🔨 Auction
1293 Plum Creek Rd · Taylorsville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OPEN house June 13, 2026, from 2 to 4 PM. Property being sold at absolute auction on June 28, 2026, at 2 PM at the property. Nice all brick home in good condition, it has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath with a great location on minutes from Taylorsville and Mt Washington. There will be a 10 % buyers premium added to the final bid price. Terms of sale is 20% down day of sale close in 30 Days from sale date.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1964
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as Auction; Total building area reported as 1,456 (above grade finished)
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Ranch-style home; Single-story
- Construction: Built in 1964; Shingle roof; Poured concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 1 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Dining room adjacent to the kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms, both on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating (1 HVAC unit); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: No first-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 2033780.3% vs local median 4.0% in Taylorsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#149 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Spencer County (rural): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #18 of 165 in KY (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 126 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Spencer County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 214534.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 2033780.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7263478.67%
- DSCR
- 323184.93
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 385628.37×
- Total profit
- $107,976
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 832676.93×
- Total profit
- $233,149
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40071
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Active inventory
- 114
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,145 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $1,695
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 400-char remark
-
2026-06-07$1 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,060
- − Management
- −$2,060
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $21,625
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,190
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Spencer County
- NCES district ID
- 2105490
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,167
- Composite
- 38.74/100
- National rank
- #4125
- State rank
- #18 of 165 in KY
Livability — Taylorsville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #7189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,702
Population outlook (Spencer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,077 people
- By 2030
- 21,008 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 22,560 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 23,480 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 25,222 · +25.6%
- By 2100
- 25,550 · +27.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Spencer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -35.5pp · 2024: -56.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.7 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+55.5 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+35.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.62%
- Current HPI
- 274.9283
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Property tax history
+14.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,368 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…