52 Milo St · Dresden, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.5/30.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated in the heart of Dresden, this spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is set on a corner lot and offers a wonderful village setting. The home features a large interior footprint of 2,372 square feet with a functional layout that includes a convenient first-floor bedroom and a full first-floor bathroom. The main level also features a laundry area and generous living spaces that are perfect for both daily family life and entertaining guests. With a total of five bedrooms, this home offers plenty of space for a home office, hobby rooms, or guest rooms to suit your family's needs. The property provides a yard with room for outdoor activities in a quiet, established neighborhood. Enjoy the
Key facts
- First-floor bedroom
- Laundry area
- First-floor bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (no garage)
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Septic tank
- Home design: Two-story home; Existing (previously built) property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal and shingle roof; Stone foundation; Full basement
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Corner lot; Irregular-shaped lot; Agricultural zoning/character
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Kitchen and family room combined; Sunroom; Bedroom on main level; Other interior features (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-360 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (29.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (29.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $151k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,042 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- Penn Yan Central School District (town): math 57% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #251 of 590 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 107 units permitted in Yates County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
- Yates County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $215k implies a 696% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.17%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $650,325
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -66.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-13,353
- Equity at exit
- $79,214
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $6,387
- Equity at exit
- $109,923
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14441
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,507 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$333 /mo · $3,995/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $-360
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-238 | -5% $-299 | +0% $-360 | +5% $-420 | +10% $-481 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-479 | -5% $-419 | +0% $-360 | +5% $-300 | +10% $-241 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-251 | -0.5pp $-305 | base $-360 | +0.5pp $-415 | +1.0pp $-472 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-27$215,000 Active 940-char remark
-
1995-04-10soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,995 · $333/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,995 · $333/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,081
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,995
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,446
- − Management
- −$1,446
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$8,179
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,963
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn Yan Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3622740
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▲ 16.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,067
- Composite
- 50.46/100
- National rank
- #1860
- State rank
- #251 of 590 in NY
Livability — Dresden
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1042
- US rank
- #20617
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dresden, NY
- City population
- 339
- Population (ZIP)
- 339
Population outlook (Yates County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,773 people
- By 2030
- 22,867 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 20,750 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 18,917 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 15,090 · -36.5%
- By 2100
- 11,428 · -51.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yates
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.2) · D 41.9% · R 58.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.7pp · 2024: -16.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.2 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+21.9 2012: R+3.0 2008: R+3.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Current HPI
- 232.4649
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+696.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $215,000 UNYREIS
- 1995-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,995 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…