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2822 Flanders St
D Composite 41.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,000

2822 Flanders St · Jacksonville, FL 32206
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 983 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1947 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SELLER PAID ALL CLOSING COSTS -- DOWN PAYMENT ASSISTANCE AVAILABLE! Fully renovated 3-bedroom home located in Jacksonville's growing 32206 community. This move-in-ready property features a bright, open layout with luxury vinyl flooring throughout and no carpet, fresh interior paint, upgraded fixtures, and a stylishly updated bathroom. The kitchen has been fully refreshed with modern cabinetry and clean finishes, offering a functional and inviting space. The home includes two exterior storage sheds, providing additional space for tools, equipment, or personal items. Recent improvements throughout the property offer low-maintenance living and long-term appeal. Conveniently situated minute

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Refreshed bathroom
  • Upgraded systems

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDBRAND-NEW KITCHENUPDATED FLOORINGREFRESHED BATHROOMSPACIOUS LAYOUTUPGRADED SYSTEMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Faces east; Currently used as investment and residential
  • Exterior features: City street frontage; Asphalt/paved road access; Private pool: No

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Unfurnished (no built-in or included laundry equipment noted)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $14 ($163/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (24.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: John E. Ford K-8 School (math 31% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 622 students, 58% FRL); Springfield Middle School (math 54% / reading 50%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 885 students, 49% FRL); Andrew Jackson High School (math 30% / reading 26%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 870 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 194 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $982 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $142k implies a 390% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,967 (24.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.41%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,538
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2822 Flanders St #8-19 0.00mi 2/1.0 983 (0%) 5mo $58,000 $59 96
2830 Saturn Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-2%) 2mo $72,000 $75 86
522 W 21st St 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,045 (+6%) 6mo $58,500 $56 70
2727 N N Davis Rd St 0.24mi 3/1.0 (+1) 904 (-8%) 1mo $78,000 $86 69
334 Birch St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (+2%) 4mo $50,000 $50 62
1004 W 26th St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-5%) 2mo $102,500 $110 62
1279 W 20th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 962 (-2%) 2mo $87,500 $91 61
3410 N Lee St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (+7%) 3mo $100,000 $95 59
705 Oak Arbor Cir 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,094 (+11%) 1mo $160,000 $146 51
321 W 24th St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,110 (+13%) 7mo $95,000 $86 50
2330 Janette St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+12%) 7mo $272,000 $247 43
1125 W 29th St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-12%) 4mo $73,000 $84 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-24,410
Equity at exit
$21,173
10-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-29,065
Equity at exit
$12,278

Cash invested: $39,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32206

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
194
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,080 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$745
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $427/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,063
Max offer price $142,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $94 -5% $54 +0% $14 +5% $-27 +10% $-67
Rent -10% $-72 -5% $-29 +0% $14 +5% $56 +10% $99
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $50 base $14 +0.5pp $-23 +1.0pp $-61

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,500
Closing costs
$4,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
610 W 18th St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 24d 1 0.02mi
610 W 18th St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $825 $1.10 3d 1 0.02mi
519 W 19th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,075 $1.00 4d 1 0.09mi
519 W 19th St Unit a Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 1071 $1,095 $1.02 22d 1 0.09mi
519 W 19th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,095 $1.02 22d 1 0.09mi
519 W 19th St Unit a Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 1071 $1,075 $1.00 14d 1 0.09mi
522 W 21st St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,350 $1.29 24d 1 0.14mi
2817 Mars Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 945 $975 $1.03 22d 1 0.15mi
2811 Venus St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 830 $1,087 $1.31 5d 1 0.20mi
539 W 23rd St #3 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 795 $775 $0.97 24d 1 0.26mi
519 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 624 $775 $1.24 24d 1 0.27mi
528 W 25th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 944 $1,100 $1.17 24d 1 0.33mi
2906 Silver St Unit 01 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $895 $1.07 24d 1 0.35mi
2314 Teal St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 24d 1 0.37mi
204 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $1,225 $1.28 2d 1 0.42mi
916 W 25th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 816 $1,025 $1.26 18d 1 0.42mi
134 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,050 $1.37 24d 1 0.45mi
101 W 21st St Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 635 $1,085 $1.71 24d 1 0.46mi
3416 N Lee St Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 680 $995 $1.46 24d 1 0.48mi
2324 Moncrief Rd Unit 2324 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 0.51mi
2532 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 24d 1 0.52mi
231 W 10th St Unit 229 Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.53mi
229 W 10th St Jacksonville, FL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.53mi
34 W 23rd St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 962 $1,400 $1.46 24d 1 0.53mi
3730 Lehigh St Unit 3730 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 15d 1 0.55mi
3732 Lehigh St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 15d 1 0.55mi
1104 W 24th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 786 $600 $0.76 18d 1 0.56mi
2063 N Laura St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 24d 1 0.59mi
154 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 818 $1,138 $1.39 18d 1 0.59mi
1044 Reiman St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 630 $895 $1.42 24d 1 0.59mi
1124 W 25th St #4 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 676 $1,000 $1.48 24d 1 0.60mi
2904 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 952 $1,100 $1.16 24d 1 0.61mi
849 W 30th St Apt 3 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $965 $1.29 24d 1 0.62mi
2025 N Laura St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 5d 1 0.62mi
3914 Springfield Blvd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 858 $1,050 $1.22 24d 1 0.62mi
3914 Springfield Blvd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 858 $1,050 $1.22 5d 1 0.62mi
3933 Boulevard #2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 684 $748 $1.09 8d 1 0.63mi
3927 Notter Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 738 $850 $1.15 22d 1 0.63mi
3927 Notter Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 738 $850 $1.15 14d 1 0.63mi
3728 Silver St Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 916 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 0.63mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $142,000 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $142,000 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $142,000 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    price $142,000 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $149,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $152,500 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $152,500 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $152,500 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $152,500 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    price $159,000
  16. 2026-05-16
    listed $155,000 Active
  17. 1992-04-20
    soldstatus $29,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$427 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,179 · $98/mo
Expected delta
+$752/yr (+$63/mo · 176.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,956
− Mortgage interest
−$7,954
− Property taxes
−$427
− Insurance
−$710
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,036
− Management
−$1,036
− Depreciation
−$4,131
Taxable loss
−$2,339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$561
After-tax cash flow
$724/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,105
Household income
$39,242
Rent vs Own
53.7% rent · 46.3% own
Severe rent burden
1057.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 22% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.55%
Current HPI
208.1852
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+448.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $159,000 realMLS
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $155,000 realMLS
  • 1992-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $427 · +79.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…