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2710 Madison Ave
B- Composite 67.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,500

2710 Madison Ave · Granite City, IL 62040
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 92 Days on market
Built 1930 4,800 sqft lot $51/sqft · 40% below area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special in Granite City – Endless Potential! Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the heart of Granite City, offering convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. This property features a spacious kitchen and comfortable living room layout, are you ready for your next renovation project. Enjoy outdoor living with a generously sized fenced backyard—perfect for entertaining, pets, or future upgrades. The front porch offers the perfect spot to relax with your morning coffee while taking in the neighborhood surroundings. This home is being sold as an investor special and is ready for your vision and updates. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or create your own forever home, this property is full of potential and value-add opportunity.Bring your ideas, sweat equity, and make it your own! Newer roof 2018, Home sold as is, Speak with your agent about the short sale process, seller will not pay for occupancy or any repairs or inspections. Updated pictures to come

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Front porch
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENCOMFORTABLE LIVING ROOMFENCED BACKYARDFRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $884 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $37k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 32.5% vs local median 7.0% in Granite City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#623 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Granite City CUSD 9 (suburban): math 9% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #570 of 620 in IL (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $280 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,855 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.64%
Cap rate
32.48%
Cash-on-cash
93.53%
DSCR
5.16
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,021
List price
$40,500
Delta
-60.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2532 E 27th St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (-1) 720 (-10%) 9mo $60,000 $83 62
2564 Benton St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 870 (+9%) 6mo $108,000 $124 55
2205 E 24th St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 736 (-8%) 5mo $12,000 $16 51
2823 Marshall Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (-1) 888 (+11%) 3mo $49,900 $56 44
2813 Myrtle Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (-1) 910 (+14%) 8mo $114,900 $126 41
122 Wilson Park Ln 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 900 (+12%) 3mo $110,000 $122 41
200 Wilson Park Ln 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 900 (+12%) 1mo $145,000 $161 39
2406 Grand Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 884 (+10%) 16mo $99,900 $113 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
92.8%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$47,808
Equity at exit
$6,039
10-year hold
IRR
95.4%
Equity multiple
10.39×
Total profit
$106,435
Equity at exit
$3,502

Cash invested: $11,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62040

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
194
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,473 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$212
Tax est. 1.5%
$51 /mo · $608/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$884

Break-even live

Break-even rent $354
Max offer price $40,500
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,125
Closing costs
$1,215
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2415 Jerden Ave Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 970 $1,400 $1.44 4d 1 0.17mi
2556 Center St Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 874 $1,500 $1.72 14d 1 0.58mi
303 Wilson Park Ln Granite City, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 7d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,500 Active 92 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $40,500 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,500 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,500 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,500 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,500 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,500 Active 83 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,500 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $40,500 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,500 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,500 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,500 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,500 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-03-17
    listed $50,500 Active 1055-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Investor Special in Granite City – Endless Potential! Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the heart of Granite City, offering convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. This property features a spacious kitchen and comfortable living room layout, are you ready for your next renovation project. Enjoy outdoor living with a generously sized fenced backyard—perfect for entertaining, pets, or future upgrades. The front porch offers the perfect spot to relax with your morning coffee while taking in the neighborhood surroundings. This home is being sold as an investor special and is ready for your vision and updates. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or create your own forever home, this property is full of potential and value-add opportunity.Bring your ideas, sweat equity, and make it your own! Newer roof 2018, Home sold as is, Speak with your agent about the short sale process, seller will not pay for occupancy or any repairs or inspections. Updated pictures to come

  15. 2026-03-17
    historical $50,500 1055-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1055 chars)

    Investor Special in Granite City – Endless Potential! Opportunity awaits with this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the heart of Granite City, offering convenient access to shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. This property features a spacious kitchen and comfortable living room layout, are you ready for your next renovation project. Enjoy outdoor living with a generously sized fenced backyard—perfect for entertaining, pets, or future upgrades. The front porch offers the perfect spot to relax with your morning coffee while taking in the neighborhood surroundings. This home is being sold as an investor special and is ready for your vision and updates. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or create your own forever home, this property is full of potential and value-add opportunity.Bring your ideas, sweat equity, and make it your own! Newer roof 2018, Home sold as is, Speak with your agent about the short sale process, seller will not pay for occupancy or any repairs or inspections. Updated pictures to come

  16. 2007-03-21
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,677
− Mortgage interest
−$2,269
− Property taxes
−$608
− Insurance
−$202
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,414
− Management
−$1,414
− Depreciation
−$1,178
Taxable income
$10,592
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,542
After-tax cash flow
$8,064/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Granite City CUSD 9
NCES district ID
1717280
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,082
Composite
9.15/100
National rank
#9864
State rank
#570 of 620 in IL

Livability — Granite City

Score
65/100
State rank
#623
US rank
#12751

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Granite City, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
40,404
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,404
Household income
$60,031
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.88%
Current HPI
204.4612
Rent YoY
▲ 1.67%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $50,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-17 Coming Soon $50,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,175 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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