16 Vista Palm Ln #204 · Florida Ridge, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey 2BR/2BA condo in Vista Royale w/ a bright, beachy feel & peaceful golf views. This unit features hurricane-impact windows throughout, except for the sliders/lanai, along w/ a '23 A/C + '22 water heater. Furniture included, making this the perfect move-in-ready seasonal retreat, year-round residence, or investment opportunity. Residents enjoy resort-style living along a scenic 27-hole golf course just minutes from beaches, shopping, dining, & entertainment. Community amenities include 4 clubhouses, heated pools, fitness center, tennis & pickleball courts, a full social calendar & more!
Key facts
- Minutes from beaches
- Onsite golf course
- Lux vinyl flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community; Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Association: Vista Royal; Monthly association fee of $448; Association fee covers cable TV, internet, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water, common areas, reserve funds, roof repairs and recreation facilities; Association amenities include heated pool, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard court, golf course access, fitness center, clubhouse, community room, billiard and game rooms, library, cafe/restaurant, workshop area, recreation facilities, bike storage, picnic area, laundry
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; One level living within a 2-story building; Entry on level 2; Faces west; Resale condition
- Construction: CBS construction; Other roof
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: No special interior features listed; Sliding windows
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room (upper level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.5% in Florida Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Vero Beach Elementary School (math 39% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,596 of 2,144 statewide, top 75%, 599 students, 80% FRL); Oslo Middle School (math 39% / reading 45%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 864 students, 72% FRL); Vero Beach High School (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,847 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $80k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.60%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-4,855
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $12,295
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32962
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,473 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,234/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$448
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Vista Palm Ln Vero Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 21d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 19 Pine Arbor Ln #105 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5 Vista Palm Ln #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 28 Pine Arbor Ln #103 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 60 Woodland Dr Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,125 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 60 Woodland Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,250 | $1.98 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 50 Woodland Dr #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 52 Woodland Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,300 | $2.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 85 Crooked Tree Ln #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,450 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 74 Royal Oak Ct #204 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,175 | $1.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 95 Spring Lake Dr #103 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 101 Spring Lake Dr #204 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,275 | $2.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 102 Royal Oak Dr #105 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 15 Vista Gardens Trl #104 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,300 | $2.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 43 Vista Gardens Trl #205 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,450 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 23 Vista Gardens Trl #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 26 Vista Gardens Trl #203 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 33 Vista Gardens Trl #104 Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,500 | $2.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $448 · $5,376/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-14$79,900 Active 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Turnkey 2BR/2BA condo in Vista Royale w/ a bright, beachy feel & peaceful golf views. This unit features hurricane-impact windows throughout, except for the sliders/lanai, along w/ a '23 A/C + '22 water heater. Furniture included, making this the perfect move-in-ready seasonal retreat, year-round residence, or investment opportunity. Residents enjoy resort-style living along a scenic 27-hole golf course just minutes from beaches, shopping, dining, & entertainment. Community amenities include 4 clubhouses, heated pools, fitness center, tennis & pickleball courts, a full social calendar & more!
-
2026-05-07$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
Charming 1BR/1BA condo in Vista Royale, a vibrant 55+ community in the heart of Vero Beach! This perfect FL retreat offers easy, low-maintenance living w/ beautiful golf & sunset views & lux vinyl flooring throughout. Enjoy an active resort-style lifestyle w/ access to 4 clubhouses, heated pools, fitness center, tennis, pickleball, shuffleboard, craft rooms, woodworking shop, & a full social calendar. Enjoy the convenience of the onsite golf course & restaurant, all while being just minutes from beaches, shopping, dining, & more. Experience the very best of FL living in this charming condo!
-
2026-05-07$79,900 Active 625-char remark
Show marketing remark (625 chars)
Charming 1BR/1BA condo in Vista Royale, a vibrant 55+ community in the heart of Vero Beach! This perfect FL retreat offers easy, low-maintenance living w/ beautiful golf & sunset views & lux vinyl flooring throughout. Enjoy an active resort-style lifestyle w/ access to 4 clubhouses, heated pools, fitness center, tennis, pickleball, shuffleboard, craft rooms, woodworking shop, & a full social calendar. Enjoy the convenience of the onsite golf course & restaurant, all while being just minutes from beaches, shopping, dining, & more. Experience the very best of FL living in this charming condo!
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2026-03-26price $79,900
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2025-12-03price $89,000
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2025-08-14historical
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2025-08-12price $92,000
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2025-07-20$97,000 Active
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2025-07-14$97,000 Active
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2025-06-11price $97,000
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2025-05-14$100,000 Active
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2019-07-30historical
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2019-05-07$69,900 Active
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2016-12-30soldstatus $41,000
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2016-12-29soldstatus $41,000
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2001-08-06soldstatus $30,500
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1997-07-16soldstatus $27,000
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1987-11-01soldstatus $29,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,234 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,234 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,674
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,234
- − Insurance
- −$1,197
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,414
- − Management
- −$1,414
- − HOA
- −$5,376
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $239
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$57
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Florida Ridge
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #6129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florida Ridge, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 25,629
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,522
- Household income
- $66,664
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 425.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.13%
- Current HPI
- 333.3274
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.18%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+175.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $79,900 SCMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $79,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $79,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $79,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $89,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $92,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2025-07-20 Listed $97,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $97,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-06-11 Price Changed $97,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2025-05-14 Listed $100,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2019-07-30 Delisted — RAIRCMLS
- 2019-05-07 Listed $69,900 RAIRCMLS
- 2016-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-29 Sold (MLS) $41,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2001-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $30,500 Public Records
- 1997-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
- 1987-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,234 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…