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409 F St
C Composite 58.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,400

409 F St · Rock Springs, WY 82901
1 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1930 2,614 sqft lot Est $185k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 2,614 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1930

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage
  • Home design: Residential income property; Triplex
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Wood siding

Interior

  • Interior features: No interior details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $95k).
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 2.8% in Rock Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#35 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Sweetwater County School District #1 (town): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #31 of 41 in WY (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Walnut Elementary (math 62% / reading 47%, grade C, #62 of 151 statewide, top 49%, 212 students, 42% FRL); Rock Springs Junior High (math 43% / reading 52%, grade C-, #38 of 55 statewide, top 69%, 769 students, 39% FRL); Rock Springs High School (math 37% / reading 43%, grade F, #51 of 75 statewide, top 68%, 1,502 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 179 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Sweetwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $660 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sweetwater County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,400

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.01%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,320
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1109 Edgar St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (+1) 2,064 (-9%) 6mo $145,000 $70 53
120 Sherman St 0.51mi 2/2.0 (+1) 2,224 (-2%) 22mo $126,400 $57 46
1116 Wyoming St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,962 (-13%) 5mo $195,000 $99 35
95 2nd St 0.41mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,946 (-14%) 20mo $159,000 $82 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-11,243
Equity at exit
$14,224
10-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-11,788
Equity at exit
$8,248

Cash invested: $26,712 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82901

Rents YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
179
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$992 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$500
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,584/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $851
Max offer price $95,400
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $165 -5% $138 +0% $111 +5% $84 +10% $57
Rent -10% $33 -5% $72 +0% $111 +5% $151 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $160 -0.5pp $136 base $111 +0.5pp $87 +1.0pp $62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,850
Closing costs
$2,862
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $95,400 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,400 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,400 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,400 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $95,400 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-05-22
    listed $95,400 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,584 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,584 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,902
− Mortgage interest
−$5,344
− Property taxes
−$1,584
− Insurance
−$477
− Repairs & maintenance
−$952
− Management
−$952
− Depreciation
−$2,775
Taxable loss
−$183
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$44
After-tax cash flow
$1,382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sweetwater County School District #1
NCES district ID
5605302
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$68,679
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3422
State rank
#31 of 41 in WY

Livability — Rock Springs

Score
70/100
State rank
#35
US rank
#8016

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rock Springs, WY
County
Sweetwater County · 27,198 people
City population
27,198
Metro
Rock Springs, WY
Population (ZIP)
27,198
Household income
$69,954
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
609.0

Population outlook (Sweetwater County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,212 people
By 2030
49,664 · +3.0%
By 2040
51,984 · +7.8%
By 2050
54,005 · +12.0%
By 2075
57,684 · +19.6%
By 2100
57,857 · +20.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sweetwater

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.5% · R 75.7% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -53.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.2 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+27.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -270.69%
Current HPI
146.2451
Rent YoY
▼ -2.15%
Metro
Rock Springs, WY
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending WMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $95,400 WMLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,584 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…