56 Cloverfield Dr SE · Walthourville, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$310,925
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Jackson plan is a charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath ranch featuring classic brick and low-maintenance vinyl accents, located in the peaceful countryside of Tibet Road at Sassafras Phase 2. This open-concept home offers a spacious great room with a gas fireplace and a beautifully designed kitchen complete with a large island, quartz countertops, upgraded cabinetry, and a generous corner pantry. The split floor plan provides privacy, with the primary suite showcasing two walk-in closets, a linen closet, and a luxurious bath with a separate tub and shower. Three additional bedrooms on the opposite side of the home each offer ample closet space. Enjoy the outdoors from the covered back porch overl
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Split floor plan
- Gas fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $34 monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage
- Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Patio; Underground utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Accessible full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Entrance foyer; Kitchen island; Pantry; Gas fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $311k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $297k (4.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $264k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#255 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Long County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #115 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Long County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,643/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 121% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $483 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Long County population projected at +72% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($302k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.31%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $295,142
- List price
- $310,925
- Delta
- 5.35%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 Deer Meadow Way SE | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,926 (0%) | 9mo | $305,975 | $159 | 84 |
| 129 Deer Meadow Way SE | 0.05mi | 4/2.5 | 2,002 (+4%) | 9mo | $298,825 | $149 | 82 |
| 107 Deer Meadow Way SE | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,735 (-10%) | 9mo | $285,725 | $165 | 73 |
| 190 Deer Meadow Way SE | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,735 (-10%) | 8mo | $301,475 | $174 | 73 |
| 575 Deer Meadow Way SE | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 2,002 (+4%) | 3mo | $299,925 | $150 | 68 |
| 341 Deer Meadow Way SE | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 2,151 (+12%) | 8mo | $299,995 | $139 | 62 |
| 593 Deer Meadow Way SE | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 1,735 (-10%) | 4mo | $298,090 | $172 | 58 |
| 9613 Tibet Hwy SE | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 | 2,002 (+4%) | 22mo | $293,195 | $146 | 58 |
| 9879 Tibet Hwy SE | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,926 (0%) | 21mo | $298,000 | $155 | 54 |
| 9979 Tibet Hwy SE | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,926 (0%) | 21mo | $296,975 | $154 | 50 |
| 9851 Tibet Hwy SE | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,653 (-14%) | 20mo | $285,000 | $172 | 33 |
| 10009 Tibet Hwy SE | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 1,653 (-14%) | 21mo | $277,325 | $168 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-12,809
- Equity at exit
- $92,706
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $24,681
- Equity at exit
- $113,390
Cash invested: $87,059 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31301
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,643 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,631
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$389 /mo · $4,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$130
- HOA
- −$34
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $-95
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,731
- Closing costs
- $9,328
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9635 Tibet Hwy SE Allenhurst, GA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,600 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2722 Arnall Dr Allenhurst, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2256 | $2,600 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $34 · $408/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $310,925 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $310,925 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $310,925 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $310,925 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $310,925 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $310,925 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $310,925 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $310,925 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $310,925 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $310,925 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,925 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $310,925 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $310,925 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $310,925 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $310,925 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $310,925 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $310,925 Active 15 DOM
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2026-05-15$310,925 Active 867-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,417
- − Property taxes
- −$4,664
- − Insurance
- −$1,555
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,537
- − Management
- −$2,537
- − HOA
- −$408
- − Depreciation
- −$9,045
- Taxable loss
- −$6,450
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,548
- After-tax cash flow
- $408/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This charming 4-bedroom ranch home is in good condition with a fresh paint job and well-maintained features. It offers a spacious layout and is ready for a new owner to move in.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make a home look newer
- Both Lighting — Modern lighting can improve curb appeal and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can make a home look newer ↑
- Both Lighting — Modern lighting can improve curb appeal and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Long County
- NCES district ID
- 1303360
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,958
- Composite
- 22.51/100
- National rank
- #8090
- State rank
- #115 of 174 in GA
Livability — Walthourville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #255
- US rank
- #14108
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Liberty County · 58,565 people
- City population
- 4,933
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,933
- Household income
- $65,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 121.0
Population outlook (Long County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,669 people
- By 2030
- 28,223 · +14.4%
- By 2040
- 35,430 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 42,403 · +71.9%
- By 2075
- 56,996 · +131.0%
- By 2100
- 64,185 · +160.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 31% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Long
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 35.1% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.16%
- Current HPI
- 187.7716
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hinesville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $310,925 Hive MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…