319 NW 2nd Ave · Oelwein, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$41,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable cream puff house. 1 bedroom, 3/4 bath, main floor laundry. Perfect for a couple starter home or senior living. Nice small backyard with converted garage for private gatherings. Quiet neighborhood. See how cute this is! Great investment opportunity too. Call for your personal showing.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1927
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Zoned R-1
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Road surface: Other
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($878 rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 4.5% in Oelwein — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IA, #3,329 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Oelwein Community School District (town): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #281 of 289 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Oelwein Middle School (math 44% / reading 54%, grade C-, #219 of 246 statewide, top 90%, 359 students, 60% FRL); Oelwein High School (math 46% / reading 62%, grade C-, #293 of 336 statewide, top 87%, 314 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.39%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,448
- List price
- $41,900
- Delta
- -65.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 NE 2nd St | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 776 (+5%) | 13mo | $42,240 | $54 | 75 |
| 223 5th St St NW | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 735 (-0%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 29 2nd St. St NW | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 776 (+5%) | 18mo | $61,100 | $79 | 51 |
| 221 Lincoln Dr Dr NE | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 832 (+13%) | 17mo | $112,000 | $135 | 46 |
| 29 6th Ave Ave SE | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 830 (+13%) | 17mo | $56,000 | $67 | 45 |
| 113 6th Ave Ave SE | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+11%) | 22mo | $49,000 | $60 | 41 |
| 40 5th St NW - St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 812 (+10%) | 22mo | $89,500 | $110 | 40 |
| 205 5th St NW | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 800 (+9%) | 23mo | $74,000 | $93 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $20,843
- Equity at exit
- $6,247
- IRR
- 47.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.58×
- Total profit
- $53,718
- Equity at exit
- $3,623
Cash invested: $11,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50662
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 60
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $878 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$220
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $272/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $458 | -5% $446 | +0% $434 | +5% $422 | +10% $410 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $365 | -5% $399 | +0% $434 | +5% $469 | +10% $503 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $455 | -0.5pp $445 | base $434 | +0.5pp $423 | +1.0pp $412 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,475
- Closing costs
- $1,257
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $41,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $41,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $41,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $41,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $41,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $41,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $41,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $41,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $41,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $41,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $41,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $41,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $41,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $41,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $41,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $41,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$41,900 Active 188-char remark
-
2026-01-31price $41,900
-
2025-12-25price $45,900
-
2024-12-13soldstatus $52,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Adorable cream puff house. 1 bedroom, 3/4 bath, main floor laundry. Perfect for a couple starter home or senior living. Nice small backyard with converted garage for private gatherings. Quiet neighborhood. See how cute this is! Great investment opportunity too. Call for your personal showing.
-
2024-11-29status Pending
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Adorable cream puff house. 1 bedroom, 3/4 bath, main floor laundry. Perfect for a couple starter home or senior living. Nice small backyard with converted garage for private gatherings. Quiet neighborhood. See how cute this is! Great investment opportunity too. Call for your personal showing.
-
2024-10-07price $69,900
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Adorable cream puff house. 1 bedroom, 3/4 bath, main floor laundry. Perfect for a couple starter home or senior living. Nice small backyard with converted garage for private gatherings. Quiet neighborhood. See how cute this is! Great investment opportunity too. Call for your personal showing.
-
2024-10-03$54,900 Active
Show marketing remark (293 chars)
Adorable cream puff house. 1 bedroom, 3/4 bath, main floor laundry. Perfect for a couple starter home or senior living. Nice small backyard with converted garage for private gatherings. Quiet neighborhood. See how cute this is! Great investment opportunity too. Call for your personal showing.
-
2024-03-15price $53,000
-
2020-05-05soldstatus $10,000
-
2020-04-30soldstatus $10,000
-
2019-09-27$10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $272 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $465 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$193/yr (+$16/mo · 70.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,347
- − Property taxes
- −$272
- − Insurance
- −$210
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$843
- − Management
- −$843
- − Depreciation
- −$1,219
- Taxable income
- $4,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,153
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,054/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oelwein Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1921630
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,812
- Composite
- 42.61/100
- National rank
- #3189
- State rank
- #281 of 289 in IA
Livability — Oelwein
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3329
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oelwein, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,497
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,299 people
- By 2030
- 18,701 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 17,469 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 16,389 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 15,156 · -21.5%
- By 2100
- 14,214 · -26.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.5) · D 34.0% · R 64.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: -30.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.5 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.26%
- Current HPI
- 177.9399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+319.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $41,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $41,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-12-25 Price Changed $45,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-12-13 Sold (MLS) $52,500 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-11-29 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-10-07 Price Changed $69,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-10-03 Listed $54,900 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-03-15 Price Changed $53,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2020-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2020-04-30 Sold (MLS) $10,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2019-09-27 Listed $10,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $272 · -45.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…