attic fan,garage side door,white kitchen cabinets and newer appliances.Small computer room area off kitchen.Front and back yard just rerocked. Plus all the Sun City Vistoso community amenities to go along with a great house. Beautiful carefree aluminum ramada

  9. 2012-04-23
    historical 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Del Webb Sabino plan on a corner lot,with a secluded rear yard with water feature and some mtn. views. Bay window in Master bedroom. Solar tube lighting in Masterbath.Attic fan,garage side door,white kitchen cabinets and newer appliances.Small computer room area off kitchen.Front and back yard just rerocked. Plus all the Sun City Vistoso community amenities to go along with a great house. Beautiful carefree aluminum ramada

  10. 2012-02-14
    listed $185,000 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Del Webb Sabino plan on a corner lot,with a secluded rear yard with water feature and some mtn. views. Bay window in Master bedroom. Solar tube lighting in Masterbath.Attic fan,garage side door,white kitchen cabinets and newer appliances.Small computer room area off kitchen.Front and back yard just rerocked. Plus all the Sun City Vistoso community amenities to go along with a great house. Beautiful carefree aluminum ramada

  11. 2003-02-25
    soldstatus $150,000
  12. 1994-03-02
    soldstatus $119,290
  13. 1994-02-01
    soldstatus $119,290

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,053 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,053 · $254/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,350
− Mortgage interest
−$21,560
− Property taxes
−$3,053
− Insurance
−$1,924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,908
− Management
−$2,908
− HOA
−$2,628
− Depreciation
−$11,197
Taxable loss
−$9,829
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,359
After-tax cash flow
$-752/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amphitheater Unified District (4406)
NCES district ID
0400680
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,524
Composite
30.82/100
National rank
#6135
State rank
#85 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Oro Valley

Score
81/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#1339

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oro Valley, AZ
County
Pima County · 1,012,107 people
City population
41,345
Metro
Tucson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
18,560
Household income
$113,831
Rent vs Own
10.4% rent · 89.6% own
Severe rent burden
211.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.99%
Current HPI
254.1505
Rent YoY
Metro
Tucson, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+222.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-26 Contingent MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $384,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $389,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2012-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2012-05-18 Sold (MLS) $175,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2012-04-23 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2012-02-14 Listed $185,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2003-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 1994-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $119,290 Public Records
  • 1994-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $119,290 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,053 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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