160 E Elm Dr · Orange City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well built 1959 home needs a little TLC. Beautiful charm from the front with an amazing bay window. This is an a one of kind perfectly nestled on a dead end street. Centrally located in the heart of Orange City.
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Bay window
- Dead end street
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is listed as residential single-family; Zoning: 01R4
- Financial info: No lease restrictions; Annual property tax noted (details excluded)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic required; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces east; Fixer condition
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Stem wall foundation; Built on a 0.23-acre lot
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Additional parcels included; Homestead qualified
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Solar hot water
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups (none listed)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#406 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.71%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,578
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $42,446
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32763
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,689 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $778/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2210 SE 2nd St Orange City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 640 Poinsettia Dr Orange City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2317 S Volusia Ave Orange City, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,435 | $1.99 | 14d | 5 | 0.50mi |
| 261 Dogwood Ave Orange City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,875 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 240 Whispering Oaks Ct Orange City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,289 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 345 E Ohio Ave #345 Orange City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1006 | $1,697 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2500 Junior St Orange City, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,699 | $1.72 | 11d | 10 | 0.84mi |
| 741 Saxon Blvd Orange City, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1031 | $1,745 | $1.69 | 11d | 20 | 1.06mi |
| 1112 Integra Landings Dr Orange City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $1,765 | $1.67 | 10d | 45 | 1.15mi |
| 505 Patlin Ave Orange City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1022 | $1,600 | $1.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $170,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $170,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $170,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-19$170,000 Active
-
2026-04-21soldstatus $147,000
-
1969-12-01soldstatus $12,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,370 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$592/yr (+$49/mo · 76.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,268
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$778
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,621
- − Management
- −$1,621
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $1,379
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$331
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Orange City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #406
- US rank
- #7175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orange City, FL
- County
- Volusia County · 556,871 people
- City population
- 24,951
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,951
- Household income
- $66,716
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1544.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.13%
- Current HPI
- 335.8393
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1282.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $170,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 1969-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $778 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…