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300 Roland Ave
D Composite 41.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

300 Roland Ave · Jackson, TN 38301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,738 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1935 7,405 sqft lot Est $216k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 1935 home full of historic character with modern updates throughout! This completely updated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home sits on a corner lot and features a versatile flex space perfect for a home office, playroom, or additional living area. The updated kitchen includes new appliances that remain, while both full bathrooms and the half bath have been renovated. Enjoy peace of mind with a roof just 6 months old, new vinyl siding, and four mini-split units providing efficient heating and cooling. Step outside to a fenced backyard and a detached shop with power.

Key facts

  • Renovated bathrooms
  • Flex space
  • Detached shop

Tags

HISTORIC CHARACTERFLEX SPACEUPDATED KITCHENRENOVATED BATHROOMSFENCED BACKYARDDETACHED SHOP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-level / single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Public-maintained road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 2 main-level bathrooms
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (19.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Alexander Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #848 of 952 statewide, top 91%, 385 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,740/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $215k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,015 (19.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.78%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$215,512
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
300 Roland Ave 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,738 (0%) 1mo $215,000 $124 93
159 N Lake Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,896 (+9%) 8mo $325,000 $171 69
400 W Grand St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,792 (+3%) 7mo $92,500 $52 68
907 Lambuth Blvd 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,715 (-1%) 10mo $204,000 $119 66
161 W Grand St 0.36mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,780 (+2%) 1mo $255,000 $143 66
568 Westmoreland Pl 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,727 (-1%) 2mo $240,000 $139 64
415 Division Ave 0.34mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,614 (-7%) 1mo $194,500 $121 62
1044 Campbell St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,836 (+6%) 10mo $42,000 $23 59
145 Arlington Ave 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,859 (+7%) 6mo $260,000 $140 52
402 Fairmont Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,528 (-12%) 4mo $79,000 $52 49
517 Wisdom St 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,926 (+11%) 8mo $251,900 $131 48
1116 Campbell St 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,858 (+7%) 8mo $224,900 $121 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-25,329
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,690
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38301

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,740 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $820/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,627
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $211 -5% $150 +0% $89 +5% $28 +10% $-32
Rent -10% $-48 -5% $21 +0% $89 +5% $158 +10% $227
Rate -1.0pp $198 -0.5pp $144 base $89 +0.5pp $34 +1.0pp $-23

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Jackson Walk Plz Jackson, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1082 $2,600 $2.40 45d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-25
    listed $215,000 Active
  3. 1999-06-04
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$820 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$706/yr (+$59/mo · 86.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,882
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$820
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,671
− Management
−$1,671
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$2,652
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$637
After-tax cash flow
$1,708/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
4702580
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,015
Composite
11.74/100
National rank
#9687
State rank
#131 of 139 in TN

Livability — Jackson

Score
62/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#16488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, TN
County
Madison County · 87,024 people
City population
87,024
Metro
Jackson, TN
Population (ZIP)
33,536
Household income
$43,227
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
1701.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,952 people
By 2030
94,264 · -1.8%
By 2040
89,607 · -6.6%
By 2050
84,133 · -12.3%
By 2075
72,215 · -24.7%
By 2100
62,062 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.26%
Current HPI
162.2273
Rent YoY
▲ 5.19%
Metro
Jackson, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+207.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending CWTAR
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $215,000 CWTAR
  • 1999-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $820 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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