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12129 Monica St
B Composite 72.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$95,000

12129 Monica St · Detroit, MI 48204
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,722 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1927 3,485 sqft lot Est $86k · 10% over ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This well-maintained two-unit property offers plenty of potential and flexibility. Each unit has been cared for, and the home presents as clean and move-in ready. Whether used for multi-generational living or as a traditional upper and lower units, this property provides a practical and comfortable setup. Please note: only the bottom unit is available to show. Upper unit on month to month paying $850.

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1927

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,386/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
10.92%
Cash-on-cash
16.54%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,100
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12066 Monica St 0.06mi 4/2.5 1,632 (-5%) 8mo $35,000 $21 78
12625 Monica St 0.25mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,600 (-7%) 2mo $48,000 $30 70
4790 Sturtevant St 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,645 (-4%) 0mo $60,000 $36 69
11717 Cascade St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,536 (-11%) 2mo $81,000 $53 52
13620 Santa Rosa Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,700 (-1%) 6mo $85,000 $50 52
10155 Monica St 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,535 (-11%) 8mo $46,000 $30 51
4785 Sturtevant St 0.34mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,894 (+10%) 9mo $107,000 $56 51
10163 Monica St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,486 (-14%) 8mo $46,000 $31 44
11642 Cascade St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,952 (+13%) 6mo $83,000 $43 43
4255 Webb St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,569 (-9%) 7mo $155,000 $99 42
13587 Monica St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,484 (-14%) 5mo $130,000 $88 34
4069 Sturtevant St 0.68mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,921 (+12%) 2mo $320,000 $167 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.6%
Equity multiple
3.83×
Total profit
$75,155
Equity at exit
$85,584
10-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
8.63×
Total profit
$203,086
Equity at exit
$184,564

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,386 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,288/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $922
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $420 -5% $394 +0% $367 +5% $340 +10% $313
Rent -10% $257 -5% $312 +0% $367 +5% $421 +10% $476
Rate -1.0pp $414 -0.5pp $391 base $367 +0.5pp $342 +1.0pp $317

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,400 $0.96 45d 1 0.46mi
12546 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1899 $1,250 $0.66 45d 1 0.47mi
13225 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2100 $1,700 $0.81 6d 1 0.54mi
11704 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,050 $0.88 45d 1 0.55mi
4341 Glendale St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,680 $0.92 6d 1 0.56mi
4336 Buena Vista St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 45d 1 0.60mi
13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1064 $1,374 $1.29 13d 1 0.72mi
4287 W Grand St Unit 4289 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,000 $0.80 45d 1 0.80mi
12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 16d 1 0.84mi
3740 Tyler St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 6d 1 0.94mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 18d 1 0.94mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 3d 1 0.94mi
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 25d 1 0.99mi
13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,334 $1.03 21d 1 1.00mi
13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,200 $0.96 6d 1 1.02mi
3322 Webb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,250 $0.78 18d 1 1.04mi
3322 Webb St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 45d 1 1.05mi
3322 Webb St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1656 $1,350 $0.82 45d 1 1.05mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 45d 1 1.17mi
3266 Calvert Ave Fl 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1279 $1,300 $1.02 25d 1 1.19mi
3226 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 13d 1 1.23mi
3224 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,150 $1.00 45d 1 1.23mi
3209 W Grand St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,103 $0.71 45d 1 1.23mi
3031 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1700 $1,600 $0.94 18d 1 1.24mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 45d 1 1.32mi
3422 Edison St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,295 $1.00 18d 1 1.34mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 45d 1 1.35mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 18d 1 1.36mi
2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 18d 1 1.39mi
3040 Kendall St Detroit, MI 5.0 1.0 1188 $1,386 $1.17 13d 1 1.40mi
2727 Calvert Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1350 $1,200 $0.89 45d 1 1.44mi
2634 Lawrence St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1388 $1,600 $1.15 3d 1 1.46mi
2655 Collingwood St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1881 $2,700 $1.44 3d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-03-14
    status Pending 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    This well-maintained two-unit property offers plenty of potential and flexibility. Each unit has been cared for, and the home presents as clean and move-in ready. Whether used for multi-generational living or as a traditional upper and lower units, this property provides a practical and comfortable setup. Please note: only the bottom unit is available to show. Upper unit on month to month paying $850.

  2. 2026-03-13
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-11
    listed $95,000 Active 404-char remark
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    This well-maintained two-unit property offers plenty of potential and flexibility. Each unit has been cared for, and the home presents as clean and move-in ready. Whether used for multi-generational living or as a traditional upper and lower units, this property provides a practical and comfortable setup. Please note: only the bottom unit is available to show. Upper unit on month to month paying $850.

  4. 2026-03-11
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (404 chars)

    This well-maintained two-unit property offers plenty of potential and flexibility. Each unit has been cared for, and the home presents as clean and move-in ready. Whether used for multi-generational living or as a traditional upper and lower units, this property provides a practical and comfortable setup. Please note: only the bottom unit is available to show. Upper unit on month to month paying $850.

  5. 2026-01-06
    historical
  6. 2026-01-06
    historical
  7. 2025-10-06
    historical $850
  8. 2025-09-22
    listed $95,000 Active
  9. 2025-09-22
    listed $95,000 Active
  10. 2025-09-06
    listed $850
  11. 2025-08-31
    historical $850
  12. 2025-08-02
    listed $850
  13. 2024-03-14
    historical $850
  14. 2023-12-02
    listed $850
  15. 2023-10-06
    status Pending
  16. 2023-10-06
    status Pending
  17. 2023-10-06
    historical
  18. 2023-10-06
    historical
  19. 2023-10-04
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  20. 2023-10-04
    historical Accepting Backup Offers
  21. 2023-09-05
    listed $99,900 Active
  22. 2023-09-05
    listed $99,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,288 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,288 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,634
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$2,288
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,331
− Management
−$1,331
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$3,124
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$750
After-tax cash flow
$3,650/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.9% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-22 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-06 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-08-31 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-08-02 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-12-02 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2023-10-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-10-04 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-04 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2023-09-05 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-09-05 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,288 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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