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804 Preston Ln
C Composite 57.06
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

804 Preston Ln · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1954 8,712 sqft lot Est $100k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property Listed and Sold Same Day.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block basement; Has basement
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One-level living

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 13.3% in Cahokia Heights — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wirth/Parks Middle School (617 students, 0% FRL); Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,395/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $105k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
9.47%
Cash-on-cash
11.35%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
804 Otto St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+5%) 6mo $35,000 $28 80
713 Mildred Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-4%) 6mo $45,000 $39 73
1100 Richard Dr 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,177 (-2%) 5mo $105,000 $89 73
945 Howell Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,084 (-10%) 0mo $35,000 $32 68
860 Saint Bartholomew Dr 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,073 (-11%) 3mo $89,900 $84 61
302 Saint Leonard Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,155 (-4%) 7mo $105,000 $91 60
1115 St Bartholemew Dr Dr 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,305 (+9%) 4mo $110,000 $84 56
1624 Doris Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+6%) 2mo $105,000 $83 56
614 Cooper Dr 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,363 (+14%) 2mo $90,000 $66 54
1128 Saint Boniface Dr 0.45mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,305 (+9%) 2mo $80,000 $61 54
1620 Doris Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,282 (+7%) 2mo $105,000 $82 51
28 Fox Meadow Ln 0.74mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,056 (-12%) 2mo $180,000 $170 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$785
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$23,829
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,395 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,752/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$293
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,043
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $338 -5% $308 +0% $278 +5% $248 +10% $219
Rent -10% $168 -5% $223 +0% $278 +5% $333 +10% $388
Rate -1.0pp $331 -0.5pp $305 base $278 +0.5pp $251 +1.0pp $223

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 24d 1 0.11mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 26d 1 0.18mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 0d 1 0.28mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 18d 1 0.28mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 5d 1 0.37mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 17d 1 0.45mi
302 Saint Leonard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,300 $1.13 46d 1 0.51mi
1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 720 $860 $1.19 17d 1 0.55mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 17d 1 0.60mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 18d 1 0.60mi
1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 46d 1 0.67mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 46d 1 0.67mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 46d 1 0.72mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 46d 1 0.73mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 24d 1 0.75mi
1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 46d 1 0.75mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 46d 1 0.77mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 4d 1 0.77mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 24d 1 0.81mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 46d 1 0.82mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 0d 1 0.85mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 26d 1 0.85mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 46d 1 0.86mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 5d 1 0.90mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 5d 1 0.91mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 46d 1 0.91mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 46d 1 0.93mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 0d 1 0.96mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 26d 1 0.97mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 46d 1 1.05mi
58 David St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 46d 1 1.07mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 5d 1 1.09mi
101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL 2.0 1.0 770 $900 $1.17 46d 1 1.12mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 24d 1 1.16mi
725 Saint Norbert Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 46d 1 1.18mi
1614 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,400 $1.22 26d 1 1.22mi
102 Melvin Dr Unit 34 Sauget, IL 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 9d 1 1.23mi
1710 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,395 $1.14 46d 1 1.30mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 26d 1 1.32mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 6d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-18
    listed $105,000 Active
  3. 2026-03-02
    soldstatus $70,000
  4. 2024-05-01
    historical
  5. 2023-10-21
    listed $70,000 Active
  6. 2017-12-07
    listed $32,200 Active 34-char remark
    Show marketing remark (34 chars)

    Property Listed and Sold Same Day.

  7. 2017-12-07
    status Pending 34-char remark
    Show marketing remark (34 chars)

    Property Listed and Sold Same Day.

  8. 2017-12-07
    soldstatus Closed 34-char remark
    Show marketing remark (34 chars)

    Property Listed and Sold Same Day.

  9. 2008-11-05
    soldstatus $21,000
  10. 2005-07-19
    soldstatus $80,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,752 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,752 · $229/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,738
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$2,752
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,339
− Management
−$1,339
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,847
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$443
After-tax cash flow
$2,895/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2024-05-01 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-21 Listed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-12-07 Listed $32,200 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-12-07 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-12-07 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 2005-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,752 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…