526 Forest Park Rd · Daleville, AL 36322

$150,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1991 1.25 ac lot Est $137k · 10% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +7.8/30.0
• ARV discount +3.2/15.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.3/10.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• DSCR +1.9/10.0

Listing remarks

Spacious outdoor living. This cozy and uniquely two-bedroom, one-bath home, sits on over 12 acres on beautiful, wooded land. Just minutes from Daleville city limits.

Key facts

• 1.25 acre lot
• Built 1991

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (16.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (26.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $110k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 6.5% in Daleville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#278 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Daleville City (town): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #97 of 129 in AL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: A M Windham Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 499 students, 70% FRL); Daleville Middle School (math 7% / reading 39%, grade F, #176 of 257 statewide, top 70%, 361 students, 72% FRL); Daleville High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #238 of 305 statewide, top 79%, 294 students, 60% FRL).
• Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $66k; list at $150k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $110,009 (26.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.73% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.95%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.79%
• DSCR: 0.79
• GRM: 11.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $136,800
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
526 Forest Rd	0.52mi	2/1.0	1,000 (+10%)	1mo	$150,000	$150	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.69×
• Total profit: $71,040
• Equity at exit: $135,132

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.0%
• Equity multiple: 6.18×
• Total profit: $217,625
• Equity at exit: $291,417

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36322

• Home prices YoY: 31.4%
• Active inventory: 41
• Price-to-rent: 11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,100 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$231
• Net cashflow: $-168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312

Max offer price $125,757

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-64	-5% $-116	+0% $-168	+5% $-219	+10% $-271
Rent	-10% $-254	-5% $-211	+0% $-168	+5% $-124	+10% $-81
Rate	-1.0pp $-92	-0.5pp $-129	base $-168	+0.5pp $-206	+1.0pp $-246

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-30
   listed $150,000
2. 2026-04-30
   historical
3. 2023-08-17
   soldstatus $65,960
4. 2018-03-02
   soldstatus $53,000
5. 2003-08-21
   listed $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,201
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$2,250
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,056
• − Management: −$1,056
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable loss: −$4,677
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,122
• After-tax cash flow: $-888/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Daleville City
• NCES district ID: 0101080
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $45,865
• Composite: 19.89/100
• National rank: #8687
• State rank: #97 of 129 in AL

Livability — Daleville

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #278
• US rank: #18463

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Dale County · 7,959 people
• City population: 7,740
• Metro: Ozark, AL
• Population (ZIP): 7,959
• Household income: $47,276
• Rent vs Own: 38.8% rent · 61.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 115.0

Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 46,805 people
• By 2030: 45,176 · -3.5%
• By 2040: 41,523 · -11.3%
• By 2050: 37,575 · -19.7%
• By 2075: 28,931 · -38.2%
• By 2100: 22,172 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · South Korea, China, Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dale

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 49.15%
• Current HPI: 205.6
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Ozark, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+200.0% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Delisted — WBR
• 2026-04-30 Listed $150,000 WBR
• 2023-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $65,960 Public Records
• 2018-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
• 2003-08-21 Listed $50,000 WBR

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $238 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.