911 Snyder St · Odessa, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$148,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Super cute three bedroom home with a bath and a half. 2 dining areas, living and a bonus room. Aprox. 1360 Sq Ft. Recently add whole house HVAC for the house.
Key facts
- Whole house hvac
- 5,009 sq ft lot
- Built 1959
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane service
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built for residential use
- Exterior features: Landscaped yard; Paved road access; Solar panels
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds on the windows; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $148k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $342 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
- Recommended offer: $144k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D.
- Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: El Magnet At Blackshear (math 21% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,515 of 4,322 statewide, top 82%, 672 students, 80% FRL); Nimitz Middle (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 1,303 students, 51% FRL); Permian H S (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,978 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.86%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,463
- List price
- $148,500
- Delta
- 172.66%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-7,366
- Equity at exit
- $22,142
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,060
- Equity at exit
- $12,840
Cash invested: $41,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79761
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,735 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$779
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,263/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $342
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,125
- Closing costs
- $4,455
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Snyder St Odessa, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1117 Avenida de Mexico Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 946 S Crane Ave Odessa, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $148,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $148,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $148,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $148,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $148,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $148,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $148,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $148,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $148,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $148,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $148,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $148,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $148,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $148,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $148,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$148,500 Active 158-char remark
-
2026-03-05soldstatus
-
2026-02-04price $79,900
-
2025-12-19price $89,900
-
2025-08-16price $99,900
-
2025-07-02price $109,500
-
2025-05-22price $119,900
-
2025-04-05price $129,000
-
2025-02-28price $135,000
-
2025-02-05price $139,900
-
2025-02-02price $139,500
-
2025-02-02price $13,950,000
-
2025-01-06price $144,500
-
2024-11-15price $149,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,263 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,718 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$455/yr (+$38/mo · 20.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,821
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,318
- − Property taxes
- −$2,263
- − Insurance
- −$742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,666
- − Management
- −$1,666
- − Depreciation
- −$4,320
- Taxable income
- $1,847
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,656/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ector County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818000
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,740
- Composite
- 21.89/100
- National rank
- #8233
- State rank
- #707 of 826 in TX
Livability — Odessa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #132
- US rank
- #3928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Odessa, TX
- County
- Ector County · 131,169 people
- City population
- 131,169
- Metro
- Odessa, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,164
- Household income
- $68,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1352.0
Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,765 people
- By 2030
- 241,962 · +13.7%
- By 2040
- 306,582 · +44.1%
- By 2050
- 379,755 · +78.5%
- By 2075
- 568,991 · +167.4%
- By 2100
- 709,829 · +233.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% White 23% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 61%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Ector
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.66%
- Current HPI
- 254.9159
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.66%
- Metro
- Odessa, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $148,500 ODMLS
- 2026-03-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $79,900 ODMLS
- 2025-12-19 Price Changed $89,900 ODMLS
- 2025-08-16 Price Changed $99,900 ODMLS
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $109,500 ODMLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $119,900 ODMLS
- 2025-04-05 Price Changed $129,000 ODMLS
- 2025-02-28 Price Changed $135,000 ODMLS
- 2025-02-05 Price Changed $139,900 ODMLS
- 2025-02-02 Price Changed $139,500 ODMLS
- 2025-02-02 Price Changed $13,950,000 ODMLS
- 2025-01-06 Price Changed $144,500 ODMLS
- 2024-11-15 Price Changed $149,900 ODMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,263 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…