1404 Sylmar Pl #6 · Loveland, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFUL GEM in Sylmar Retirement Park! Homes in this well kept Park rarely come on the market. Low monthly lot rent of $430 per month. Open & Sunny Floor Plan w/Vaulted Ceilings. Large Country Kitchen has an Oversized Pantry, loads of Cabinets for storage & Newer Gas Range & Refrigerator. New Flooring, Paint & Light Fixtures. Newer A/C. Two Large Master Bedroom Suites-one at each end of the home for privacy.Back Bedroom has been completely remodeled w/Double Walk-In Shower & 3 Closets!
Key facts
- Double closet
- Large carport
- Large pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Minimal flood or C rating
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water meter installed; Natural gas available (Xcel); Electricity available; Cable available; Satellite available; High-speed internet available; Underground utilities; Private trash service
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Manufactured home; House faces north; Level lot; Cul-de-sac location; City limits
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; No improvements listed; Accessibility features: level driveway, no stairs, stall shower
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Land lease; Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan; Pantry; Window coverings; Fire alarm
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $929 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.9% vs local median 2.9% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#52 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Thompson School District R-2J (suburban): math 28% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 86 in CO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.36%
- DSCR
- 3.95
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,880
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1516 Sunset Pl #30 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 9mo | $12,000 | $10 | 89 |
| 1166 Madison Ave #244 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+1%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $45 | 89 |
| 1641 Garnet St #49 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 6mo | $38,000 | $31 | 88 |
| 1166 Madison Ave #136 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 4mo | $48,000 | $37 | 80 |
| 1829 Sandstone Ct #77 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 0mo | $71,900 | $55 | 76 |
| 1375 Sunset Pl #10 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,148 (-6%) | 8mo | $87,500 | $76 | 76 |
| 1166 Madison Ave #183 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+3%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $60 | 74 |
| 1166 Madison Ave #246 | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-11%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $79 | 74 |
| 1500 Sylmar Pl #701 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-12%) | 6mo | $34,000 | $32 | 74 |
| 1759 Jade Dr #146 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+7%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $46 | 72 |
| 1757 Sandstone Dr #132 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $71 | 65 |
| 1166 Madison Ave #203 | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,072 (-12%) | 7mo | $72,500 | $68 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $50,425
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 70.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.39×
- Total profit
- $124,140
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80537
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $592/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $929
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1302 Nickel Dr Unit 1 Loveland, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1710 E 16th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,427 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1706 E 16th St Unit 1710 Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1707 E 16th St Unit 1717 Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 825 | $1,295 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1840 E 17th St Unit 1840 Loveland, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,345 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1707 Cheyenne Ave Unit 8 Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,245 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1640 Cheyenne Ave Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 734 Madison Ave Loveland, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1292 E 6th St Loveland, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 845 | $1,991 | $2.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1494 E 5th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,525 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1143 E 5th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,250 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1145 E 5th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,250 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1054 E 5th St Loveland, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1325 N Jefferson Ave Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,545 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1116 Cleveland Ave Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1338 | $1,345 | $1.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 574 E 23rd St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 23d | 5 | 0.98mi |
| 325 E 5th St Loveland, CO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1188 | $2,335 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 585 N Lincoln Ave Loveland, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 747 | $1,750 | $2.34 | 23d | 3 | 1.11mi |
| 2900 Mountain Lion Dr Loveland, CO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $2,360 | $2.52 | 14d | 17 | 1.17mi |
| 247 W 10th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 865 | $2,500 | $2.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 246 N Cleveland Ave Loveland, CO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $3,102 | $3.03 | 14d | 11 | 1.26mi |
| 110 E 1st St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 130 E 1st St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,695 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 140 E 1st St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,795 | $2.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 434 W 10th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,400 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 430 W 10th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,400 | $1.85 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 466 W 10th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,400 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 480 W 10th St Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,700 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1015 Roosevelt Ave Unit B1 Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $60,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $65,000
-
2026-04-22status Active
-
2026-04-02historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-05$69,900 Active
-
2018-12-18soldstatus $65,000 Sold 512-char remark
Show marketing remark (512 chars)
BEAUTIFUL GEM in Sylmar Retirement Park! Homes in this well kept Park rarely come on the market. Low monthly lot rent of $430 per month. Open & Sunny Floor Plan w/Vaulted Ceilings. Large Country Kitchen has an Oversized Pantry, loads of Cabinets for storage & Newer Gas Range & Refrigerator. New Flooring, Paint & Light Fixtures. Newer A/C. Two Large Master Bedroom Suites-one at each end of the home for privacy.Back Bedroom has been completely remodeled w/Double Walk-In Shower & 3 Closets!
-
2018-12-07status Pending 512-char remark
Show marketing remark (512 chars)
BEAUTIFUL GEM in Sylmar Retirement Park! Homes in this well kept Park rarely come on the market. Low monthly lot rent of $430 per month. Open & Sunny Floor Plan w/Vaulted Ceilings. Large Country Kitchen has an Oversized Pantry, loads of Cabinets for storage & Newer Gas Range & Refrigerator. New Flooring, Paint & Light Fixtures. Newer A/C. Two Large Master Bedroom Suites-one at each end of the home for privacy.Back Bedroom has been completely remodeled w/Double Walk-In Shower & 3 Closets!
-
2018-11-29historical Active - Backup 512-char remark
Show marketing remark (512 chars)
BEAUTIFUL GEM in Sylmar Retirement Park! Homes in this well kept Park rarely come on the market. Low monthly lot rent of $430 per month. Open & Sunny Floor Plan w/Vaulted Ceilings. Large Country Kitchen has an Oversized Pantry, loads of Cabinets for storage & Newer Gas Range & Refrigerator. New Flooring, Paint & Light Fixtures. Newer A/C. Two Large Master Bedroom Suites-one at each end of the home for privacy.Back Bedroom has been completely remodeled w/Double Walk-In Shower & 3 Closets!
-
2018-11-13$73,500 Active 512-char remark
Show marketing remark (512 chars)
BEAUTIFUL GEM in Sylmar Retirement Park! Homes in this well kept Park rarely come on the market. Low monthly lot rent of $430 per month. Open & Sunny Floor Plan w/Vaulted Ceilings. Large Country Kitchen has an Oversized Pantry, loads of Cabinets for storage & Newer Gas Range & Refrigerator. New Flooring, Paint & Light Fixtures. Newer A/C. Two Large Master Bedroom Suites-one at each end of the home for privacy.Back Bedroom has been completely remodeled w/Double Walk-In Shower & 3 Closets!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $592 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $592 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$592
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $10,820
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,597
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,553/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thompson School District R-2J
- NCES district ID
- 0805400
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,040
- Composite
- 34.01/100
- National rank
- #5313
- State rank
- #28 of 86 in CO
Livability — Loveland
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #5353
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Loveland, CO
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 94,535
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,425
- Household income
- $86,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1703.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -606.26%
- Current HPI
- 253.4939
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.57%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-11.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $65,000 IRES
- 2026-04-22 Relisted — IRES
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — IRES
- 2026-02-05 Listed $69,900 IRES
- 2018-12-18 Sold (MLS) $65,000 IRES
- 2018-12-07 Pending — IRES
- 2018-11-29 Contingent — IRES
- 2018-11-13 Listed $73,500 IRES
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $592 · +518.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…