2920 S Lakeview Dr · Waycross, GA 31503

$125,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 756 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market

Built 1955 0.75 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.8/10.0
• 1% rule +3.3/10.0
• Livability +2.8/5.0
• Schools +2.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Completely renovated and move-in ready! This charming 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home sits on approximately . 75 acres in Waycross and has been extensively updated from top to bottom. Recent improvements include a metal roof and HVAC system, electrical, plumbing, septic (2021), along with new flooring and doors completed in 2026. The home also features a wheelchair ramp, storage shed, and two water meters with one serving as a backup. Currently being used as a rental property, this home would make a great investment opportunity, starter home, or downsizing option. With major systems already updated, this is a low-maintenance property with tons of value packed into it!

Key facts

• Metal roof
• Storage shed
• Wheelchair ramp

Tags

• METAL ROOF
• HVAC SYSTEM
• WHEELCHAIR RAMP
• STORAGE SHED
• TWO WATER METERS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Well water
• Home design: Single-story home; Metal roof
• Construction: Built on a lot of 0.75 acres
• Exterior features: Storage structure on the property; Wooded lot; Asphalt road access

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: 6 total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($640/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (16.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $104k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.1% in Waycross — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 55/100 on livability (#519 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
• Ware County (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #95 of 174 in GA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Ware County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ware County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $103,977 (16.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.83% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.81%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.83%
• DSCR: 1.08
• GRM: 10.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.52×
• Total profit: $-16,901
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.70×
• Total profit: $-10,518
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31503

• Home prices YoY: -24.9%
• Active inventory: 143
• Price-to-rent: 10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,040 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$60 /mo · $726/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$218
• Net cashflow: $53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $972

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   pricedays on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $128,000 Active 19 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $128,000 Active 18 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $128,000 Active 14 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $128,000 Active 13 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $128,000 Active 12 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $128,000 Active 11 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $128,000 Active 10 DOM
15. 2026-05-19
    listed $128,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $726 · $60/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,150 · $96/mo
• Expected delta: +$424/yr (+$35/mo · 58.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,477
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$726
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$998
• − Management: −$998
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable loss: −$1,508
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$362
• After-tax cash flow: $1,002/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ware County
• NCES district ID: 1305430
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $35,231
• Composite: 25.6/100
• National rank: #7415
• State rank: #95 of 174 in GA

Livability — Waycross

• Score: 55/100
• State rank: #519
• US rank: #23458

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 36,207
• Population (ZIP): 23,173

Population outlook (Ware County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 33,313 people
• By 2030: 32,071 · -3.7%
• By 2040: 29,587 · -11.2%
• By 2050: 27,197 · -18.4%
• By 2075: 22,323 · -33.0%
• By 2100: 18,197 · -45.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ware

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.3% · R 71.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.7pp toward R · 2008: -34.5pp · 2024: -43.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+34.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -76.44%
• Current HPI: 230.6527
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Listed $128,000 GIAR

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $726 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.