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4703 Drexel St
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,900

4703 Drexel St · Detroit, MI 48215
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 118 Days on market
Built 1922 3,049 sqft lot $40/sqft · 14% below area Est $71k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Home is part of Freddie Mac's First Look Program thru 03/21/2026. Home has 2BRs and full bath on 1st floor and a possible 2BRs and a full bath upstairs, with a possible loft. Note; the furnace and hot water tank are missing. Home is being sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Built 1922
  • Listed 118 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $767 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $248 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $36k implies a 498% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $32,669 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.58%
Cap rate
31.95%
Cash-on-cash
91.62%
DSCR
5.08
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,535
List price
$35,900
Delta
-49.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4133 Lenox St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 968 (+8%) 5mo $18,101 $19 60
4159 Springle St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 917 (+2%) 14mo $54,000 $59 59
4810 Ashland St 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 872 (-3%) 22mo $65,000 $75 44
3958 Lenox St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,024 (+14%) 14mo $60,000 $59 40
3416 Algonquin St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 967 (+7%) 21mo $90,000 $93 32
5517 Marlborough St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,000 (+11%) 20mo $45,500 $46 30
4700 Maryland St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 950 (+6%) 23mo $103,000 $108 30
5981 Lenox St 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,027 (+14%) 21mo $33,500 $33 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.4%
Equity multiple
5.29×
Total profit
$43,081
Equity at exit
$5,353
10-year hold
IRR
95.2%
Equity multiple
11.00×
Total profit
$100,532
Equity at exit
$3,104

Cash invested: $10,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48215

Home prices YoY
-24.1%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,285 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$188
Tax est. 1.5%
$45 /mo · $538/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$767

Break-even live

Break-even rent $314
Max offer price $35,900
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,975
Closing costs
$1,077
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4667 Eastlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 646 $1,095 $1.70 3d 1 0.17mi
1415 Maryland St Grosse Pointe Park, MI 3.0 1.0 700 $1,275 $1.82 43d 1 1.07mi
1367 Wayburn St Unit 1 Grosse Pointe Park, MI 3.0 1.0 816 $1,250 $1.53 43d 1 1.09mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 1.10mi
1348 Wayburn St Grosse Pointe, MI 3.0 2.0 1035 $2,200 $2.13 24d 1 1.13mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 1.31mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 1.36mi
5028 Bedford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 4d 1 1.42mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 43d 1 1.46mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 14d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,900 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,900 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,900 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,900 Active 113 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $35,900 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,900 Active 104 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-05-15
    price $39,900 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This Home is part of Freddie Mac's First Look Program thru 03/21/2026. Home has 2BRs and full bath on 1st floor and a possible 2BRs and a full bath upstairs, with a possible loft. Note; the furnace and hot water tank are missing. Home is being sold As-Is.

  14. 2026-05-14
    price $39,900 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This Home is part of Freddie Mac's First Look Program thru 03/21/2026. Home has 2BRs and full bath on 1st floor and a possible 2BRs and a full bath upstairs, with a possible loft. Note; the furnace and hot water tank are missing. Home is being sold As-Is.

  15. 2026-04-08
    price $49,900 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This Home is part of Freddie Mac's First Look Program thru 03/21/2026. Home has 2BRs and full bath on 1st floor and a possible 2BRs and a full bath upstairs, with a possible loft. Note; the furnace and hot water tank are missing. Home is being sold As-Is.

  16. 2026-04-08
    price $49,900 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This Home is part of Freddie Mac's First Look Program thru 03/21/2026. Home has 2BRs and full bath on 1st floor and a possible 2BRs and a full bath upstairs, with a possible loft. Note; the furnace and hot water tank are missing. Home is being sold As-Is.

  17. 2026-02-21
    listed $59,900 Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This Home is part of Freddie Mac's First Look Program thru 03/21/2026. Home has 2BRs and full bath on 1st floor and a possible 2BRs and a full bath upstairs, with a possible loft. Note; the furnace and hot water tank are missing. Home is being sold As-Is.

  18. 2026-02-20
    listed $59,900 Active 255-char remark
    Show marketing remark (255 chars)

    This Home is part of Freddie Mac's First Look Program thru 03/21/2026. Home has 2BRs and full bath on 1st floor and a possible 2BRs and a full bath upstairs, with a possible loft. Note; the furnace and hot water tank are missing. Home is being sold As-Is.

  19. 2008-02-20
    historical
  20. 2008-01-15
    listed $9,900
  21. 2006-06-21
    historical
  22. 2006-05-05
    historical
  23. 2005-10-09
    listed $68,899
  24. 2005-10-05
    listed $78,899
  25. 1998-08-28
    soldstatus $6,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 28% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,426
− Mortgage interest
−$2,011
− Property taxes
−$538
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,234
− Management
−$1,234
− Depreciation
−$1,044
Taxable income
$9,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,204
After-tax cash flow
$7,005/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
10,238

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.84%
Current HPI
191.0405
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+565.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-02-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-01-15 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-10-09 Listed $68,899 REALCOMP
  • 2005-10-05 Listed $78,899 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-23.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $15 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…